Wild at Blackhawks 4-0 — Recap, Win Probability & Shot Map

NHL scoreboard

Minnesota Wild

▸4

Chicago Blackhawks

FinalTV BSWIX, BSN·United Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Minnesota Wild beat the Chicago Blackhawks 4-0. The Wild scored first and never trailed. The Wild led 3-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Marco Rossi's goal at 12:30 of the second period, which took the Wild's chances from 67% to 84%. Expected goals favored the Wild, 2.8 to 1.4; shots on goal were MIN 37, CHI 24. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Wild win a replay of these chances 77% of the time. Jesper Wallstedt stopped 24 of 24 (1.000), 1.4 goals saved above expected; Arvid Soderblom stopped 33 of 37 (.892), 1.2 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Jesper Wallstedt (24 saves, 1.000), 2. Kirill Kaprizov (2 G, 1 A), 3. Frederick Gaudreau (1 G).

Three stars

★
J. Wallstedt24 saves, 1.000
★★
K. Kaprizov2 G, 1 A
★★★
F. Gaudreau1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath

Goals and shots on goal by period
Team	1st	2nd	3rd	T
MIN	013	316	18	437
CHI	05	011	08	024

Scoring

4 goals

2nd period

K. Kaprizov(40)PPG
M. Boldy (35), J. Eriksson Ek (32)
wristxG 0.08win prob +12 ptsVideo
1-0
1:06
M. Rossi(21)
M. Zuccarello (49), K. Kaprizov (48)
snapxG 0.15win prob +18 ptsVideo
2-0
12:30
F. Gaudreau(5)
Z. Bogosian (11), M. Khusnutdinov (2)
tip-inxG 0.09win prob +8 ptsVideo
3-0
18:27

3rd period

K. Kaprizov(41)
B. Faber (36)
wristxG 0.10win prob +1 ptsVideo
4-0
8:10

Penalties

0 PIM·

4 PIM

1st

12:13Kevin Korchinski · Holdingdrawn by Joel Eriksson Ek2 min

2nd

0:34Philipp Kurashev · High stickingdrawn by Jake Middleton2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game

Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number

goal

goalFinal: CHI

Biggest swing: Marco Rossi, 2nd 12:30 — MIN 67% → 84%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG

0 G · 1.4 xG · 34 att

←

attacks

attacks →

4 G · 2.8 xG · 49 att CHI

0 G · 1.4 xG · 34 att

Tap a shot for who, when and how likely

GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

2.84 G
All situations: 0 G1.4; 2.43 G
Even strength: 0 G1.2; 0.41 G
Power play: 0 G0.0; 0.00 G
Shorthanded: 0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 83 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created

77%23%

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.81 – 1.35

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

37
Shots on goal: 24; 32%
Faceoffs: 68%; 1/2
Power play: 0/0; 0
Penalty minutes: 4; 10
Hits: 14; 14
Blocked shots: 11; 2
Giveaways: 10; 6
Takeaways: 5

Box score

every player line

Minnesota Wild skaters
Skater	G	A	P	+/-	SOG	ixG	Hit	Blk	FO%	TOI
7B. FaberD	0	1	1	+1	3	0.03	1	1	—	24:03
97K. KaprizovL	2	1	3	+2	4	0.44	0	1	—	24:01
25J. BrodinD	0	0	0	+1	0	0.02	0	2	—	22:01
24Z. BogosianD	0	1	1	+1	1	0.00	0	2	—	21:55
12M. BoldyL	0	1	1	+1	4	0.22	0	0	—	21:15
36M. ZuccarelloR	0	1	1	+1	3	0.31	0	1	—	20:41
5J. MiddletonD	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	1	1	—	20:26
23M. RossiC	1	0	1	+1	1	0.15	0	0	33	18:57
90M. JohanssonL	0	0	0	0	2	0.18	0	0	—	17:21
38R. HartmanR	0	0	0	+1	3	0.15	0	1	—	16:13
14J. Eriksson EkC	0	1	1	+1	5	0.34	2	1	33	16:04
22M. KhusnutdinovC	0	1	1	+1	0	0.03	2	2	40	14:58
47D. ChisholmD	0	0	0	+1	1	0.03	0	0	—	14:24
89F. GaudreauC	1	0	1	+1	3	0.22	0	2	40	13:33
27J. LucchiniC	0	0	0	0	2	0.24	1	0	33	10:05
6D. MermisD	0	0	0	+1	2	0.23	0	0	—	10:05
15M. ShawC	0	0	0	0	2	0.20	3	0	100	09:41
4J. MerrillD	0	0	0	0	1	0.00	0	0	—	05:00

Minnesota Wild goalies
Goalie	SA	SV	GA	SV%	xGA	GSAx	TOI
30J. Wallstedt(W)	24	24	0	1.000	1.37	+1.37	59:17

Season series

MIN leads 3-0

Dec 31@4Final
Feb 72@1Final
Apr 74@0this game

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).

Minnesota Wild at Chicago Blackhawks

2nd period

3rd period

1st

2nd

Box score