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Senators at Wild
NHL

Ottawa Senators at Minnesota Wild

NHL scoreboard
Ottawa Senators
2
Minnesota Wild
▸3
FinalTV BSN, TSN5·Xcel Energy Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Minnesota Wild beat the Ottawa Senators 3-2. The Wild scored first and never trailed. The Wild led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Vinni Lettieri's goal at 13:04 of the third period, which took the Wild's chances from 52% to 87%. Expected goals favored the Senators, 2.0 to 1.5; shots on goal were OTT 32, MIN 19. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Senators win a replay of these chances 61% of the time. Joonas Korpisalo stopped 16 of 19 (.842), 1.5 goals below expected; Marc-Andre Fleury stopped 30 of 32 (.938). Three stars: 1. Zach Bogosian (1 A), 2. Marc-Andre Fleury (30 saves, .938), 3. Jakob Chychrun (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MIN
    Z. Bogosian1 A
  2. ★★
    MIN
    M. Fleury30 saves, .938
  3. ★★★
    OTT
    J. Chychrun1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
OTTOTT011111110232
MINMIN151717319

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. MIN
    M. Shaw(1)
    Z. Bogosian (10), J. Lucchini (2)
    snapxG 0.18win prob +13 ptsVideo
    0-1
    12:32

2nd period

  1. MIN
    M. Boldy(26)
    K. Kaprizov (46), J. Brodin (17)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +15 ptsVideo
    0-2
    0:49
  2. OTT
    D. Batherson(27)PPG
    B. Tkachuk (33), J. Chychrun (25)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-2
    7:43

3rd period

  1. OTT
    J. Chychrun(13)PPG
    D. Batherson (33), T. Stützle (52)
    snapxG 0.18win prob +19 ptsVideo
    2-2
    2:42
  2. MIN
    V. Lettieri(4)
    Unassisted
    backhandxG 0.10win prob +35 ptsVideo
    2-3
    13:04

Penalties

OTT 10 PIM·MIN 8 PIM

1st

  • 7:53MINVinni Lettieri · Trippingdrawn by Ridly Greig2 min
  • 9:41OTTErik Brannstrom · Holdingdrawn by Joel Eriksson Ek2 min

2nd

  • 6:57MINMarat Khusnutdinov · Hookingdrawn by Tim Stützle2 min
  • 19:31OTTShane Pinto · Slashingdrawn by Marco Rossi2 min

3rd

  • 1:57MINJonas Brodin · Slashingdrawn by Drake Batherson2 min
  • 9:57OTTParker Kelly · Trippingdrawn by Zach Bogosian2 min
  • 19:48OTTBrady Tkachuk · Roughingdrawn by Jonas Brodin2 min
  • 19:48OTTBrady Tkachuk · Roughingdrawn by Frederick Gaudreau2 min
  • 19:48MINFrederick Gaudreau · Roughingdrawn by Brady Tkachuk2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MIN goalOTT goalFinal: MIN 100%

Biggest swing: Vinni Lettieri, 3rd 13:04 — MIN 52% → 87%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Shaw · Goal · xG 0.18J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.11V. Lettieri · Goal · xG 0.10F. Gaudreau · Missed · xG 0.09M. Boldy · Goal · xG 0.09J. Eriksson Ek · Missed · xG 0.08J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.08M. Zuccarello · On goal · xG 0.08A. Beckman · On goal · xG 0.07M. Johansson · Missed · xG 0.07M. Rossi · Missed · xG 0.07M. Boldy · Missed · xG 0.05M. Rossi · On goal · xG 0.05V. Lettieri · Missed · xG 0.04J. Merrill · On goal · xG 0.04J. Brodin · On goal · xG 0.04J. Merrill · On goal · xG 0.03M. Johansson · On goal · xG 0.03M. Rossi · Missed · xG 0.03F. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.03J. Brodin · Missed · xG 0.02J. Brodin · On goal · xG 0.02K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.02J. Eriksson Ek · Missed · xG 0.01M. Boldy · On goal · xG 0.01J. Merrill · On goal · xG 0.01K. Kaprizov · On goal · xG 0.01A. Beckman · On goal · xG 0.01
MIN3 G · 1.5 xG · 28 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

OTTvsMIN
2.02 G
All situations
3 G1.5
1.10 G
Even strength
3 G1.0
0.62 G
Power play
0 G0.4
0.30 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 73 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
OTT61%39%MIN

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.98 – 1.46

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

OTTvsMIN
32
Shots on goal
19
72%
Faceoffs
28%
2/3
Power play
0/4
10
Penalty minutes
8
11
Hits
10
7
Blocked shots
19
3
Giveaways
9
3
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Ottawa Senators skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
18T. StützleC011040.141008022:44
85J. SandersonD000-110.08100—22:29
6J. ChychrunD112-210.27010—22:24
28C. GirouxR000050.190008721:00
19D. BathersonR112-310.20000—20:15
24J. Bernard-DockerD000-100.00000—20:11
2A. ZubD000-100.01000—19:53
26E. BrannstromD000-100.00112—18:24
7B. TkachukL011-370.294046318:21
21M. JosephR000020.08110—18:21
43T. KlevenD000020.02010—15:54
57S. PintoC000-210.090028815:01
27P. KellyC000010.00112014:08
71R. GreigC000-120.462105812:49
81D. KubalikL000020.05010—11:34
12M. KastelicC000010.010005009:13
14B. KatchoukL000000.08000—09:13
59A. CrookshankC000020.01000003:37
Ottawa Senators goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
70J. Korpisalo(L)19163.8421.46-1.5458:17

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).