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Los Angeles Kings at Anaheim Ducks

FinalTV BSSD, BSSC·Honda Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Anaheim Ducks beat the Los Angeles Kings 3-1. The Kings scored first; the Ducks answered. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Alex Killorn's goal at 1:51 of the third period, which took the Ducks' chances from 55% to 77%. Expected goals favored the Ducks, 3.2 to 2.3; shots on goal were LAK 37, ANA 27. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Kings win a replay of these chances 57% of the time. Cam Talbot stopped 24 of 27 (.889), 1.0 goals below expected; Lukas Dostal stopped 36 of 37 (.973), 1.3 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Lukas Dostal (36 saves, .973), 2. Ryan Strome (2 A), 3. Trevor Zegras (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    ANA
    L. Dostal36 saves, .973
  2. ★★
    ANA
    R. Strome2 A
  3. ★★★
    ANA
    T. Zegras1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
LAKLAK18016013137
ANAANA1801029327

Scoring

4 goals

1st period

  1. LAK
    tip-inxG 0.06win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-0
    5:50
  2. ANA
    R. Gudas (11), R. Strome (27)
    wristxG 0.29win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-1
    17:46

3rd period

  1. ANA
    C. Fowler (31), R. Strome (28)
    snapxG 0.05win prob +22 ptsVideo
    1-2
    1:51
  2. ANA
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.05win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-3
    5:50

Penalties

LAK 6 PIM·ANA 4 PIM

2nd

  • 9:25ANATroy Terry · Trippingdrawn by Pierre-Luc Dubois2 min
  • 19:44LAKTrevor Moore · Hookingdrawn by Olen Zellweger2 min

3rd

  • 2:23LAKAnze Kopitar · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Lukas Dostal2 min
  • 10:20LAKViktor Arvidsson · Interferencedrawn by Frank Vatrano2 min
  • 16:21ANALukas Dostal · Trippingdrawn by Phillip Danault2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
ANA goalLAK goalFinal: ANA 100%

Biggest swing: Alex Killorn, 3rd 1:51 — ANA 55% → 77%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Killorn · Missed · xG 0.50L. Dostal · Missed · xG 0.38J. Silfverberg · Missed · xG 0.34F. Vatrano · Goal · xG 0.29T. Zegras · On goal · xG 0.20L. Carlsson · On goal · xG 0.14A. Killorn · On goal · xG 0.12T. Zegras · Missed · xG 0.10F. Vatrano · On goal · xG 0.09N. Nesterenko · On goal · xG 0.09A. Killorn · Missed · xG 0.09I. Lundeström · On goal · xG 0.08J. LaCombe · Missed · xG 0.07F. Vatrano · On goal · xG 0.07A. Killorn · On goal · xG 0.06T. Terry · On goal · xG 0.05A. Killorn · Goal · xG 0.05F. Vatrano · On goal · xG 0.05T. Zegras · Goal · xG 0.05N. Nesterenko · On goal · xG 0.05N. Nesterenko · On goal · xG 0.04F. Vatrano · On goal · xG 0.04I. Lundeström · On goal · xG 0.03I. Lundeström · Missed · xG 0.03T. Terry · On goal · xG 0.03A. Killorn · On goal · xG 0.02B. Leason · On goal · xG 0.02J. Silfverberg · On goal · xG 0.02B. Leason · On goal · xG 0.02T. Terry · Missed · xG 0.02J. Silfverberg · On goal · xG 0.02A. Killorn · On goal · xG 0.02A. Killorn · On goal · xG 0.01U. Vaakanainen · On goal · xG 0.01T. Terry · On goal · xG 0.01R. Strome · Missed · xG 0.01J. Silfverberg · Missed · xG 0.00
ANA3 G · 3.2 xG · 37 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

LAKvsANA
2.31 G
All situations
3 G3.2
1.91 G
Even strength
3 G1.5
0.40 G
Power play
0 G0.4
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 93 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
LAK57%43%ANA

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.31 – 1.95

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

LAKvsANA
37
Shots on goal
27
73%
Faceoffs
27%
0/2
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
4
21
Hits
30
12
Blocked shots
14
6
Giveaways
8
3
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Los Angeles Kings skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8D. DoughtyD000-140.24320—26:39
84V. GavrikovD011-110.02020—22:14
3M. RoyD000030.09110—21:24
44M. AndersonD000-120.10300—19:53
9A. KempeR000030.24000—19:52
22K. FialaL000-110.14210—18:53
11A. KopitarC000010.110028618:40
33V. ArvidssonL000-120.21212—17:28
24P. DanaultC000-230.170106916:34
12T. MooreL000-230.30102—15:34
78A. LaferriereR000-110.19500—14:49
80P. DuboisC000-120.080007114:10
61T. LewisC011+120.1531010012:43
21J. SpenceD000-120.02000—12:31
46B. LizotteC000+110.010007012:21
5A. EnglundD000010.01010—11:56
55Q. ByfieldR000010.13010—10:54
41A. ThomasC101040.12110010:12
Los Angeles Kings goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
39C. Talbot(L)27243.8891.98-1.0257:13

Season series

LAK leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).