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Washington Capitals at Winnipeg Jets

FinalTV MNMT, SN·Canada Life Centre

Recap

written from the game data

The Winnipeg Jets beat the Washington Capitals 3-0. The Jets scored first and never trailed. The Jets led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Alex Iafallo's goal at 8:16 of the second period, which took the Jets' chances from 71% to 86%. Expected goals favored the Jets, 2.9 to 1.6; shots on goal were WSH 23, WPG 29. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Jets win a replay of these chances 74% of the time. Charlie Lindgren stopped 26 of 29 (.897); Connor Hellebuyck stopped 23 of 23 (1.000), 1.6 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Josh Morrissey (1 A), 2. Connor Hellebuyck (23 saves, 1.000), 3. Kyle Connor (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WPG
    J. Morrissey1 A
  2. ★★
    WPG
    C. Hellebuyck23 saves, 1.000
  3. ★★★
    WPG
    K. Connor1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
WSHWSH0501107023
WPGWPG1121819329

Scoring

3 goals

1st period

  1. WPG
    wristxG 0.08win prob +13 ptsVideo
    0-1
    10:05

2nd period

  1. WPG
    tip-inxG 0.10win prob +15 ptsVideo
    0-2
    8:16

3rd period

  1. WPG
    tip-inxG 0.13win prob +4 ptsVideo
    0-3
    10:00

Penalties

WSH 4 PIM·WPG 4 PIM

3rd

  • 6:33WPGColin Miller · Slashingdrawn by Michael Sgarbossa2 min
  • 17:15WSHserved by A. Ovechkin · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 17:15WSHMax Pacioretty · Roughingdrawn by Neal Pionk2 min
  • 17:15WPGNeal Pionk · Roughingdrawn by Max Pacioretty2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
WPG goalWSH goalFinal: WPG 100%

Biggest swing: Alex Iafallo, 2nd 8:16 — WPG 71% → 86%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.20K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.17K. Connor · Goal · xG 0.13T. Toffoli · Missed · xG 0.12S. Monahan · On goal · xG 0.12C. Perfetti · On goal · xG 0.11M. Appleton · Missed · xG 0.11N. Ehlers · Missed · xG 0.10A. Iafallo · Goal · xG 0.10J. Morrissey · Missed · xG 0.10M. Scheifele · On goal · xG 0.09A. Lowry · Missed · xG 0.08N. Pionk · Goal · xG 0.08C. Perfetti · Missed · xG 0.08T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.08A. Lowry · Missed · xG 0.08T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.07N. Niederreiter · On goal · xG 0.07J. Morrissey · On goal · xG 0.07K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.06C. Perfetti · On goal · xG 0.06S. Monahan · Missed · xG 0.06T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.06N. Niederreiter · On goal · xG 0.06N. Ehlers · Missed · xG 0.06V. Namestnikov · Missed · xG 0.05J. Morrissey · Missed · xG 0.05C. Perfetti · Missed · xG 0.05M. Scheifele · Missed · xG 0.05M. Barron · On goal · xG 0.04M. Appleton · On goal · xG 0.04K. Connor · Missed · xG 0.03B. Dillon · Missed · xG 0.02T. Toffoli · Missed · xG 0.02M. Scheifele · Missed · xG 0.02M. Barron · On goal · xG 0.02M. Barron · On goal · xG 0.02C. Perfetti · On goal · xG 0.02C. Miller · On goal · xG 0.02S. Monahan · Missed · xG 0.02D. DeMelo · Missed · xG 0.02B. Dillon · On goal · xG 0.02D. Samberg · On goal · xG 0.01N. Pionk · Missed · xG 0.01M. Scheifele · Missed · xG 0.01N. Pionk · On goal · xG 0.01N. Pionk · Missed · xG 0.01N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.01N. Pionk · On goal · xG 0.01D. DeMelo · On goal · xG 0.01T. Toffoli · Missed · xG 0.00A. Lowry · Missed · xG 0.00K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.00A. Iafallo · Missed · xG 0.00
WPG3 G · 2.9 xG · 54 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WSHvsWPG
1.60 G
All situations
3 G2.9
1.50 G
Even strength
3 G2.6
0.10 G
Power play
0 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 85 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WSH26%74%WPG

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.59 – 2.89

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WSHvsWPG
23
Shots on goal
29
36%
Faceoffs
64%
0/1
Power play
0/1
4
Penalty minutes
4
31
Hits
31
17
Blocked shots
14
5
Giveaways
6
5
Takeaways
10

Box score

every player line
Washington Capitals skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
57T. van RiemsdykD000-110.01010—22:41
74J. CarlsonD000-230.07220—22:38
3N. JensenD000010.06010—20:43
38R. SandinD000010.01000—20:31
8A. OvechkinL000-120.17210—19:14
24C. McMichaelL000-220.120001917:17
27A. AlexeyevD000-200.01030—16:54
77T. OshieR000-210.06200—16:06
29H. LapierreC000-100.001204016:01
17D. StromeC000040.350105515:44
67M. PaciorettyL000-120.11512—15:05
25E. BearD000-110.08210—14:42
21A. ProtasL000-200.00020—14:34
96N. Aube-KubelR000020.06500—14:23
63I. MiroshnichenkoL000000.04300—14:20
47B. MalenstynL000020.37620—13:10
15S. MilanoL000000.05200—12:08
23M. SgarbossaC000010.041003811:49
Washington Capitals goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
79C. Lindgren(L)29263.8972.90-0.1060:00

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).