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Lightning at Sharks
NHL

Tampa Bay Lightning at San Jose Sharks

NHL scoreboard
Tampa Bay Lightning
▸4
San Jose Sharks
1
FinalTV NBCSCA, BSSUN·SAP Center at San Jose

Recap

written from the game data

The Tampa Bay Lightning beat the San Jose Sharks 4-1. The Lightning scored first and never trailed. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Brayden Point's goal at 0:34 of the third period, which took the Lightning's chances from 53% to 72%. Expected goals favored the Lightning, 2.3 to 1.9; shots on goal were TBL 21, SJS 22. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Lightning win a replay of these chances 57% of the time. Andrei Vasilevskiy stopped 21 of 22 (.955), 0.9 goals saved above expected; Mackenzie Blackwood stopped 17 of 21 (.810), 1.7 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Nikita Kucherov (4 A), 2. Brayden Point (2 G, 1 A), 3. Jacob MacDonald (1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    TBL
    N. Kucherov4 A
  2. ★★
    TBL
    B. Point2 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    SJS
    J. MacDonald1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
TBLTBL1406311421
SJSSJS170906122

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. TBL
    N. Paul(19)
    V. Hedman (56), N. Kucherov (78)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-0
    4:53
  2. SJS
    W. Eklund(11)
    J. MacDonald (2)
    wristxG 0.13win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-1
    7:21

3rd period

  1. TBL
    B. Point(39)PPG
    N. Kucherov (79), S. Stamkos (36)
    wristxG 0.20win prob +19 ptsVideo
    2-1
    0:34
  2. TBL
    A. Duclair(20)
    N. Kucherov (80), B. Point (38)
    backhandxG 0.18win prob +17 ptsVideo
    3-1
    6:50
  3. TBL
    B. Point(40)
    N. Kucherov (81), A. Duclair (14)
    slapxG 0.19win prob +2 ptsVideo
    4-1
    14:02

Penalties

TBL 8 PIM·SJS 8 PIM

1st

  • 0:42SJSHenry Thrun · Slashingdrawn by Anthony Cirelli2 min
  • 14:40TBLVictor Hedman · Trippingdrawn by Klim Kostin2 min
  • 16:37SJSLuke Kunin · High stickingdrawn by Tyler Motte2 min

2nd

  • 15:25SJSMarc-Edouard Vlasic · Roughingdrawn by Conor Sheary2 min
  • 15:25TBLConor Sheary · Roughingdrawn by Marc-Edouard Vlasic2 min
  • 20:00SJSJan Rutta · Slashingdrawn by Anthony Cirelli2 min

3rd

  • 11:11TBLEmil Lilleberg · Interferencedrawn by Justin Bailey2 min
  • 18:20TBLSteven Stamkos · Trippingdrawn by Thomas Bordeleau2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
SJS goalTBL goalFinal: SJS 0%

Biggest swing: Brayden Point, 3rd 0:34 — TBL 53% → 72%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
F. Zadina · Missed · xG 0.32W. Eklund · Missed · xG 0.15W. Eklund · Goal · xG 0.13A. Barabanov · On goal · xG 0.09R. Carpenter · On goal · xG 0.09N. Sturm · Missed · xG 0.09N. Sturm · On goal · xG 0.08L. Kunin · On goal · xG 0.08H. Thrun · Missed · xG 0.08J. MacDonald · On goal · xG 0.08K. Kostin · Missed · xG 0.07A. Barabanov · Missed · xG 0.07R. Carpenter · On goal · xG 0.06T. Bordeleau · On goal · xG 0.06L. Kunin · On goal · xG 0.06K. Kostin · On goal · xG 0.06T. Bordeleau · Missed · xG 0.05J. Bailey · On goal · xG 0.04A. Barabanov · On goal · xG 0.04K. Burroughs · On goal · xG 0.04C. Addison · On goal · xG 0.04F. Zadina · On goal · xG 0.03A. Barabanov · On goal · xG 0.03F. Zetterlund · On goal · xG 0.02C. Addison · On goal · xG 0.01J. Bailey · Missed · xG 0.01M. Ferraro · On goal · xG 0.01K. Burroughs · On goal · xG 0.01M. Vlasic · On goal · xG 0.01M. Vlasic · Missed · xG 0.01C. Addison · On goal · xG 0.00
SJS1 G · 1.9 xG · 31 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

TBLvsSJS
2.34 G
All situations
1 G1.9
1.63 G
Even strength
1 G1.3
0.71 G
Power play
0 G0.6

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 63 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
TBL57%43%SJS

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.23 – 1.90

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

TBLvsSJS
21
Shots on goal
22
52%
Faceoffs
48%
1/3
Power play
0/3
8
Penalty minutes
8
17
Hits
21
18
Blocked shots
12
5
Giveaways
7
9
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
Tampa Bay Lightning skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
77V. HedmanD011+110.05042—24:07
24M. DumbaD000010.13400—20:13
43D. RaddyshD000+220.03040—19:31
81E. CernakD000+100.00310—18:47
44C. de HaanD000010.03220—18:03
38B. HagelL000000.00110—17:31
71A. CirelliC000000.091005717:25
86N. KucherovR044+350.57010—16:47
21B. PointC213+120.580104016:14
20N. PaulL101+120.190104016:12
78E. LillebergD000010.01112—15:21
91S. StamkosC011020.200026715:14
64T. MotteC000-100.00000014:12
10A. DuclairL112+230.36000—14:05
11L. GlendeningC000000.010107012:39
23M. EyssimontC000+110.03100012:37
73C. ShearyL000000.00002—11:52
84T. JeannotL000-100.00410—11:44
Tampa Bay Lightning goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
88A. Vasilevskiy(W)22211.9551.92+0.9259:46

Season series

TBL leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).