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Lightning at Canadiens
NHL

Tampa Bay Lightning at Montréal Canadiens

NHL scoreboard
Tampa Bay Lightning
▸7
Montréal Canadiens
4
FinalTV BSSUN, TSN2·Centre Bell

Recap

written from the game data

The Tampa Bay Lightning beat the Montréal Canadiens 7-4. The lead changed hands 2 times. The Lightning led 6-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Steven Stamkos's goal at 7:58 of the second period, which took the Lightning's chances from 47% to 65%. Expected goals favored the Lightning, 3.6 to 2.9; shots on goal were TBL 35, MTL 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Canadiens win a replay of these chances 55% of the time. Matt Tomkins stopped 26 of 30 (.867), 1.1 goals below expected; Cayden Primeau stopped 28 of 34 (.824), 3.3 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Nick Paul (2 G), 2. Nikita Kucherov (1 G, 2 A), 3. Joel Armia (2 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    TBL
    N. Paul2 G
  2. ★★
    TBL
    N. Kucherov1 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    MTL
    J. Armia2 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
TBLTBL2842017735
MTLMTL1816216430

Scoring

11 goals

1st period

  1. MTL
    J. Armia(15)
    B. Gallagher (11), A. Newhook (16)
    batxG 0.23win prob +11 ptsVideo
    0-1
    2:37
  2. TBL
    N. Paul(21)PPG
    B. Point (41), N. Kucherov (89)
    snapxG 0.32win prob +13 ptsVideo
    1-1
    9:45
  3. TBL
    M. Eyssimont(11)
    T. Motte (3), M. Dumba (7)
    snapxG 0.18win prob +15 ptsVideo
    2-1
    16:26

2nd period

  1. MTL
    J. Armia(16)
    A. Newhook (17), B. Gallagher (12)
    snapxG 0.10win prob +17 ptsVideo
    2-2
    4:42
  2. TBL
    S. Stamkos(33)
    A. Cirelli (23), C. de Haan (6)
    slapxG 0.18win prob +18 ptsVideo
    3-2
    7:58
  3. TBL
    N. Paul(22)
    M. Eyssimont (12)
    snapxG 0.10win prob +17 ptsVideo
    4-2
    9:12
  4. TBL
    B. Hagel(24)
    D. Raddysh (25), A. Cirelli (24)
    slapxG 0.04win prob +9 ptsVideo
    5-2
    13:18
  5. TBL
    N. Kucherov(43)PPG
    B. Point (42), S. Stamkos (37)
    slapxG 0.17win prob +2 ptsVideo
    6-2
    17:45

3rd period

  1. MTL
    J. Slafkovský(16)
    A. Xhekaj (7), M. Matheson (43)
    tip-inxG 0.07win prob +1 ptsVideo
    6-3
    8:40
  2. MTL
    C. Caufield(22)
    N. Suzuki (40), J. Slafkovský (28)
    snapxG 0.17win prob +3 ptsVideo
    6-4
    11:51
  3. TBL
    S. Stamkos(34)EN
    N. Kucherov (90)
    wristxG 0.51Video
    7-4
    19:06

Penalties

TBL 14 PIM·MTL 16 PIM

1st

  • 8:33MTLAlex Newhook · Roughingdrawn by Steven Stamkos2 min
  • 8:33MTLJayden Struble · Roughingdrawn by Anthony Cirelli2 min
  • 8:33MTLJayden Struble · Roughingdrawn by Anthony Cirelli2 min
  • 8:33TBLSteven Stamkos · Cross checkingdrawn by Alex Newhook2 min
  • 8:33TBLAnthony Cirelli · Roughingdrawn by Jayden Struble2 min
  • 10:11TBLCalvin de Haan · Cross checkingdrawn by Rafael Harvey-Pinard2 min

2nd

  • 11:12MTLMike Matheson · Trippingdrawn by Brayden Point2 min
  • 13:39TBLAustin Watson · Slashingdrawn by Jayden Struble2 min
  • 16:58MTLMike Matheson · Trippingdrawn by Nikita Kucherov2 min
  • 19:46MTLJayden Struble · High sticking double minordrawn by Victor Hedman4 min

