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Winnipeg Jets at Washington Capitals

FinalTV NHLN, MNMT·Capital One Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Washington Capitals beat the Winnipeg Jets 3-0. The Capitals scored first and never trailed. It was tied 0-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was John Carlson's goal at 1:21 of the third period, which took the Capitals' chances from 54% to 76%. Expected goals favored the Jets, 2.6 to 1.7; shots on goal were WPG 27, WSH 19. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Jets win a replay of these chances 67% of the time. Connor Hellebuyck stopped 16 of 19 (.842), 1.3 goals below expected; Charlie Lindgren stopped 27 of 27 (1.000), 2.6 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. T.J. Oshie (2 A), 2. Charlie Lindgren (27 saves, 1.000), 3. John Carlson (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WSH
    T. Oshie2 A
  2. ★★
    WSH
    C. Lindgren27 saves, 1.000
  3. ★★★
    WSH
    J. Carlson1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
WPGWPG0901107027
WSHWSH080338319

Scoring

3 goals

3rd period

  1. WSH
    slapxG 0.09win prob +23 ptsVideo
    0-1
    1:21
  2. WSH
    wristxG 0.05win prob +15 ptsVideo
    0-2
    3:36
  3. WSH
    D. Strome (35), T. Oshie (10)
    backhandxG 0.26win prob +3 ptsVideo
    0-3
    12:00

Penalties

WPG 6 PIM·WSH 4 PIM

1st

  • 12:43WPGBrenden Dillon · Trippingdrawn by T.J. Oshie2 min

2nd

  • 7:26WSHNick Jensen · Holdingdrawn by Mark Scheifele2 min
  • 10:10WSHserved by A. Ovechkin · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 19:24WPGMark Scheifele · Slashingdrawn by Nicolas Aube-Kubel2 min

3rd

  • 18:54WPGNino Niederreiter · Interferencedrawn by Hendrix Lapierre2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
WSH goalWPG goalFinal: WSH 100%

Biggest swing: John Carlson, 3rd 1:21 — WSH 54% → 76%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Ovechkin · Goal · xG 0.26D. Strome · On goal · xG 0.15D. Strome · Missed · xG 0.13A. Protas · Missed · xG 0.12A. Protas · On goal · xG 0.12N. Dowd · On goal · xG 0.11J. Carlson · Goal · xG 0.09D. Strome · On goal · xG 0.08N. Aube-Kubel · Missed · xG 0.08A. Protas · On goal · xG 0.08M. Pacioretty · Missed · xG 0.06A. Ovechkin · Goal · xG 0.05A. Protas · On goal · xG 0.05I. Miroshnichenko · Missed · xG 0.04J. Carlson · On goal · xG 0.04A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.04T. Oshie · Missed · xG 0.04M. Fehérváry · Missed · xG 0.03J. Carlson · On goal · xG 0.03A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.03H. Lapierre · Missed · xG 0.02A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.02M. Pacioretty · Missed · xG 0.01A. Protas · On goal · xG 0.01I. Miroshnichenko · On goal · xG 0.01M. Fehérváry · Missed · xG 0.01T. Oshie · On goal · xG 0.00I. Miroshnichenko · On goal · xG 0.00I. Miroshnichenko · On goal · xG 0.00
WSH3 G · 1.7 xG · 29 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WPGvsWSH
2.60 G
All situations
3 G1.7
2.10 G
Even strength
2 G1.4
0.50 G
Power play
1 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 76 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WPG67%33%WSH

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.58 – 1.70

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WPGvsWSH
27
Shots on goal
19
47%
Faceoffs
53%
0/2
Power play
1/3
6
Penalty minutes
4
20
Hits
29
15
Blocked shots
15
11
Giveaways
11
7
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Winnipeg Jets skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
44J. MorrisseyD000010.16210—26:15
2D. DeMeloD000010.05240—23:51
4N. PionkD000020.08100—20:46
5B. DillonD000010.03412—19:49
55M. ScheifeleC000-110.260025318:15
23S. MonahanC000010.330404617:50
81K. ConnorL000-180.55000—17:32
7V. NamestnikovC000010.0620010017:01
27N. EhlersL000-110.25020—17:00
17A. LowryC000-110.283104716:43
73T. ToffoliC000020.30200015:57
22M. AppletonC000-130.09000015:45
62N. NiederreiterR000-110.05212—14:32
88N. SchmidtD000-200.03100—13:04
54D. SambergD000-210.01110—12:30
91C. PerfettiC000010.03000009:56
9A. IafalloL000010.02000—09:43
36M. BarronC000000.000004308:28
Winnipeg Jets goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
37C. Hellebuyck(L)19163.8421.71-1.2960:00

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).