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Kraken at Jets
NHL

Seattle Kraken at Winnipeg Jets

NHL scoreboard
Seattle Kraken
3
Winnipeg Jets
▸4
FinalTV ROOT-NW+, TSN3·Canada Life Centre

Recap

written from the game data

The Winnipeg Jets beat the Seattle Kraken 4-3. The Jets scored first and never trailed. It was tied 3-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Tyler Toffoli's goal at 11:40 of the third period, which took the Jets' chances from 55% to 85%. Expected goals favored the Jets, 2.7 to 1.3; shots on goal were SEA 23, WPG 24. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Jets win a replay of these chances 69% of the time. Philipp Grubauer stopped 20 of 24 (.833), 1.7 goals below expected; Connor Hellebuyck stopped 20 of 23 (.870), 1.7 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Connor Hellebuyck (20 saves, .870), 2. Kyle Connor (2 G), 3. Nikolaj Ehlers (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WPG
    C. Hellebuyck20 saves, .870
  2. ★★
    WPG
    K. Connor2 G
  3. ★★★
    WPG
    N. Ehlers1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
SEASEA182906323
WPGWPG2611117424

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. WPG
    K. Connor(33)
    M. Scheifele (46), J. Morrissey (58)
    snapxG 0.19win prob +13 ptsVideo
    0-1
    10:33
  2. SEA
    T. Tatar(9)
    P. Bellemare (3)
    wristxG 0.04win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-1
    18:38
  3. WPG
    K. Connor(34)
    J. Morrissey (59), M. Scheifele (47)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-2
    19:54

2nd period

  1. WPG
    N. Ehlers(25)
    T. Toffoli (22), N. Pionk (27)
    slapxG 0.33win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-3
    2:30
  2. SEA
    Y. Gourde(9)
    R. Evans (8), B. Tanev (7)
    tip-inxG 0.10win prob +15 ptsVideo
    2-3
    5:11
  3. SEA
    T. Kartye(10)
    Y. Gourde (22)
    slapxG 0.15win prob +22 ptsVideo
    3-3
    18:13

3rd period

  1. WPG
    T. Toffoli(33)PPG
    N. Ehlers (36), N. Pionk (28)
    backhandxG 0.12win prob +30 ptsVideo
    3-4
    11:40

Penalties

SEA 8 PIM·WPG 2 PIM

1st

  • 7:13SEABrandon Tanev · Trippingdrawn by Adam Lowry2 min

2nd

  • 10:39WPGBrenden Dillon · Interferencedrawn by Jared McCann2 min

3rd

  • 9:52SEAJared McCann · Hookingdrawn by Kyle Connor2 min
  • 13:31SEARyker Evans · High sticking double minordrawn by Gabriel Vilardi4 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
WPG goalSEA goalFinal: WPG 100%

Biggest swing: Tyler Toffoli, 3rd 11:40 — WPG 55% → 85%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Morrissey · Missed · xG 0.39N. Ehlers · Goal · xG 0.33T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.21K. Connor · Goal · xG 0.19T. Toffoli · Missed · xG 0.12T. Toffoli · Goal · xG 0.12N. Ehlers · Missed · xG 0.11N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.11N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.09K. Connor · Goal · xG 0.09N. Niederreiter · Missed · xG 0.08G. Vilardi · On goal · xG 0.07J. Morrissey · On goal · xG 0.06V. Namestnikov · On goal · xG 0.06M. Appleton · On goal · xG 0.06K. Connor · Missed · xG 0.05N. Niederreiter · Missed · xG 0.05T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.05D. Samberg · Missed · xG 0.05J. Morrissey · Missed · xG 0.04D. Samberg · On goal · xG 0.04B. Dillon · On goal · xG 0.04N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.04M. Barron · Missed · xG 0.04G. Vilardi · On goal · xG 0.03N. Pionk · On goal · xG 0.03N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.03K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.03G. Vilardi · Missed · xG 0.02T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.02N. Ehlers · Missed · xG 0.02J. Morrissey · Missed · xG 0.01D. DeMelo · Missed · xG 0.01L. Stanley · Missed · xG 0.01B. Dillon · On goal · xG 0.01D. DeMelo · On goal · xG 0.01M. Appleton · On goal · xG 0.01M. Scheifele · On goal · xG 0.01
WPG4 G · 2.7 xG · 38 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

SEAvsWPG
1.33 G
All situations
4 G2.7
1.13 G
Even strength
3 G1.9
0.20 G
Power play
1 G0.5
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 68 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
SEA31%69%WPG

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.33 – 2.26

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

SEAvsWPG
23
Shots on goal
24
40%
Faceoffs
60%
0/1
Power play
1/4
8
Penalty minutes
2
34
Hits
24
7
Blocked shots
13
7
Giveaways
6
2
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Seattle Kraken skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
6A. LarssonD000010.03110—21:44
24J. OleksiakD000+210.01120—21:03
39R. EvansD011+100.00414—20:54
3W. BorgenD000+120.02200—18:09
8B. DumoulinD000-200.00100—17:33
4J. SchultzD000-210.08210—17:13
19J. McCannL000-230.18002—17:02
13B. TanevL011+220.06512—16:52
10M. BeniersC000000.000004316:21
7J. EberleR000000.00100—15:58
37Y. GourdeC112+240.283005615:34
95A. BurakovskyL000020.12000—14:58
41P. BellemareL011+120.181005014:37
22O. BjorkstrandR000010.03010—14:07
52T. KartyeL101+230.25700—14:06
17J. SchwartzL000-300.002005012:59
90T. TatarL101+110.10200—12:37
56K. YamamotoR000-300.00200—11:11
Seattle Kraken goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31P. Grubauer(L)24204.8332.32-1.6859:14

Season series

WPG leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).