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Senators at Bruins
NHL

Ottawa Senators at Boston Bruins

NHL scoreboard
Ottawa Senators
▸3
Boston Bruins
1
FinalTV NESN, TSN5·TD Garden

Recap

written from the game data

The Ottawa Senators beat the Boston Bruins 3-1. The Senators scored first and never trailed. The Senators led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jiri Smejkal's goal at 10:03 of the second period, which took the Senators' chances from 47% to 66%. Expected goals favored the Bruins, 3.0 to 1.8; shots on goal were OTT 20, BOS 35. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Bruins win a replay of these chances 89% of the time. Anton Forsberg stopped 34 of 35 (.971), 2.0 goals saved above expected; Linus Ullmark stopped 17 of 19 (.895), 1.3 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Anton Forsberg (34 saves, .971), 2. Pavel Zacha (1 G), 3. Charlie McAvoy.

Three stars

  1. ★
    OTT
    A. Forsberg34 saves, .971
  2. ★★
    BOS
    P. Zacha1 G
  3. ★★★
    BOS
    C. McAvoy

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
OTTOTT0112712320
BOSBOS0309123135

Scoring

4 goals

2nd period

  1. OTT
    J. Smejkal(1)
    E. Brannstrom (17)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +19 ptsVideo
    1-0
    10:03
  2. OTT
    J. Chychrun(14)
    D. Batherson (38), B. Tkachuk (37)
    wristxG 0.05win prob +18 ptsVideo
    2-0
    10:54

3rd period

  1. BOS
    P. Zacha(21)PPG
    K. Shattenkirk (18), D. Pastrnak (63)
    backhandxG 0.23win prob +9 ptsVideo
    2-1
    12:44
  2. OTT
    A. Zub(5)EN
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.57win prob +7 ptsVideo
    3-1
    18:12

Penalties

OTT 6 PIM·BOS 6 PIM

1st

  • 5:51BOSBrad Marchand · Interferencedrawn by Ridly Greig2 min
  • 15:44BOSBrad Marchand · Trippingdrawn by Ridly Greig2 min

3rd

  • 12:03OTTShane Pinto · Hookingdrawn by Charlie Coyle2 min
  • 13:29BOSTrent Frederic · Slashingdrawn by Anton Forsberg2 min
  • 13:29OTTAnton Forsberg · Roughingdrawn by Trent Frederic2 min
  • 16:29OTTShane Pinto · Hookingdrawn by David Pastrnak2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
BOS goalOTT goalFinal: BOS 0%

Biggest swing: Jiri Smejkal, 2nd 10:03 — OTT 47% → 66%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. McAvoy · On goal · xG 0.30J. DeBrusk · On goal · xG 0.26P. Zacha · Goal · xG 0.23P. Zacha · On goal · xG 0.21P. Zacha · Missed · xG 0.17P. Zacha · On goal · xG 0.13T. Frederic · Missed · xG 0.13J. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.12P. Zacha · On goal · xG 0.11J. Lauko · On goal · xG 0.10C. McAvoy · On goal · xG 0.09B. Marchand · On goal · xG 0.08D. Pastrnak · On goal · xG 0.08T. Frederic · On goal · xG 0.08C. Coyle · Missed · xG 0.07P. Zacha · Missed · xG 0.06J. Megna · Missed · xG 0.06J. Boqvist · On goal · xG 0.06J. DeBrusk · On goal · xG 0.06J. DeBrusk · On goal · xG 0.05P. Zacha · On goal · xG 0.05D. Pastrnak · On goal · xG 0.05P. Zacha · On goal · xG 0.04T. Frederic · Missed · xG 0.04J. Lauko · On goal · xG 0.03K. Shattenkirk · On goal · xG 0.03D. Heinen · On goal · xG 0.03T. Frederic · On goal · xG 0.03J. DeBrusk · Missed · xG 0.03D. Pastrnak · On goal · xG 0.02T. Frederic · On goal · xG 0.02M. Grzelcyk · Missed · xG 0.02T. Frederic · On goal · xG 0.02J. Lauko · On goal · xG 0.02C. McAvoy · Missed · xG 0.02K. Shattenkirk · On goal · xG 0.02K. Shattenkirk · On goal · xG 0.02J. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.02C. Coyle · On goal · xG 0.01M. Grzelcyk · On goal · xG 0.01M. Geekie · On goal · xG 0.01J. van Riemsdyk · Missed · xG 0.01J. DeBrusk · On goal · xG 0.00M. Grzelcyk · On goal · xG 0.00J. Boqvist · On goal · xG 0.00
BOS1 G · 3.0 xG · 45 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

OTTvsBOS
1.82 G
All situations
1 G3.0
0.62 G
Even strength
0 G2.3
0.20 G
Power play
1 G0.7

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 73 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
OTT11%89%BOS

Flurry-adjusted xG 0.75 – 3.02

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

OTTvsBOS
20
Shots on goal
35
35%
Faceoffs
65%
0/2
Power play
1/2
6
Penalty minutes
6
31
Hits
33
17
Blocked shots
8
14
Giveaways
11
10
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Ottawa Senators skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
85J. SandersonD000+100.43120—27:02
2A. ZubD101+210.57530—25:58
6J. ChychrunD101+120.05120—22:15
26E. BrannstromD011+110.01320—20:17
28C. GirouxR000+130.151005419:19
57S. PintoC000+120.132144018:45
19D. BathersonR011+130.10100—18:18
71R. GreigC000020.073104017:12
7B. TkachukL011+100.020005016:47
21M. JosephR000010.01010—15:58
24J. Bernard-DockerD000+100.00010—15:34
13J. SmejkalL101+110.0923010014:59
27P. KellyC000+100.06610013:20
38Z. OstapchukC000000.00200011:02
17Z. MacEwenR000+100.00300—10:42
14B. KatchoukL000010.01100—10:35
81D. KubalikL000+120.02000—10:30
72T. ChabotD000010.03000—06:46
Ottawa Senators goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31A. Forsberg(W)35341.9713.04+2.0460:00

Season series

BOS leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).