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Utah Mammoth at Edmonton Oilers

Final/OTTV SCRIPPS, SNW·Rogers Place

Recap

written from the game data

The Utah Mammoth beat the Edmonton Oilers 3-2 in overtime, Matias Maccelli scoring at 1:35. The Coyotes scored first and never trailed. The Coyotes led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Matias Maccelli's goal at 1:35 of overtime, which took the Coyotes' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals were close — ARI 3.4, EDM 3.5; shots on goal were ARI 28, EDM 41. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Oilers win a replay of these chances 50% of the time. Karel Vejmelka stopped 39 of 41 (.951), 1.5 goals saved above expected; Calvin Pickard stopped 25 of 28 (.893). Three stars: 1. Matias Maccelli (1 G, 1 A), 2. Karel Vejmelka (39 saves, .951), 3. Evander Kane (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    ARI
    M. Maccelli1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    ARI
    K. Vejmelka39 saves, .951
  3. ★★★
    EDM
    E. Kane2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
ARIARI110180713328
EDMEDM0611611801241

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. ARI
    wristxG 0.19win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-0
    5:20

2nd period

  1. EDM
    backhandxG 0.10win prob +16 ptsVideo
    1-1
    1:49
  2. ARI
    batxG 0.30win prob +17 ptsVideo
    2-1
    5:37

3rd period

  1. EDM
    W. Foegele (21), E. Kane (20)
    slapxG 0.02win prob +25 ptsVideo
    2-2
    1:12

Overtime

  1. ARI
    wristxG 0.09win prob +51 ptsVideo
    3-2
    1:35

Penalties

ARI 2 PIM·EDM 4 PIM

1st

  • 6:09ARIMichael Carcone · Slashingdrawn by Derek Ryan2 min
  • 17:39EDMEvan Bouchard · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

2nd

  • 13:29EDMMattias Ekholm · Trippingdrawn by Michael Carcone2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
EDM goalARI goalFinal: EDM 0%

Biggest swing: Matias Maccelli, OT 1:35 — ARI 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
D. Ryan · On goal · xG 0.41A. Henrique · On goal · xG 0.21D. Holloway · On goal · xG 0.17Z. Hyman · Missed · xG 0.16A. Henrique · On goal · xG 0.16E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.13R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.12Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.12Z. Hyman · Missed · xG 0.11R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.11W. Foegele · Missed · xG 0.11A. Henrique · Goal · xG 0.10A. Henrique · Missed · xG 0.09D. Ryan · On goal · xG 0.09C. Brown · On goal · xG 0.09R. Nugent-Hopkins · Missed · xG 0.08R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.08E. Kane · Missed · xG 0.08Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.08Z. Hyman · On goal · xG 0.07L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.07E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.07M. Ekholm · Missed · xG 0.06M. Ekholm · On goal · xG 0.06B. Kulak · On goal · xG 0.05D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.05R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.04R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.04C. Perry · Missed · xG 0.03A. Henrique · On goal · xG 0.03C. Brown · On goal · xG 0.02E. Bouchard · On goal · xG 0.02B. Kulak · On goal · xG 0.02M. Ekholm · On goal · xG 0.02E. Bouchard · On goal · xG 0.02E. Bouchard · Missed · xG 0.02W. Foegele · On goal · xG 0.02W. Foegele · On goal · xG 0.02A. Henrique · Missed · xG 0.02E. Kane · On goal · xG 0.02T. Stecher · On goal · xG 0.02D. Nurse · Goal · xG 0.02D. Nurse · Missed · xG 0.01A. Henrique · Missed · xG 0.01D. Nurse · On goal · xG 0.01E. Kane · Missed · xG 0.01E. Bouchard · On goal · xG 0.01M. Ekholm · Missed · xG 0.01B. Kulak · On goal · xG 0.01R. Nugent-Hopkins · On goal · xG 0.01C. Perry · Missed · xG 0.01T. Stecher · Missed · xG 0.01T. Stecher · On goal · xG 0.01C. Perry · On goal · xG 0.01B. Kulak · On goal · xG 0.01W. Foegele · On goal · xG 0.00L. Draisaitl · On goal · xG 0.00
EDM2 G · 3.5 xG · 57 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

ARIvsEDM
3.43 G
All situations
2 G3.5
3.13 G
Even strength
2 G3.4
0.20 G
Power play
0 G0.1
0.20 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 96 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
ARI50%50%EDM

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.34 – 3.36

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

ARIvsEDM
28
Shots on goal
41
35%
Faceoffs
65%
0/2
Power play
0/1
2
Penalty minutes
4
19
Hits
37
18
Blocked shots
12
4
Giveaways
9
7
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
Utah Mammoth skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
4J. VälimäkiD000+110.01250—22:53
50S. DurziD011-150.27010—22:08
5M. KesselringD011+210.04210—21:16
8N. SchmaltzC011+140.700002221:13
9C. KellerR000060.57010—21:12
90J. MoserD000-210.02300—20:42
15A. KerfootC000000.061303320:16
11D. GuentherR000-120.221001717:39
92L. CooleyC101-130.630001017:16
52V. KolyachonokD000000.00040—15:54
67L. CrouseL000-200.0001010015:50
63M. MaccelliL112+220.2200010014:59
3J. BrownD000+100.00310—14:52
22J. McBainC011+110.162005014:21
91J. DoanR112+220.53000—14:20
38L. O'BrienC000000.00200010:35
53M. CarconeL000000.00002—10:03
73J. JenikC000000.003105007:16
Utah Mammoth goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
70K. Vejmelka(W)41392.9513.48+1.4861:35

Season series

ARI leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).