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Penguins at Capitals
NHL

Pittsburgh Penguins at Washington Capitals

NHL scoreboard
Pittsburgh Penguins
▸4
Washington Capitals
1
FinalTV SN-PIT, MNMT·Capital One Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Pittsburgh Penguins beat the Washington Capitals 4-1. The Penguins scored first and never trailed. The Penguins led 3-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Pierre-Olivier Joseph's goal at 11:03 of the first period, which took the Penguins' chances from 60% to 75%. Expected goals were close — PIT 2.9, WSH 2.9; shots on goal were PIT 24, WSH 31. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Capitals win a replay of these chances 65% of the time. Alex Nedeljkovic stopped 30 of 31 (.968), 1.9 goals saved above expected; Charlie Lindgren stopped 20 of 23 (.870), 0.9 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Alex Nedeljkovic (30 saves, .968), 2. Pierre-Olivier Joseph (1 G), 3. Alex Ovechkin (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    PIT
    A. Nedeljkovic30 saves, .968
  2. ★★
    PIT
    P. Joseph1 G
  3. ★★★
    WSH
    A. Ovechkin1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
PITPIT2611018424
WSHWSH0905117131

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. PIT
    R. Shea(1)
    R. Smith (24), L. Eller (14)
    snapxG 0.01win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-0
    1:49
  2. PIT
    P. Joseph(2)
    K. Letang (39), D. O'Connor (16)
    slapxG 0.03win prob +16 ptsVideo
    2-0
    11:03

2nd period

  1. PIT
    M. Bunting(17)
    V. Puustinen (15), E. Karlsson (39)
    slapxG 0.03win prob +10 ptsVideo
    3-0
    9:08

3rd period

  1. WSH
    A. Ovechkin(27)PPG
    S. Milano (8), H. Lapierre (12)
    wristxG 0.40win prob +6 ptsVideo
    3-1
    6:02
  2. PIT
    L. Eller(15)EN
    R. Smith (25), K. Letang (40)
    backhandxG 0.86win prob +1 ptsVideo
    4-1
    17:23

Penalties

PIT 8 PIM·WSH 4 PIM

1st

  • 13:14PITJesse Puljujarvi · Trippingdrawn by Hendrix Lapierre2 min

2nd

  • 5:35PITErik Karlsson · Hookingdrawn by Tom Wilson2 min
  • 10:08WSHTom Wilson · Slashingdrawn by Erik Karlsson2 min

3rd

  • 3:55PITErik Karlsson · Holdingdrawn by Tom Wilson2 min
  • 4:02PITKris Letang · Trippingdrawn by Alex Ovechkin2 min
  • 13:10WSHNic Dowd · Cross checkingdrawn by Sidney Crosby2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
WSH goalPIT goalFinal: WSH 0%

Biggest swing: Pierre-Olivier Joseph, 1st 11:03 — PIT 60% → 75%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Ovechkin · Goal · xG 0.40M. Sgarbossa · On goal · xG 0.30A. Ovechkin · Missed · xG 0.22A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.18C. McMichael · On goal · xG 0.16T. Wilson · On goal · xG 0.15J. Carlson · On goal · xG 0.13I. Miroshnichenko · On goal · xG 0.13A. Ovechkin · Missed · xG 0.12A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.11T. Wilson · On goal · xG 0.10A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.09T. Wilson · On goal · xG 0.07N. Dowd · Missed · xG 0.07S. Milano · On goal · xG 0.07J. Carlson · On goal · xG 0.06B. Malenstyn · Missed · xG 0.05D. Strome · On goal · xG 0.05A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.04R. Sandin · Missed · xG 0.04A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.04H. Lapierre · Missed · xG 0.03J. Carlson · On goal · xG 0.02A. Ovechkin · Missed · xG 0.02I. Miroshnichenko · On goal · xG 0.02M. Fehérváry · Missed · xG 0.02H. Lapierre · Missed · xG 0.02T. Wilson · Missed · xG 0.02M. Fehérváry · On goal · xG 0.02J. Carlson · On goal · xG 0.02A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.02T. van Riemsdyk · Missed · xG 0.02A. Ovechkin · Missed · xG 0.01H. Lapierre · On goal · xG 0.01R. Sandin · Missed · xG 0.01J. Carlson · On goal · xG 0.01N. Jensen · On goal · xG 0.01A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.01J. Carlson · Missed · xG 0.01A. Alexeyev · Missed · xG 0.01M. Sgarbossa · Missed · xG 0.01D. Strome · On goal · xG 0.01J. Carlson · On goal · xG 0.01I. Miroshnichenko · Missed · xG 0.01M. Pacioretty · On goal · xG 0.01J. Carlson · On goal · xG 0.00N. Jensen · On goal · xG 0.00J. Carlson · On goal · xG 0.00
WSH1 G · 2.9 xG · 48 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

PITvsWSH
2.93 G
All situations
1 G2.9
1.33 G
Even strength
0 G1.9
0.50 G
Power play
1 G1.1
0.20 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 85 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
PIT35%65%WSH

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.05 – 2.84

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

PITvsWSH
24
Shots on goal
31
56%
Faceoffs
44%
0/2
Power play
1/4
8
Penalty minutes
4
38
Hits
53
18
Blocked shots
8
9
Giveaways
12
21
Takeaways
11

Box score

every player line
Pittsburgh Penguins skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
28M. PetterssonD000+200.01710—25:09
65E. KarlssonD011010.07134—23:10
58K. LetangD022+240.13212—22:22
10D. O'ConnorL011+110.03220—19:08
87S. CrosbyC000+100.052105018:50
20L. EllerC112+230.951306317:55
17B. RustR000+110.33100—17:45
8M. BuntingL101+160.84210—17:40
71E. MalkinC000+100.031102017:36
73P. JosephD101+110.08100—17:28
19R. SmithR022+230.14100—16:39
67R. RakellR000010.23300—15:35
3J. St. IvanyD000+110.02400—14:07
5R. SheaD101+220.03320—13:12
77J. CarterC000+100.003007112:13
48V. PuustinenR011+100.00320—10:07
52E. BemstromC000+100.00010008:27
18J. PuljujarviR000000.001025004:37
Pittsburgh Penguins goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
39A. Nedeljkovic(W)31301.9682.94+1.9460:00

Season series

Tied 2-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).