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Sabres at Canucks
NHL

Buffalo Sabres at Vancouver Canucks

NHL scoreboard
Buffalo Sabres
▸3
Vancouver Canucks
2
FinalTV MSG-B, SNP·Rogers Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Buffalo Sabres beat the Vancouver Canucks 3-2. The lead changed hands 2 times. The Canucks led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was JJ Peterka's goal at 13:33 of the third period, which took the Sabres' chances from 48% to 86%. Expected goals favored the Canucks, 2.7 to 1.9; shots on goal were BUF 26, VAN 34. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Canucks win a replay of these chances 62% of the time. Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen stopped 32 of 34 (.941), 0.7 goals saved above expected; Thatcher Demko stopped 23 of 26 (.885), 1.1 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Jiri Kulich (1 G, 2 A), 2. JJ Peterka (1 G, 1 A), 3. Elias Pettersson (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    BUF
    J.Kulich1 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    BUF
    J. Peterka1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    VAN
    E. Pettersson1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
BUFBUF1709210326
VANVAN08213013234

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. BUF
    T. Thompson(21)
    J.Kulich (3)
    wristxG 0.05win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-0
    17:34

2nd period

  1. VAN
    P. Di Giuseppe(1)
    C. Soucy (6), J. Miller (24)
    backhandxG 0.09win prob +16 ptsVideo
    1-1
    3:05
  2. VAN
    E. Pettersson(11)
    Q. Hughes (39), B. Boeser (14)
    wristxG 0.20win prob +19 ptsVideo
    1-2
    10:29

3rd period

  1. BUF
    J.Kulich(8)
    J. Peterka (23), R. Dahlin (27)
    tip-inxG 0.08win prob +29 ptsVideo
    2-2
    8:42
  2. BUF
    J. Peterka(11)
    R. Dahlin (28), J.Kulich (4)
    slapxG 0.12win prob +38 ptsVideo
    3-2
    13:33

Penalties

BUF 2 PIM·VAN 4 PIM

2nd

  • 3:45BUFJack Quinn · Trippingdrawn by Quinn Hughes2 min
  • 16:58VANQuinn Hughes · Holdingdrawn by JJ Peterka2 min

3rd

  • 0:27VANCarson Soucy · Hookingdrawn by Tage Thompson2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
VAN goalBUF goalFinal: VAN 0%

Biggest swing: JJ Peterka, 3rd 13:33 — BUF 48% → 86%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. Boeser · On goal · xG 0.25B. Boeser · On goal · xG 0.22E. Pettersson · Goal · xG 0.19J. Miller · On goal · xG 0.18P. Suter · On goal · xG 0.15P. Di Giuseppe · Missed · xG 0.12D. Heinen · On goal · xG 0.11B. Boeser · On goal · xG 0.10B. Boeser · On goal · xG 0.10P. Di Giuseppe · Goal · xG 0.09J. DeBrusk · Missed · xG 0.08J. Miller · On goal · xG 0.07J. Miller · On goal · xG 0.07J. DeBrusk · Missed · xG 0.07E. Pettersson · On goal · xG 0.07J. DeBrusk · On goal · xG 0.06B. Boeser · On goal · xG 0.06J. Miller · On goal · xG 0.06B. Boeser · Missed · xG 0.06F. Hronek · Missed · xG 0.05C. Garland · On goal · xG 0.05D. Forbort · On goal · xG 0.04J. DeBrusk · On goal · xG 0.04T. Blueger · On goal · xG 0.04B. Boeser · On goal · xG 0.04M. Friedman · Missed · xG 0.04E. Pettersson · On goal · xG 0.03C. Soucy · On goal · xG 0.02B. Boeser · On goal · xG 0.02K. Sherwood · On goal · xG 0.02F. Hronek · On goal · xG 0.02K. Sherwood · On goal · xG 0.02Q. Hughes · Missed · xG 0.02B. Boeser · On goal · xG 0.02Q. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.01F. Hronek · On goal · xG 0.01Q. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.01M. Friedman · On goal · xG 0.01F. Hronek · On goal · xG 0.01Q. Hughes · Missed · xG 0.01F. Hronek · On goal · xG 0.01C. Soucy · On goal · xG 0.01
VAN2 G · 2.7 xG · 42 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

BUFvsVAN
1.93 G
All situations
2 G2.7
1.93 G
Even strength
2 G1.9
0.10 G
Power play
0 G0.6
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 85 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
BUF38%62%VAN

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.93 – 2.54

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

BUFvsVAN
26
Shots on goal
34
50%
Faceoffs
50%
0/2
Power play
0/1
2
Penalty minutes
4
19
Hits
15
11
Blocked shots
12
22
Giveaways
12
3
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Buffalo Sabres skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
26R. DahlinD022+310.10000—23:10
25O. PowerD000010.05010—23:01
4B. ByramD000+310.06020—22:44
19P. KrebsC000030.124006221:42
77J. PeterkaR112+140.20000—21:08
89A. TuchR000020.12010—19:47
72T. ThompsonC101+250.24010019:17
23M. SamuelssonD000000.02010—18:10
22J. QuinnR000010.0610210017:58
20J.KulichC123+130.412004517:47
9Z. BensonL000000.12010—17:21
24D. CozensC000030.242005016:38
48T. KozakC000000.181206716:06
75C. CliftonD000-200.00410—11:04
10H. JokiharjuD000010.01000—10:03
29B. MalenstynL000010.02400—07:48
8D. GilbertD000-200.01110—07:48
81S. LaffertyC000-100.0000010006:28
Buffalo Sabres goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
1U. Luukkonen(W)34322.9412.66+0.6660:00

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).