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Florida Panthers at Vancouver Canucks

FinalTV SCRIPPS, TVAS·Rogers Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Vancouver Canucks beat the Florida Panthers 4-0. The Canucks scored first and never trailed. The Canucks led 3-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Danton Heinen's goal at 18:41 of the first period, which took the Canucks' chances from 68% to 83%. Expected goals favored the Panthers, 2.3 to 1.3; shots on goal were FLA 27, VAN 19. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Panthers win a replay of these chances 69% of the time. Sergei Bobrovsky stopped 15 of 19 (.789), 2.7 goals below expected; Kevin Lankinen stopped 27 of 27 (1.000), 2.3 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. J.T. Miller (2 A), 2. Kevin Lankinen (27 saves, 1.000), 3. Max Sasson (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    VAN
    J. Miller2 A
  2. ★★
    VAN
    K. Lankinen27 saves, 1.000
  3. ★★★
    VAN
    M. Sasson2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
FLAFLA0701307027
VANVAN2101514419

Scoring

4 goals

1st period

  1. VAN
    wristxG 0.06win prob +11 ptsVideo
    0-1
    2:23
  2. VAN
    deflectedxG 0.08win prob +15 ptsVideo
    0-2
    18:41

2nd period

  1. VAN
    J. Miller (11), Q. Hughes (26)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +9 ptsVideo
    0-3
    4:53

3rd period

  1. VAN
    J. DeBrusk(14)PPG
    Q. Hughes (27), J. Miller (12)
    tip-inxG 0.16Video
    0-4
    12:55

Penalties

FLA 4 PIM·VAN 6 PIM

2nd

  • 9:15VANKiefer Sherwood · High stickingdrawn by Eetu Luostarinen2 min
  • 20:00FLAJesper Boqvist · Roughingdrawn by Noah Juulsen2 min
  • 20:00VANNoah Juulsen · Roughingdrawn by Jesper Boqvist2 min

3rd

  • 7:38VANBrock Boeser · Trippingdrawn by Aaron Ekblad2 min
  • 12:48FLASam Reinhart · Trippingdrawn by Quinn Hughes2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
VAN goalFLA goalFinal: VAN 100%

Biggest swing: Danton Heinen, 1st 18:41 — VAN 68% → 83%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. DeBrusk · Goal · xG 0.16M. Sasson · On goal · xG 0.16C. Garland · On goal · xG 0.15B. Boeser · Goal · xG 0.10B. Boeser · Missed · xG 0.09D. Joshua · Missed · xG 0.08D. Heinen · Goal · xG 0.08C. Garland · On goal · xG 0.06Q. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.06C. Soucy · Goal · xG 0.06K. Sherwood · On goal · xG 0.05K. Sherwood · Missed · xG 0.05N. Juulsen · On goal · xG 0.04J. DeBrusk · On goal · xG 0.03D. Heinen · Missed · xG 0.03P. Suter · On goal · xG 0.03M. Sasson · On goal · xG 0.03Q. Hughes · On goal · xG 0.02B. Boeser · Missed · xG 0.02T. Myers · On goal · xG 0.01T. Blueger · On goal · xG 0.01P. Suter · On goal · xG 0.01M. Friedman · On goal · xG 0.00M. Friedman · On goal · xG 0.00
VAN4 G · 1.3 xG · 24 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

FLAvsVAN
2.30 G
All situations
4 G1.3
2.10 G
Even strength
3 G1.2
0.20 G
Power play
1 G0.2
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 66 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
FLA69%31%VAN

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.23 – 1.31

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

FLAvsVAN
27
Shots on goal
19
44%
Faceoffs
56%
0/2
Power play
1/1
4
Penalty minutes
6
25
Hits
26
7
Blocked shots
18
19
Giveaways
8
6
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Florida Panthers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
7D. KulikovD000010.03310—21:32
77N. MikkolaD000030.26100—20:51
13S. ReinhartC000010.121125020:28
42G. ForslingD000020.01210—19:59
5A. EkbladD000-120.06010—19:54
16A. BarkovC000040.221002919:36
19M. TkachukL000-210.08300—19:19
23C. VerhaegheC000010.18200018:27
9S. BennettC000-230.770003318:01
17E. RodriguesC000-250.39310017:36
88N. SchmidtD000-300.00000—17:07
26U. BalinskisD000-210.03000—15:01
15A. LundellC000000.002006414:59
27E. LuostarinenC000020.14100013:19
70J. BoqvistC000010.01002012:38
25M. SamoskevichR000-100.00420—11:37
10A. GreerL000-100.00200—09:31
92T. NosekL000-100.000006307:58
Florida Panthers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
72S. Bobrovsky(L)19154.7891.33-2.6760:00

Season series

VAN leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).