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Blue Jackets at Predators
NHL

Columbus Blue Jackets at Nashville Predators

NHL scoreboard
Columbus Blue Jackets
4
Nashville Predators
▸6
FinalTV BSSO, BSOH·Bridgestone Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Nashville Predators beat the Columbus Blue Jackets 6-4. The Blue Jackets scored first; the Predators answered. The Predators led 6-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Tommy Novak's goal at 13:25 of the first period, which took the Predators' chances from 67% to 81%. Expected goals favored the Predators, 2.9 to 2.2; shots on goal were CBJ 37, NSH 37. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Predators win a replay of these chances 62% of the time. Jet Greaves stopped 31 of 37 (.838), 3.1 goals below expected; Juuse Saros stopped 31 of 35 (.886), 1.9 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Roman Josi (2 G, 2 A), 2. Tommy Novak (2 G, 1 A), 3. Luke Evangelista (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NSH
    R. Josi2 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    NSH
    T. Novak2 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    NSH
    L. Evangelista2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CBJCBJ11519213437
NSHNSH310313014637

Scoring

10 goals

1st period

  1. CBJ
    J. Malatesta(1)
    J. Danforth (13)
    wristxG 0.11win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-0
    2:04
  2. NSH
    T. Novak(17)
    L. Evangelista (22), R. Josi (61)
    wristxG 0.21win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-1
    2:49
  3. NSH
    R. Josi(22)PPG
    G. Nyquist (51), R. O'Reilly (42)
    slapxG 0.04win prob +8 ptsVideo
    1-2
    4:19
  4. NSH
    T. Novak(18)
    A. Beauvillier (12), R. McDonagh (27)
    wristxG 0.03win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-3
    13:25

2nd period

  1. NSH
    C. Glass(6)
    A. Carrier (16), M. Jankowski (8)
    tip-inxG 0.05win prob +9 ptsVideo
    1-4
    4:52
  2. CBJ
    A. Texier(12)
    D. Severson (19)
    wristxG 0.16win prob +8 ptsVideo
    2-4
    10:23
  3. NSH
    F. Forsberg(47)PPG
    R. Josi (62), G. Nyquist (52)
    tip-inxG 0.19win prob +6 ptsVideo
    2-5
    13:12
  4. NSH
    R. Josi(23)
    L. Evangelista (23), T. Novak (27)
    wristxG 0.19win prob +3 ptsVideo
    2-6
    15:09

3rd period

  1. CBJ
    T. Fix-Wolansky(1)
    J. Danforth (14), E. Gudbranson (18)
    backhandxG 0.13win prob +1 ptsVideo
    3-6
    6:02
  2. CBJ
    T. Fix-Wolansky(2)
    J. Danforth (15), J. Malatesta (2)
    wristxG 0.06Video
    4-6
    19:30

Penalties

CBJ 11 PIM·NSH 7 PIM

1st

  • 4:12CBJKirill Marchenko · Trippingdrawn by Cody Glass2 min
  • 17:03NSHLuke Schenn · Fightingdrawn by Mathieu Olivier5 min
  • 17:03CBJMathieu Olivier · Fightingdrawn by Luke Schenn5 min

2nd

  • 12:18CBJAlex Nylander · High stickingdrawn by Cody Glass2 min

3rd

  • 13:12CBJAlexandre Texier · Trippingdrawn by Ryan O'Reilly2 min
  • 14:15NSHJason Zucker · Trippingdrawn by Erik Gudbranson2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NSH goalCBJ goalFinal: NSH 100%

Biggest swing: Tommy Novak, 1st 13:25 — NSH 67% → 81%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
T. Novak · Goal · xG 0.21F. Forsberg · Goal · xG 0.19R. Josi · Goal · xG 0.19J. Anderson-Dolan · On goal · xG 0.17R. Josi · Missed · xG 0.16C. Glass · On goal · xG 0.16J. Zucker · On goal · xG 0.11F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.10L. Evangelista · On goal · xG 0.09R. O'Reilly · Missed · xG 0.09M. McCarron · Missed · xG 0.08J. Zucker · On goal · xG 0.08A. Beauvillier · On goal · xG 0.08F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.07F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.07L. Evangelista · On goal · xG 0.06J. Lauzon · On goal · xG 0.06C. Glass · Goal · xG 0.05R. McDonagh · On goal · xG 0.05R. McDonagh · On goal · xG 0.05C. Glass · On goal · xG 0.05A. Beauvillier · Missed · xG 0.04R. Josi · Goal · xG 0.04M. Jankowski · Missed · xG 0.04F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.04K. Sherwood · Missed · xG 0.04A. Beauvillier · On goal · xG 0.04F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.03R. Josi · Missed · xG 0.03K. Sherwood · Missed · xG 0.03T. Novak · Goal · xG 0.03L. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.03G. Nyquist · On goal · xG 0.03A. Beauvillier · On goal · xG 0.03F. Forsberg · Missed · xG 0.03A. Carrier · On goal · xG 0.03J. Lauzon · Missed · xG 0.02M. McCarron · On goal · xG 0.02A. Beauvillier · On goal · xG 0.02T. Novak · Missed · xG 0.02J. Lauzon · Missed · xG 0.01L. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.01M. McCarron · On goal · xG 0.01F. Forsberg · Missed · xG 0.01J. Anderson-Dolan · On goal · xG 0.01G. Nyquist · On goal · xG 0.01M. McCarron · On goal · xG 0.01L. Evangelista · Missed · xG 0.01S. Stastney · Missed · xG 0.01J. Lauzon · Missed · xG 0.01L. Evangelista · On goal · xG 0.00T. Novak · On goal · xG 0.00M. McCarron · On goal · xG 0.00
NSH6 G · 2.9 xG · 53 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CBJvsNSH
2.24 G
All situations
6 G2.9
2.14 G
Even strength
4 G2.3
0.10 G
Power play
2 G0.6
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 101 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CBJ38%62%NSH

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.22 – 2.86

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CBJvsNSH
37
Shots on goal
37
51%
Faceoffs
49%
0/1
Power play
2/3
11
Penalty minutes
7
23
Hits
16
4
Blocked shots
19
9
Giveaways
21
10
Takeaways
16

Box score

every player line
Columbus Blue Jackets skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8Z. WerenskiD000+200.02010—24:00
78D. SeversonD011+210.16100—22:25
9I. ProvorovD000-100.00110—20:58
44E. GudbransonD011-210.03200—19:09
4C. SillingerC000070.362005417:57
86K. MarchenkoR000020.04102—17:25
42A. TexierL101030.21102—17:19
7S. KuralyC000-120.013004716:49
55D.JiricekD000-100.00010—16:32
77N. BlankenburgD000020.03300—16:11
92A. NylanderL000-150.50102—14:59
24M. OlivierR000-110.02305—14:37
10D. VoronkovL000-120.191004314:36
13J. GaudreauL000-130.11000—14:14
82M. PyyhtiaL000+120.08010—13:06
17J. DanforthR033+200.000006412:58
67J. MalatestaL112030.25400—12:55
64T. Fix-WolanskyR202+230.23000—10:49
Columbus Blue Jackets goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
73J. Greaves(L)37316.8382.88-3.1260:00

Season series

NSH leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).