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Anaheim Ducks at Chicago Blackhawks

FinalTV CHSN, Victory+·United Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Anaheim Ducks beat the Chicago Blackhawks 3-2. The Blackhawks scored first; the Ducks answered. The Blackhawks led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Leo Carlsson's goal at 9:38 of the third period, which took the Ducks' chances from 48% to 80%. Expected goals favored the Ducks, 2.0 to 1.5; shots on goal were ANA 24, CHI 20. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Ducks win a replay of these chances 63% of the time. John Gibson stopped 18 of 20 (.900), 0.5 goals below expected; Arvid Soderblom stopped 21 of 24 (.875), 0.9 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Jason Dickinson (2 G), 2. Alex Killorn (1 G, 1 A), 3. Connor Bedard (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CHI
    J. Dickinson2 G
  2. ★★
    ANA
    A. Killorn1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    CHI
    C. Bedard2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
ANAANA1701126324
CHICHI1101505220

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. CHI
    snapxG 0.05win prob +14 ptsVideo
    0-1
    17:03
  2. ANA
    wristxG 0.06win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-1
    19:05

2nd period

  1. CHI
    wristxG 0.12win prob +16 ptsVideo
    1-2
    3:54

3rd period

  1. ANA
    backhandxG 0.19win prob +27 ptsVideo
    2-2
    5:10
  2. ANA
    tip-inxG 0.12win prob +32 ptsVideo
    3-2
    9:38

Penalties

ANA 2 PIM·CHI 4 PIM

1st

  • 19:18ANARoss Johnston · Roughingdrawn by Connor Murphy2 min

2nd

  • 7:18CHIConnor Bedard · Hookingdrawn by Troy Terry2 min

3rd

  • 2:49CHICraig Smith · High stickingdrawn by Brian Dumoulin2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CHI goalANA goalFinal: CHI 0%

Biggest swing: Leo Carlsson, 3rd 9:38 — ANA 48% → 80%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
T. Hall · Missed · xG 0.27T. Bertuzzi · On goal · xG 0.15J. Dickinson · Goal · xG 0.12I. Mikheyev · Missed · xG 0.10J. Anderson · On goal · xG 0.09R. Donato · On goal · xG 0.09J. Dickinson · On goal · xG 0.08I. Mikheyev · On goal · xG 0.06C. Smith · Missed · xG 0.05J. Anderson · On goal · xG 0.05J. Dickinson · Goal · xG 0.05L. Reichel · On goal · xG 0.05C. Bedard · On goal · xG 0.04T. Hall · Missed · xG 0.04R. Donato · On goal · xG 0.04J. Anderson · Missed · xG 0.04R. Donato · Missed · xG 0.03T. Teravainen · On goal · xG 0.02N. Allan · On goal · xG 0.02N. Allan · On goal · xG 0.02A. Vlasic · On goal · xG 0.02J. Anderson · On goal · xG 0.02T. Hall · On goal · xG 0.02I. Mikheyev · Missed · xG 0.01J. Anderson · On goal · xG 0.01R. Donato · On goal · xG 0.01W. Kaiser · On goal · xG 0.00
CHI2 G · 1.5 xG · 27 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

ANAvsCHI
2.03 G
All situations
2 G1.5
1.63 G
Even strength
2 G1.4
0.50 G
Power play
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 69 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
ANA63%37%CHI

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.05 – 1.43

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

ANAvsCHI
24
Shots on goal
20
47%
Faceoffs
53%
0/2
Power play
0/1
2
Penalty minutes
4
27
Hits
13
14
Blocked shots
15
12
Giveaways
9
3
Takeaways
13

Box score

every player line
Anaheim Ducks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
6B. DumoulinD000-120.03130—22:09
7R. GudasD000+100.00410—21:20
34P. MintyukovD101+230.19220—19:25
51O. ZellwegerD000-120.13010—19:15
11T. ZegrasC022+220.170003618:40
91L. CarlssonC101+110.1201010018:33
17A. KillornL112+230.26400—17:43
2J. LaCombeD000+100.00010—17:09
77F. VatranoR000-120.14410—17:01
43D. HellesonD000000.00000—16:25
20B. LeasonR011+210.150105016:15
19T. TerryR000010.1610010015:49
16R. StromeC000-110.210004115:41
61C. GauthierL000010.10000—15:36
21I. LundestromC000+100.000204414:47
38J. HarkinsC000-120.146105412:06
64S. ColangeloR000-130.26000—10:12
44R. JohnstonL000-100.00502—09:54
Anaheim Ducks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
36J. Gibson(W)20182.9001.48-0.5260:00

Season series

CHI leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).