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Avalanche at Kraken
NHL

Colorado Avalanche at Seattle Kraken

NHL scoreboard
Colorado Avalanche
▸3
Seattle Kraken
2
FinalTV ESPN, ESPN+·Climate Pledge Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Colorado Avalanche beat the Seattle Kraken 3-2. The Avalanche scored first and never trailed. The Avalanche led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Joel Kiviranta's goal at 14:56 of the second period, which took the Avalanche's chances from 47% to 68%. Expected goals favored the Kraken, 2.9 to 2.6; shots on goal were COL 28, SEA 27. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Kraken win a replay of these chances 54% of the time. Justus Annunen stopped 25 of 27 (.926), 0.9 goals saved above expected; Philipp Grubauer stopped 25 of 28 (.893). Three stars: 1. Joel Kiviranta (2 G), 2. Justus Annunen (25 saves, .926), 3. Jared McCann (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    COL
    J. Kiviranta2 G
  2. ★★
    COL
    J. Annunen25 saves, .926
  3. ★★★
    SEA
    J. McCann1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
COLCOL1521706328
SEASEA01215110227

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. COL
    J. Kiviranta(2)
    S. Malinski (1)
    wristxG 0.04win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-0
    18:32

2nd period

  1. SEA
    J. McCann(4)
    Unassisted
    backhandxG 0.17win prob +19 ptsVideo
    1-1
    11:57
  2. COL
    J. Kiviranta(3)
    C. Makar (11), I. Ivan (2)
    tip-inxG 0.05win prob +21 ptsVideo
    2-1
    14:56
  3. COL
    N. MacKinnon(3)PPG
    C. Makar (12), C. Mittelstadt (2)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +13 ptsVideo
    3-1
    19:52

3rd period

  1. SEA
    R. Evans(2)PPG
    E. Tolvanen (1), A. Burakovsky (5)
    wristxG 0.11Video
    3-2
    19:55

Penalties

COL 2 PIM·SEA 6 PIM

2nd

  • 6:43SEAEeli Tolvanen · Interferencedrawn by Ross Colton2 min
  • 19:24SEAChandler Stephenson · Trippingdrawn by Mikko Rantanen2 min

3rd

  • 0:29SEAJamie Oleksiak · Interferencedrawn by Mikko Rantanen2 min
  • 18:00COLJoel Kiviranta · Slashingdrawn by Jordan Eberle2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
SEA goalCOL goalFinal: SEA 0%

Biggest swing: Joel Kiviranta, 2nd 14:56 — COL 47% → 68%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. Stephenson · On goal · xG 0.19J. McCann · Goal · xG 0.17J. Schwartz · Missed · xG 0.15M. Beniers · On goal · xG 0.15Y. Gourde · Missed · xG 0.14E. Tolvanen · On goal · xG 0.13R. Evans · On goal · xG 0.13Y. Gourde · Missed · xG 0.13E. Tolvanen · Missed · xG 0.12S. Wright · On goal · xG 0.12R. Evans · Missed · xG 0.11R. Evans · Goal · xG 0.11M. Beniers · On goal · xG 0.10J. McCann · Missed · xG 0.09J. McCann · Missed · xG 0.08T. Kartye · On goal · xG 0.08C. Stephenson · On goal · xG 0.08E. Tolvanen · Missed · xG 0.07E. Tolvanen · Missed · xG 0.05B. Tanev · Missed · xG 0.05B. Tanev · Missed · xG 0.05J. Eberle · On goal · xG 0.05Y. Gourde · On goal · xG 0.05B. Montour · Missed · xG 0.04S. Wright · On goal · xG 0.04B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.03J. McCann · Missed · xG 0.03O. Bjorkstrand · On goal · xG 0.03B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.03A. Larsson · On goal · xG 0.03J. McCann · On goal · xG 0.03J. Schwartz · Missed · xG 0.03R. Evans · On goal · xG 0.02A. Larsson · Missed · xG 0.02J. Oleksiak · On goal · xG 0.02J. Oleksiak · On goal · xG 0.02J. McCann · Missed · xG 0.02J. Eberle · Missed · xG 0.02M. Beniers · On goal · xG 0.02R. Evans · On goal · xG 0.01W. Borgen · On goal · xG 0.01O. Bjorkstrand · On goal · xG 0.01T. Kartye · Missed · xG 0.01Y. Gourde · Missed · xG 0.01A. Larsson · Missed · xG 0.01B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.00J. Oleksiak · On goal · xG 0.00
SEA2 G · 2.9 xG · 47 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

COLvsSEA
2.63 G
All situations
2 G2.9
2.32 G
Even strength
1 G2.2
0.41 G
Power play
1 G0.7
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 90 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
COL46%54%SEA

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.60 – 2.86

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

COLvsSEA
28
Shots on goal
27
38%
Faceoffs
63%
1/3
Power play
1/1
2
Penalty minutes
6
17
Hits
18
23
Blocked shots
17
13
Giveaways
21
3
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Colorado Avalanche skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8C. MakarD022+130.34030—23:34
7D. ToewsD000+100.00110—23:09
20R. ColtonC000030.46410022:05
29N. MacKinnonC101020.360105921:51
96M. RantanenR000030.52010—21:04
49S. GirardD000-100.00020—19:05
42J. MansonD000-140.13310—18:40
25L. O'ConnorR000-140.3731010018:24
37C. MittelstadtC011000.000003217:53
44C. de HaanD000+110.01250—17:43
17P. KellyC000-110.021201115:18
28M. WoodL000+100.07200—15:15
94J. KivirantaL202+240.17012—14:51
70S. MalinskiD011+120.02020—13:38
82I. IvanC011+210.140104011:39
51N. KovalenkoR000-100.01000—10:42
71C. RitchieC000000.00000007:14
36M. StienburgC000+100.00110006:00
Colorado Avalanche goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
60J. Annunen(W)27252.9262.88+0.8860:00

Season series

COL leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).