Montréal Canadiens at Vegas Golden Knights
Recap
written from the game dataThe Montréal Canadiens beat the Vegas Golden Knights 3-2. The Canadiens came back from two goals down. The Golden Knights led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Kirby Dach's goal at 10:09 of the third period, which took the Canadiens' chances from 48% to 81%. Expected goals were close — MTL 2.1, VGK 2.2; shots on goal were MTL 22, VGK 29. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Golden Knights win a replay of these chances 53% of the time. Samuel Montembeault stopped 27 of 29 (.931); Adin Hill stopped 19 of 22 (.864), 0.9 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Kirby Dach (1 G), 2. Samuel Montembeault (27 saves, .931), 3. Zach Whitecloud (1 G).
Three stars
- ★K. Dach1 G

- ★★S. Montembeault27 saves, .931

- ★★★Z. Whitecloud1 G

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
5 goals1st period
0-12:23
0-219:48
2nd period
1-217:27
3rd period
2-27:58
3-210:09
Penalties
2nd
- 9:11
Christian Dvorak · Trippingdrawn by William Karlsson2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Kirby Dach, 3rd 10:09 — 48% → 81%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 2.13 G
- All situations
- 2 G2.2
- 2.03 G
- Even strength
- 2 G1.6
- 0.00 G
- Power play
- 0 G0.7
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 80 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 2.05 – 2.20
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 22
- Shots on goal
- 29
- 59%
- Faceoffs
- 41%
- 0/0
- Power play
- 0/1
- 2
- Penalty minutes
- 0
- 39
- Hits
- 22
- 11
- Blocked shots
- 11
- 14
- Giveaways
- 23
- 4
- Takeaways
- 3
Box score
every player line
Season series
Tied 1-1
6@
2Final
3@
2this game
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).




















