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Avalanche at Blackhawks
NHL

Colorado Avalanche at Chicago Blackhawks

NHL scoreboard
Colorado Avalanche
1
Chicago Blackhawks
▸3
FinalTV TNT, MAX·United Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Chicago Blackhawks beat the Colorado Avalanche 3-1. The Avalanche scored first; the Blackhawks answered. The Blackhawks led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Frank Nazar's goal at 10:17 of the second period, which took the Blackhawks' chances from 53% to 71%. Expected goals favored the Avalanche, 2.6 to 2.2; shots on goal were COL 36, CHI 20. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Avalanche win a replay of these chances 66% of the time. Trent Miner stopped 17 of 20 (.850), 1.3 goals below expected; Petr Mrazek stopped 35 of 36 (.972), 1.6 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Petr Mrazek (35 saves, .972), 2. Connor Bedard (1 G, 1 A), 3. Frank Nazar (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CHI
    P. Mrazek35 saves, .972
  2. ★★
    CHI
    C. Bedard1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    CHI
    F. Nazar1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
COLCOL114012010136
CHICHI181715320

Scoring

4 goals

1st period

  1. COL
    J. Parssinen(3)
    Unassisted
    backhandxG 0.03win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-0
    6:14
  2. CHI
    I. Mikheyev(8)
    C. Bedard (26)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-1
    16:48

2nd period

  1. CHI
    F. Nazar(1)
    C. Dach (1), T. Teravainen (19)
    wristxG 0.28win prob +18 ptsVideo
    1-2
    10:17

3rd period

  1. CHI
    C. Bedard(11)
    T. Bertuzzi (8), S. Jones (11)
    wristxG 0.06win prob +13 ptsVideo
    1-3
    11:54

Penalties

COL 2 PIM·CHI 4 PIM

2nd

  • 2:41CHICraig Smith · Trippingdrawn by Devon Toews2 min
  • 16:05COLJuuso Parssinen · Trippingdrawn by Seth Jones2 min

3rd

  • 5:37CHIIlya Mikheyev · Trippingdrawn by Logan O'Connor2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CHI goalCOL goalFinal: CHI 100%

Biggest swing: Frank Nazar, 2nd 10:17 — CHI 53% → 71%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Dickinson · Missed · xG 0.46F. Nazar · Goal · xG 0.28I. Mikheyev · On goal · xG 0.18I. Mikheyev · Goal · xG 0.14J. Dickinson · Missed · xG 0.11C. Bedard · Missed · xG 0.10T. Teravainen · Missed · xG 0.10C. Smith · On goal · xG 0.07C. Bedard · Goal · xG 0.06C. Bedard · Missed · xG 0.06C. Dach · On goal · xG 0.05S. Jones · On goal · xG 0.05T. Bertuzzi · On goal · xG 0.05C. Dach · On goal · xG 0.05C. Bedard · On goal · xG 0.05R. Donato · Missed · xG 0.04F. Nazar · On goal · xG 0.03W. Kaiser · On goal · xG 0.03W. Kaiser · Missed · xG 0.03T. Hall · On goal · xG 0.03L. Reichel · On goal · xG 0.03N. Foligno · Missed · xG 0.02A. Vlasic · Missed · xG 0.02T. Brodie · Missed · xG 0.02W. Kaiser · On goal · xG 0.02W. Kaiser · On goal · xG 0.02L. Crevier · Missed · xG 0.01S. Jones · On goal · xG 0.01T. Brodie · Missed · xG 0.01F. Nazar · On goal · xG 0.01W. Kaiser · On goal · xG 0.01A. Vlasic · On goal · xG 0.01
CHI3 G · 2.2 xG · 32 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

COLvsCHI
2.61 G
All situations
3 G2.2
2.01 G
Even strength
3 G1.5
0.60 G
Power play
0 G0.1
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 78 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
COL66%34%CHI

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.53 – 1.68

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

COLvsCHI
36
Shots on goal
20
43%
Faceoffs
57%
0/2
Power play
0/1
2
Penalty minutes
4
11
Hits
9
14
Blocked shots
9
13
Giveaways
13
3
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Colorado Avalanche skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8C. MakarD000000.27050—29:34
7D. ToewsD000-150.12010—27:43
29N. MacKinnonC000020.380105227:19
96M. RantanenR000000.080006727:10
62A. LehkonenL000-150.47020—26:24
49S. GirardD000-130.13110—18:21
20R. ColtonC000-140.24210018:15
37C. MittelstadtC000-120.120002617:34
42J. MansonD000-120.08320—16:13
16J. ParssinenC101+130.152025014:35
25L. O'ConnorR000-120.07000—13:51
17P. KellyC000-110.070003312:43
94J. KivirantaL000010.1110010012:28
70S. MalinskiD000-120.11000—11:34
22J. InnalaL000-120.12000—10:00
44C. de HaanD000-110.02010—08:31
67K. MiddletonD000+110.04100—04:39
48T. FelhaberL000-100.00100—04:26
Colorado Avalanche goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
50T. Miner(L)20173.8501.70-1.3056:40

Season series

Tied 2-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).