Blue Jackets at Blues 2-1 — Recap, Win Probability & Shot Map

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Columbus Blue Jackets

▸2

St. Louis Blues

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Recap

written from the game data

The Columbus Blue Jackets beat the St. Louis Blues 2-1. The Blue Jackets scored first and never trailed. The Blue Jackets led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Cole Sillinger's goal at 16:51 of the second period, which took the Blue Jackets' chances from 71% to 87%. Expected goals favored the Blues, 3.2 to 2.0; shots on goal were CBJ 30, STL 32. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blues win a replay of these chances 76% of the time. Jet Greaves stopped 31 of 32 (.969), 2.2 goals saved above expected; Jordan Binnington stopped 28 of 30 (.933). Three stars: 1. Jet Greaves (31 saves, .969), 2. Adam Fantilli (1 G), 3. Colton Parayko (1 G).

Three stars

★
J. Greaves31 saves, .969
★★
A. Fantilli1 G
★★★
C. Parayko1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath

Goals and shots on goal by period
Team	1st	2nd	3rd	T
CBJ	111	115	04	230
STL	09	08	115	132

Scoring

3 goals

1st period

A. Fantilli(10)
K. Marchenko (29), D. Voronkov (13)
wristxG 0.19win prob +14 ptsVideo
1-0
15:38

2nd period

C. Sillinger(7)PPG
J. van Riemsdyk (9), L. Del Bel Belluz (2)
snapxG 0.15win prob +16 ptsVideo
2-0
16:51

3rd period

C. Parayko(8)PPG
Z. Bolduc (10), J. Faulk (14)
wristxG 0.18Video
2-1
19:48

Penalties

6 PIM·

4 PIM

2nd

14:57Oskar Sundqvist · Holdingdrawn by Denton Mateychuk2 min
17:11Mathieu Olivier · Roughingdrawn by Jake Neighbours2 min
19:01Oskar Sundqvist · Hookingdrawn by Sean Kuraly2 min

3rd

7:50Kevin Labanc · Hookingdrawn by Jordan Kyrou2 min
18:23Zach Werenski · Trippingdrawn by Jordan Kyrou2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game

Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number

goal

goalFinal: STL

Biggest swing: Cole Sillinger, 2nd 16:51 — CBJ 71% → 87%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG

1 G · 3.2 xG · 45 att

←

attacks

attacks →

2 G · 2.0 xG · 41 att STL

1 G · 3.2 xG · 45 att

Tap a shot for who, when and how likely

GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

2.02 G
All situations: 1 G3.2; 1.21 G
Even strength: 0 G2.5; 0.41 G
Power play: 1 G0.5; 0.00 G
Shorthanded: 0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 86 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created

24%76%

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.61 – 3.10

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

30
Shots on goal: 32; 47%
Faceoffs: 53%; 1/2
Power play: 1/3; 6
Penalty minutes: 4; 14
Hits: 22; 23
Blocked shots: 10; 8
Giveaways: 19; 3
Takeaways: 4

Box score

every player line

Columbus Blue Jackets skaters
Skater	G	A	P	+/-	SOG	ixG	Hit	Blk	PIM	FO%	TOI
8Z. WerenskiD	0	0	0	+1	2	0.29	0	1	2	—	28:14
9I. ProvorovD	0	0	0	0	2	0.08	0	5	0	—	23:51
15D. FabbroD	0	0	0	+1	2	0.01	0	7	0	—	22:23
86K. MarchenkoR	0	1	1	+1	2	0.14	0	2	0	—	17:36
10D. VoronkovL	0	1	1	+1	2	0.12	2	0	0	—	16:43
5D. MateychukD	0	0	0	0	2	0.15	0	1	0	—	16:43
4C. SillingerC	1	0	1	0	2	0.16	1	1	0	69	16:41
91K. JohnsonC	0	0	0	0	1	0.38	0	0	0	0	16:38
19A. FantilliC	1	0	1	+1	6	0.31	0	0	0	50	16:36
24M. OlivierR	0	0	0	0	0	0.01	5	2	2	—	15:03
82M. PyyhtiaL	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	0	—	14:47
7S. KuralyC	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	2	0	0	42	14:14
65L. Del Bel BelluzC	0	1	1	0	1	0.01	0	1	0	14	13:59
21J. van RiemsdykL	0	1	1	0	1	0.02	0	0	0	—	13:16
78D. SeversonD	0	0	0	0	1	0.15	0	0	0	—	13:03
2J. ChristiansenD	0	0	0	0	3	0.03	2	2	0	—	12:36
27Z. Aston-ReeseL	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	1	0	—	11:25
62K. LabancR	0	0	0	0	3	0.12	1	0	2	—	10:47

Columbus Blue Jackets goalies
Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	xGA	GSAx	TOI
73J. Greaves(W)	32	31	1	.969	3.20	+2.20	60:00

Season series

CBJ leads 2-0

Jan 44@6Final
Jan 112@1this game

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).

Columbus Blue Jackets at St. Louis Blues

1st period

2nd period

3rd period

2nd

3rd

Box score