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Minnesota Wild at Los Angeles Kings

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Recap

written from the game data

The Minnesota Wild beat the Los Angeles Kings 3-1. The Wild scored first and never trailed. The Wild led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Ryan Hartman's goal at 19:55 of the second period, which took the Wild's chances from 71% to 89%. Expected goals favored the Wild, 2.8 to 2.0; shots on goal were MIN 28, LAK 24. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Wild win a replay of these chances 64% of the time. Filip Gustavsson stopped 23 of 24 (.958), 1.0 goals saved above expected; Cam Talbot stopped 25 of 28 (.893). Three stars: 1. Kirill Kaprizov (1 G, 1 A), 2. Ryan Hartman (1 G), 3. Marco Rossi (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MIN
    K. Kaprizov1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    MIN
    R. Hartman1 G
  3. ★★★
    MIN
    M. Rossi2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
MINMIN1818112328
LAKLAK0705112124

Scoring

4 goals

1st period

  1. MIN
    M. Boldy(29)PPG
    M. Rossi (18), B. Faber (39)
    wristxG 0.15win prob +11 ptsVideo
    1-0
    14:14

2nd period

  1. MIN
    wristxG 0.13win prob +18 ptsVideo
    2-0
    19:55

3rd period

  1. MIN
    wristxG 0.09win prob +5 ptsVideo
    3-0
    8:25
  2. LAK
    snapxG 0.15win prob +2 ptsVideo
    3-1
    14:36

Penalties

MIN 8 PIM·LAK 6 PIM

1st

  • 3:04MINZach Bogosian · Interferencedrawn by Akil Thomas2 min
  • 13:42LAKAlex Laferriere · Interferencedrawn by Jon Merrill2 min
  • 17:00MINAlex Goligoski · Holding the stickdrawn by Drew Doughty2 min

2nd

  • 6:29LAKMikey Anderson · Hookingdrawn by Matt Boldy2 min
  • 15:38LAKAndreas Englund · High stickingdrawn by Marco Rossi2 min

3rd

  • 5:42MINMason Shaw · Holdingdrawn by Jordan Spence2 min
  • 19:58MINJoel Eriksson Ek · Holdingdrawn by Kevin Fiala2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
LAK goalMIN goalFinal: LAK 0%

Biggest swing: Ryan Hartman, 2nd 19:55 — MIN 71% → 89%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Laferriere · Missed · xG 0.20V. Arvidsson · On goal · xG 0.15B. Lizotte · Goal · xG 0.15A. Kempe · On goal · xG 0.13P. Dubois · Missed · xG 0.13Q. Byfield · Missed · xG 0.12V. Arvidsson · On goal · xG 0.12P. Dubois · Missed · xG 0.11D. Doughty · On goal · xG 0.11P. Danault · Missed · xG 0.10A. Kempe · On goal · xG 0.07A. Kempe · On goal · xG 0.07P. Danault · On goal · xG 0.06A. Kempe · On goal · xG 0.06K. Fiala · Missed · xG 0.06V. Gavrikov · Missed · xG 0.06M. Roy · On goal · xG 0.04M. Roy · On goal · xG 0.03D. Doughty · On goal · xG 0.03V. Gavrikov · On goal · xG 0.03A. Kopitar · On goal · xG 0.02P. Dubois · Missed · xG 0.02V. Gavrikov · On goal · xG 0.02T. Lewis · Missed · xG 0.02T. Moore · On goal · xG 0.02A. Kempe · Missed · xG 0.02A. Kempe · Missed · xG 0.02V. Arvidsson · Missed · xG 0.01V. Arvidsson · On goal · xG 0.01V. Gavrikov · Missed · xG 0.01K. Fiala · On goal · xG 0.01V. Gavrikov · On goal · xG 0.01M. Roy · On goal · xG 0.01T. Lewis · On goal · xG 0.01M. Anderson · On goal · xG 0.01V. Arvidsson · On goal · xG 0.00Q. Byfield · On goal · xG 0.00
LAK1 G · 2.0 xG · 37 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MINvsLAK
2.83 G
All situations
1 G2.0
1.92 G
Even strength
1 G1.4
0.91 G
Power play
0 G0.7

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 78 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MIN64%36%LAK

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.78 – 2.04

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MINvsLAK
28
Shots on goal
24
56%
Faceoffs
44%
1/3
Power play
0/4
8
Penalty minutes
6
11
Hits
18
16
Blocked shots
14
2
Giveaways
7
4
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Minnesota Wild skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
7B. FaberD011-130.11210—25:35
97K. KaprizovL112+150.98100—24:25
25J. BrodinD000+100.00220—21:48
14J. Eriksson EkC011030.220226120:06
38R. HartmanR101+120.250305019:44
12M. BoldyL101040.4611010019:10
5J. MiddletonD011000.00110—17:52
24Z. BogosianD000+200.02012—17:45
22M. KhusnutdinovC000000.070106415:41
28L. OhgrenL000040.18000—15:25
23M. RossiC022+110.130005015:24
90M. JohanssonL000010.01100—14:15
4J. MerrillD000010.18010—12:57
27J. LucchiniC000000.00000012:54
89F. GaudreauC000010.10210010:52
33A. GoligoskiD000020.03122—10:45
47D. ChisholmD000000.00000—09:41
15M. ShawC000010.06002009:39
Minnesota Wild goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
32F. Gustavsson(W)24231.9582.04+1.0460:00

Season series

LAK leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).