3rd

  • 4:02TBLErik Cernak · Trippingdrawn by Juraj Slafkovský2 min
  • 12:53TBLMichael Eyssimont · Roughingdrawn by Arber Xhekaj2 min
  • 12:53TBLMichael Eyssimont · Roughingdrawn by Arber Xhekaj2 min
  • 12:53MTLArber Xhekaj · Roughingdrawn by Michael Eyssimont2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MTL goalTBL goalFinal: MTL 0%

Biggest swing: Steven Stamkos, 2nd 7:58 — TBL 47% → 65%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. Gallagher · On goal · xG 0.27J. Ylonen · On goal · xG 0.23J. Armia · Goal · xG 0.23C. Caufield · Missed · xG 0.20C. Caufield · Goal · xG 0.17J. Slafkovský · On goal · xG 0.10J. Armia · Goal · xG 0.10C. Caufield · On goal · xG 0.09C. Caufield · Missed · xG 0.09C. Caufield · On goal · xG 0.08B. Gallagher · Missed · xG 0.07J. Slafkovský · Goal · xG 0.07A. Newhook · On goal · xG 0.07B. Gallagher · Missed · xG 0.07C. Caufield · On goal · xG 0.07R. Harvey-Pinard · Missed · xG 0.07C. Caufield · On goal · xG 0.06J. Slafkovský · On goal · xG 0.06B. Gallagher · On goal · xG 0.06J. Armia · On goal · xG 0.06B. Gallagher · On goal · xG 0.06J. Slafkovský · On goal · xG 0.06J. Anderson · On goal · xG 0.05C. Caufield · On goal · xG 0.05J. Slafkovský · On goal · xG 0.05B. Gallagher · On goal · xG 0.05M. Matheson · On goal · xG 0.05C. Caufield · Missed · xG 0.04J. Slafkovský · On goal · xG 0.04M. Matheson · On goal · xG 0.03C. Caufield · On goal · xG 0.03J. Struble · Missed · xG 0.03M. Matheson · On goal · xG 0.02M. Matheson · On goal · xG 0.02J. Struble · Missed · xG 0.02A. Xhekaj · On goal · xG 0.01A. Xhekaj · Missed · xG 0.01J. Struble · Missed · xG 0.01C. White · On goal · xG 0.01J. Harris · On goal · xG 0.01M. Matheson · Missed · xG 0.01
MTL4 G · 2.9 xG · 41 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

TBLvsMTL
3.66 G
All situations
4 G2.9
1.64 G
Even strength
4 G2.1
1.12 G
Power play
0 G0.8

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 83 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
TBL45%55%MTL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.57 – 2.86

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

TBLvsMTL
35
Shots on goal
30
59%
Faceoffs
41%
2/5
Power play
0/4
14
Penalty minutes
16
21
Hits
23
21
Blocked shots
15
9
Giveaways
12
4
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Tampa Bay Lightning skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
77V. HedmanD000+130.39010—27:12
20N. PaulL202+130.881104721:20
86N. KucherovR123+120.33110—20:38
24M. DumbaD011020.02320—20:29
21B. PointC022030.270005719:40
81E. CernakD000020.02222—18:54
91S. StamkosC213+230.7211210017:08
44C. de HaanD011000.00342—16:28
38B. HagelL101+150.3111010015:47
43D. RaddyshD011+120.05110—15:24
64T. MotteC011-130.22120014:31
11L. GlendeningC000-220.060105314:17
78E. LillebergD000-100.01220—14:07
10A. DuclairL000+100.00110—13:13
41M. ChaffeeR000010.08110—12:41
23M. EyssimontC112+230.21104012:29
51A. WatsonL000-200.00202—08:51
71A. CirelliC022+110.040025708:51
Tampa Bay Lightning goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
90M. Tomkins(W)30264.8672.88-1.1260:00

Season series

TBL leads 4-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).