Skip to content
Hurricanes at Blues
NHL

Carolina Hurricanes at St. Louis Blues

NHL scoreboard
Carolina Hurricanes
▸5
St. Louis Blues
2
FinalTV NHLN, BSSO·Enterprise Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Carolina Hurricanes beat the St. Louis Blues 5-2. The Blues scored first; the Hurricanes answered. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jaccob Slavin's goal at 7:53 of the third period, which took the Hurricanes' chances from 50% to 77%. Expected goals favored the Hurricanes, 3.4 to 2.4; shots on goal were CAR 42, STL 31. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Blues win a replay of these chances 55% of the time. Frederik Andersen stopped 29 of 31 (.935); Jordan Binnington stopped 37 of 40 (.925), 0.9 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Jaccob Slavin (1 G, 1 A), 2. Jordan Kyrou (1 G), 3. Sebastian Aho (1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CAR
    J. Slavin1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    STL
    J. Kyrou1 G
  3. ★★★
    CAR
    S. Aho1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CARCAR113119310542
STLSTL11116014231

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. STL
    Z. Bolduc(5)
    N. Leddy (24), R. Thomas (59)
    slapxG 0.17win prob +15 ptsVideo
    0-1
    17:34
  2. CAR
    J. Martinook(14)
    A. Svechnikov (31)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-1
    18:59

2nd period

  1. STL
    J. Kyrou(30)PPG
    P. Buchnevich (36), R. Thomas (60)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +13 ptsVideo
    1-2
    5:41
  2. CAR
    S. Jarvis(31)
    B. Skjei (34), F. Andersen (1)
    wristxG 0.04win prob +18 ptsVideo
    2-2
    8:07

3rd period

  1. CAR
    J. Slavin(6)
    S. Aho (53), T. DeAngelo (8)
    tip-inxG 0.06win prob +27 ptsVideo
    3-2
    7:53
  2. CAR
    J. Guentzel(29)EN
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.75win prob +7 ptsVideo
    4-2
    17:20
  3. CAR
    J. Guentzel(30)EN
    S. Jarvis (34), J. Slavin (31)
    wristxG 0.56Video
    5-2
    19:10

Penalties

CAR 6 PIM·STL 6 PIM

1st

  • 9:36STLRobert Thomas · Slashingdrawn by Brady Skjei2 min
  • 10:15CARSebastian Aho · Slashingdrawn by Pavel Buchnevich2 min

2nd

  • 4:44CARBrendan Lemieux · Trippingdrawn by Jordan Kyrou2 min
  • 11:48STLRobert Thomas · Hookingdrawn by Sebastian Aho2 min

3rd

  • 6:14CARStefan Noesen · Holdingdrawn by Marco Scandella2 min
  • 6:46STLBrayden Schenn · High stickingdrawn by Jaccob Slavin2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
STL goalCAR goalFinal: STL 0%

Biggest swing: Jaccob Slavin, 3rd 7:53 — CAR 50% → 77%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Toropchenko · On goal · xG 0.27Z. Bolduc · Goal · xG 0.17A. Toropchenko · On goal · xG 0.15J. Kyrou · On goal · xG 0.13R. Thomas · On goal · xG 0.13A. Toropchenko · On goal · xG 0.12Z. Dean · On goal · xG 0.11B. Saad · On goal · xG 0.10B. Saad · On goal · xG 0.10Z. Dean · On goal · xG 0.10J. Kyrou · Goal · xG 0.09Z. Dean · On goal · xG 0.08R. Thomas · On goal · xG 0.08K. Kapanen · Missed · xG 0.08P. Buchnevich · On goal · xG 0.08N. Walker · Missed · xG 0.07N. Alexandrov · On goal · xG 0.06J. Kyrou · On goal · xG 0.06R. Thomas · On goal · xG 0.04B. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.04R. Thomas · On goal · xG 0.04B. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.04J. Kyrou · On goal · xG 0.03N. Leddy · On goal · xG 0.03Z. Bolduc · Missed · xG 0.03B. Saad · Missed · xG 0.03B. Saad · On goal · xG 0.02N. Leddy · Missed · xG 0.02N. Leddy · On goal · xG 0.02C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.02J. Kyrou · Missed · xG 0.01K. Kapanen · Missed · xG 0.01M. Kessel · On goal · xG 0.01A. Toropchenko · On goal · xG 0.01B. Saad · On goal · xG 0.00K. Kapanen · On goal · xG 0.00K. Kapanen · On goal · xG 0.00M. Kessel · On goal · xG 0.00
STL2 G · 2.4 xG · 38 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CARvsSTL
3.43 G
All situations
2 G2.4
1.83 G
Even strength
1 G2.1
0.20 G
Power play
1 G0.2
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 93 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CAR45%55%STL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.04 – 2.31

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CARvsSTL
42
Shots on goal
31
49%
Faceoffs
51%
0/3
Power play
1/3
6
Penalty minutes
6
9
Hits
19
14
Blocked shots
18
3
Giveaways
4
10
Takeaways
13

Box score

every player line
Carolina Hurricanes skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8B. BurnsD000+230.09010—23:29
74J. SlavinD112+340.11020—22:29
76B. SkjeiD011060.16010—21:25
20S. AhoC011+420.171025620:03
7D. OrlovD000+120.07000—19:09
24S. JarvisR112+320.07110—18:08
59J. GuentzelC202+431.3400010018:00
37A. SvechnikovR011+120.07010—17:16
77T. DeAngeloD011+100.03020—16:57
88M. NecasC000-110.24000016:12
48J. MartinookL101+120.192005015:52
82J. KotkaniemiC000+110.020107515:10
18J. DruryC000-100.030403013:48
56S. MorrowD000+130.10110—13:35
23S. NoesenR000-120.05102—13:03
92E. KuznetsovC000020.100005711:22
71J. FastR000050.40000—10:52
28B. LemieuxL000020.14302—08:17
Carolina Hurricanes goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31F. Andersen(W)31292.9352.35+0.3559:56

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).