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Los Angeles Kings at Carolina Hurricanes

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Recap

written from the game data

The Los Angeles Kings beat the Carolina Hurricanes 4-2. The Hurricanes scored first; the Kings answered. The Kings led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Kevin Fiala's goal at 16:58 of the second period, which took the Kings' chances from 69% to 87%. Expected goals favored the Hurricanes, 3.0 to 2.3; shots on goal were LAK 26, CAR 28. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Hurricanes win a replay of these chances 65% of the time. Darcy Kuemper stopped 26 of 28 (.929), 1.0 goals saved above expected; Frederik Andersen stopped 22 of 26 (.846), 1.9 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Kevin Fiala (2 G), 2. Phillip Danault (1 G, 1 A), 3. Eric Robinson (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    LAK
    K. Fiala2 G
  2. ★★
    LAK
    P. Danault1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    CAR
    E. Robinson1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
LAKLAK11121114426
CARCAR11106111228

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. CAR
    tip-inxG 0.11win prob +14 ptsVideo
    0-1
    15:22
  2. LAK
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.05win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-1
    17:57

2nd period

  1. LAK
    snapxG 0.18win prob +16 ptsVideo
    2-1
    1:03
  2. LAK
    wristxG 0.05win prob +18 ptsVideo
    3-1
    16:58

3rd period

  1. CAR
    B. Burns (15), J. Slavin (16)
    wristxG 0.05win prob +16 ptsVideo
    3-2
    5:44
  2. LAK
    wristxG 0.06win prob +15 ptsVideo
    4-2
    11:40

Penalties

LAK 11 PIM·CAR 7 PIM

1st

  • 5:51CARJuha Jaaska · Fightingdrawn by Akil Thomas5 min
  • 5:51LAKAkil Thomas · Fightingdrawn by Juha Jaaska5 min
  • 6:52LAKDrew Doughty · Trippingdrawn by Seth Jarvis2 min

2nd

  • 7:52CARBrent Burns · Trippingdrawn by Alex Laferriere2 min
  • 11:28LAKBrandt Clarke · Interferencedrawn by Eric Robinson2 min

3rd

  • 17:45LAKDrew Doughty · Trippingdrawn by Jackson Blake2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CAR goalLAK goalFinal: CAR 0%

Biggest swing: Kevin Fiala, 2nd 16:58 — LAK 69% → 87%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Blake · On goal · xG 0.35M. Rantanen · Missed · xG 0.20S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.16M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.15S. Aho · Missed · xG 0.15S. Jarvis · Missed · xG 0.12J. Blake · On goal · xG 0.11J. Kotkaniemi · Goal · xG 0.11M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.10S. Walker · Missed · xG 0.10T. Hall · Missed · xG 0.10M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.08S. Aho · On goal · xG 0.08M. Rantanen · Missed · xG 0.08J. Blake · On goal · xG 0.08E. Robinson · On goal · xG 0.07M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.07B. Burns · Missed · xG 0.07J. Slavin · On goal · xG 0.06M. Rantanen · Missed · xG 0.06T. Hall · Missed · xG 0.06E. Robinson · Goal · xG 0.05M. Rantanen · Missed · xG 0.05J. Chatfield · On goal · xG 0.05S. Gostisbehere · On goal · xG 0.05B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.04M. Rantanen · Missed · xG 0.04M. Rantanen · Missed · xG 0.04E. Robinson · Missed · xG 0.03S. Gostisbehere · On goal · xG 0.03J. Staal · Missed · xG 0.03S. Walker · On goal · xG 0.02S. Aho · Missed · xG 0.02S. Walker · On goal · xG 0.02J. Staal · On goal · xG 0.02D. Orlov · On goal · xG 0.02E. Robinson · On goal · xG 0.02S. Gostisbehere · Missed · xG 0.02J. Martinook · Missed · xG 0.01R. Suzuki · Missed · xG 0.01J. Chatfield · Missed · xG 0.01D. Orlov · Missed · xG 0.01B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.01J. Slavin · Missed · xG 0.01B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.01J. Roslovic · Missed · xG 0.01D. Orlov · Missed · xG 0.01B. Burns · Missed · xG 0.01J. Slavin · Missed · xG 0.01B. Burns · Missed · xG 0.01B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.01S. Gostisbehere · On goal · xG 0.01J. Slavin · Missed · xG 0.00D. Orlov · Missed · xG 0.00J. Slavin · Missed · xG 0.00S. Walker · On goal · xG 0.00J. Slavin · On goal · xG 0.00
CAR2 G · 3.0 xG · 57 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

LAKvsCAR
2.34 G
All situations
2 G3.0
1.64 G
Even strength
2 G1.7
0.60 G
Power play
0 G1.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 101 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
LAK35%65%CAR

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.11 – 2.96

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

LAKvsCAR
26
Shots on goal
28
47%
Faceoffs
53%
0/1
Power play
0/3
11
Penalty minutes
7
22
Hits
15
16
Blocked shots
10
16
Giveaways
13
3
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Los Angeles Kings skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
84V. GavrikovD011+100.00010—27:50
6J. EdmundsonD000+200.02310—25:49
8D. DoughtyD011020.25304—24:16
9A. KempeR000040.38320—18:42
14A. LaferriereR000+250.44010—18:25
11A. KopitarC000010.051005218:23
55Q. ByfieldR022+200.051205017:42
24P. DanaultC112+110.180104717:20
21J. SpenceD000+120.05220—17:20
22K. FialaL202+230.20110—15:49
12T. MooreL101+120.40010—15:46
37W. FoegeleL000+130.2111010015:28
92B. ClarkeD000010.02112—13:35
61T. LewisC000-100.002103311:03
43J. MoverareD000000.01010—09:40
10T. JeannotL000-110.02200—09:24
15A. TurcotteC000000.000005009:13
26A. ThomasC000-110.01205008:15
Los Angeles Kings goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35D. Kuemper(W)28262.9293.02+1.0260:00

Season series

LAK leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).