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Red Wings at Islanders
NHL

Detroit Red Wings at New York Islanders

NHL scoreboard
Detroit Red Wings
▸4
New York Islanders
2
FinalTV FDSNDET, MSGSN2·UBS Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Detroit Red Wings beat the New York Islanders 4-2. The Islanders scored first; the Red Wings answered. The Islanders led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Lucas Raymond's goal at 13:53 of the third period, which took the Red Wings' chances from 48% to 86%. Expected goals were close — DET 2.8, NYI 2.6; shots on goal were DET 21, NYI 29. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Islanders win a replay of these chances 54% of the time. Alex Lyon stopped 27 of 29 (.931), 0.6 goals saved above expected; Semyon Varlamov stopped 17 of 20 (.850), 0.7 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Dylan Larkin (1 G), 2. Lucas Raymond (1 G), 3. Anders Lee (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    DET
    D. Larkin1 G
  2. ★★
    DET
    L. Raymond1 G
  3. ★★★
    NYI
    A. Lee1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
DETDET150739421
NYINYI1719013229

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. NYI
    A. Lee(8)
    J. Pageau (5), N. Dobson (8)
    wristxG 0.06win prob +12 ptsVideo
    0-1
    4:35
  2. DET
    M. Seider(2)
    A. Copp (3), C. Fischer (2)
    slapxG 0.04win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-1
    13:25

2nd period

  1. NYI
    K. Palmieri(10)
    B. Nelson (6), I. George (1)
    wristxG 0.44win prob +18 ptsVideo
    1-2
    7:42

3rd period

  1. DET
    D. Larkin(12)
    J. Holl (2), A. Johansson (1)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +32 ptsVideo
    2-2
    11:20
  2. DET
    L. Raymond(5)
    S. Edvinsson (7), M. Seider (10)
    tip-inxG 0.05win prob +38 ptsVideo
    3-2
    13:53
  3. DET
    S. Edvinsson(3)EN
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.43win prob +3 ptsVideo
    4-2
    19:57

Penalties

DET 10 PIM·NYI 10 PIM

1st

  • 14:03DETDylan Larkin · Trippingdrawn by Simon Holmstrom2 min
  • 17:15NYIKyle MacLean · Slashingdrawn by Justin Holl2 min
  • 18:49DETSimon Edvinsson · Interferencedrawn by Casey Cizikas2 min

2nd

  • 14:26NYIserved by M. Tsyplakov · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 17:36NYIGrant Hutton · Boardingdrawn by Tyler Motte2 min

3rd

  • 8:33DETDylan Larkin · Trippingdrawn by Jean-Gabriel Pageau2 min
  • 16:10NYIAnders Lee · Roughingdrawn by Ben Chiarot2 min
  • 16:10NYIAnders Lee · Roughingdrawn by Ben Chiarot2 min
  • 16:10DETBen Chiarot · Boardingdrawn by Anders Lee2 min
  • 16:10DETBen Chiarot · Roughingdrawn by Anders Lee2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NYI goalDET goalFinal: NYI 0%

Biggest swing: Lucas Raymond, 3rd 13:53 — DET 48% → 86%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
K. Palmieri · Goal · xG 0.44B. Horvat · On goal · xG 0.22S. Holmstrom · On goal · xG 0.18B. Nelson · On goal · xG 0.15J. Pageau · On goal · xG 0.13B. Nelson · On goal · xG 0.13J. Pageau · On goal · xG 0.09K. Palmieri · Missed · xG 0.09B. Horvat · Missed · xG 0.09B. Nelson · On goal · xG 0.08B. Nelson · On goal · xG 0.08B. Horvat · On goal · xG 0.07B. Horvat · Missed · xG 0.07D. Cholowski · Missed · xG 0.06K. Palmieri · On goal · xG 0.06A. Lee · Goal · xG 0.06M. Tsyplakov · Missed · xG 0.05G. Hutton · On goal · xG 0.05S. Holmstrom · Missed · xG 0.05N. Dobson · On goal · xG 0.05A. Lee · On goal · xG 0.03B. Horvat · On goal · xG 0.03N. Dobson · Missed · xG 0.03B. Nelson · On goal · xG 0.03B. Horvat · On goal · xG 0.03B. Horvat · On goal · xG 0.02N. Dobson · On goal · xG 0.02B. Horvat · Missed · xG 0.02D. Cholowski · On goal · xG 0.02B. Nelson · On goal · xG 0.02N. Dobson · Missed · xG 0.02K. MacLean · Missed · xG 0.02M. Tsyplakov · On goal · xG 0.02N. Dobson · Missed · xG 0.01R. Pulock · On goal · xG 0.01N. Dobson · On goal · xG 0.01R. Pulock · Missed · xG 0.01O. Wahlstrom · On goal · xG 0.01A. Lee · On goal · xG 0.01J. Pageau · Missed · xG 0.01I. George · Missed · xG 0.01S. Holmstrom · Missed · xG 0.01R. Pulock · On goal · xG 0.01S. Mayfield · On goal · xG 0.00M. Martin · Missed · xG 0.00
NYI2 G · 2.6 xG · 45 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

DETvsNYI
2.83 G
All situations
2 G2.6
2.03 G
Even strength
2 G1.6
0.40 G
Power play
0 G0.8
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 85 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
DET46%54%NYI

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.31 – 2.53

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

DETvsNYI
21
Shots on goal
29
33%
Faceoffs
68%
0/3
Power play
0/3
10
Penalty minutes
10
24
Hits
23
11
Blocked shots
14
12
Giveaways
16
3
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Detroit Red Wings skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
53M. SeiderD112+330.14100—24:59
77S. EdvinssonD112+210.43102—22:28
8B. ChiarotD000-200.04204—21:25
46J. PetryD000-100.00430—21:06
71D. LarkinC101+140.540043120:08
23L. RaymondL101+120.29000—19:00
37J. CompherL000010.250002318:09
11V. TarasenkoR000+100.00100—15:56
93A. DeBrincatR000+150.33000—15:21
18A. CoppC011+110.070006314:44
27M. RasmussenC000000.03310014:28
14T. MotteC000010.09020014:18
36C. FischerR011000.14710—13:44
3J. HollD011+100.01010—13:05
92M. KasperC000010.251102012:20
48J. BerggrenR000000.10000—11:48
20A. JohanssonD011+110.01120—11:43
90J. VelenoC000+110.07300009:18
Detroit Red Wings goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
34A. Lyon(W)29272.9312.60+0.6060:00

Season series

DET leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).