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Penguins at Senators
NHL

Pittsburgh Penguins at Ottawa Senators

NHL scoreboard
Pittsburgh Penguins
2
Ottawa Senators
▸3
Final/OTTV SN-PIT, SN1·Canadian Tire Centre

Recap

written from the game data

The Ottawa Senators beat the Pittsburgh Penguins 3-2 in overtime, Brady Tkachuk scoring at 1:46. The Senators scored first and never trailed. The Senators led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Brady Tkachuk's goal at 1:46 of overtime, which took the Senators' chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Senators, 3.1 to 1.7; shots on goal were PIT 27, OTT 31. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Senators win a replay of these chances 75% of the time. Tristan Jarry stopped 28 of 31 (.903); Linus Ullmark stopped 25 of 27 (.926). Three stars: 1. Linus Ullmark (25 saves, .926), 2. Thomas Chabot (1 G, 1 A), 3. Brady Tkachuk (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    OTT
    L. Ullmark25 saves, .926
  2. ★★
    OTT
    T. Chabot1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    OTT
    B. Tkachuk1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
PITPIT050142800227
OTTOTT180131911331

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. OTT
    T. Chabot(2)
    C. Giroux (12), A. Gaudette (3)
    slapxG 0.07win prob +12 ptsVideo
    0-1
    7:34

3rd period

  1. PIT
    B. Lizotte(7)
    N. Acciari (4), M. Grzelcyk (15)
    backhandxG 0.16win prob +24 ptsVideo
    1-1
    2:40
  2. OTT
    D. Batherson(13)
    T. Chabot (13), J. Norris (8)
    deflectedxG 0.45win prob +28 ptsVideo
    1-2
    6:38
  3. PIT
    K. Letang(7)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.01win prob +34 ptsVideo
    2-2
    12:42

Overtime

  1. OTT
    B. Tkachuk(15)
    J. Sanderson (15)
    wristxG 0.05win prob +49 ptsVideo
    2-3
    1:46

Penalties

PIT 4 PIM·OTT 0 PIM

2nd

  • 0:42PITEvgeni Malkin · Hookingdrawn by Nick Jensen2 min
  • 10:35PITBlake Lizotte · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Tyler Kleven2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
OTT goalPIT goalFinal: OTT 100%

Biggest swing: Brady Tkachuk, OT 1:46 — OTT 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
D. Batherson · Goal · xG 0.45R. Greig · On goal · xG 0.32A. Gaudette · On goal · xG 0.17J. Norris · On goal · xG 0.16B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.16J. Norris · On goal · xG 0.14T. Stützle · Missed · xG 0.13R. Greig · On goal · xG 0.12B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.10B. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.09S. Pinto · On goal · xG 0.08J. Sanderson · On goal · xG 0.08T. Stützle · On goal · xG 0.08T. Chabot · Goal · xG 0.07T. Stützle · Missed · xG 0.07C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.07B. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.06S. Pinto · Missed · xG 0.06B. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.06T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.06A. Gaudette · On goal · xG 0.05S. Pinto · On goal · xG 0.05D. Batherson · On goal · xG 0.05B. Tkachuk · Goal · xG 0.05T. Stützle · Missed · xG 0.05J. Norris · Missed · xG 0.05J. Bernard-Docker · On goal · xG 0.04R. Greig · Missed · xG 0.04J. Norris · On goal · xG 0.03N. Cousins · Missed · xG 0.02T. Stützle · On goal · xG 0.02S. Pinto · On goal · xG 0.02T. Stützle · On goal · xG 0.02S. Pinto · Missed · xG 0.02N. Gregor · On goal · xG 0.02J. Bernard-Docker · On goal · xG 0.02M. Amadio · Missed · xG 0.01J. Sanderson · On goal · xG 0.01T. Stützle · On goal · xG 0.01B. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.01J. Bernard-Docker · Missed · xG 0.01S. Pinto · On goal · xG 0.00N. Cousins · On goal · xG 0.00C. Giroux · On goal · xG 0.00
OTT3 G · 3.1 xG · 44 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

PITvsOTT
1.72 G
All situations
3 G3.1
1.72 G
Even strength
3 G2.4
0.00 G
Power play
0 G0.8

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 81 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
PIT25%75%OTT

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.72 – 3.10

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

PITvsOTT
27
Shots on goal
31
54%
Faceoffs
46%
0/0
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
0
36
Hits
32
11
Blocked shots
17
19
Giveaways
18
7
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Pittsburgh Penguins skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
65E. KarlssonD000030.14310—26:22
58K. LetangD101010.01400—26:17
24M. GrzelcykD011+140.08010—24:11
67R. RakellR000-200.02300—20:34
38O. PickeringD000-120.03000—20:21
87S. CrosbyC000-240.301006219:55
17B. RustR000-220.0622010019:42
27R. GravesD000-100.00120—18:28
71E. MalkinC000010.120223617:07
8M. BuntingL000060.41000—15:30
53P. TomasinoR000-110.15420—14:55
83M. NietoL000+210.12410—12:28
10D. O'ConnorL000000.06300—12:21
55N. AcciariC011+110.03600012:06
19C. GlassC000-100.001006012:01
46B. LizotteC101+210.161026011:30
72A. BeauvillierR000+100.03300—11:19
28M. PetterssonD000000.00000—06:11
Pittsburgh Penguins goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35T. Jarry(O)31283.9033.14+0.1461:46

Season series

OTT leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).