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New Jersey Devils at Utah Mammoth

FinalTV MSGSN, SCRIPPS·Mullett Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Utah Mammoth beat the New Jersey Devils 4-1. The Coyotes scored first and never trailed. The Coyotes led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was J.J. Moser's goal at 9:37 of the first period, which took the Coyotes' chances from 54% to 66%. Expected goals favored the Coyotes, 3.7 to 2.9; shots on goal were NJD 38, ARI 32. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Devils win a replay of these chances 55% of the time. Nico Daws stopped 16 of 16 (1.000), 1.4 goals saved above expected; Karel Vejmelka stopped 37 of 38 (.974), 1.9 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Karel Vejmelka (37 saves, .974), 2. Clayton Keller (1 G, 1 A), 3. Dylan Guenther (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    ARI
    K. Vejmelka37 saves, .974
  2. ★★
    ARI
    C. Keller1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    ARI
    D. Guenther1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NJDNJD013112013138
ARIARI3150819432

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. ARI
    wristxG 0.06win prob +13 ptsVideo
    0-1
    9:37
  2. ARI
    snapxG 0.16win prob +12 ptsVideo
    0-2
    14:02
  3. ARI
    wristxG 0.21win prob +9 ptsVideo
    0-3
    17:32

2nd period

  1. NJD
    C. Lazar (15), J. Hughes (42)
    deflectedxG 0.13win prob +9 ptsVideo
    1-3
    7:01

3rd period

  1. ARI
    C. Keller(27)EN
    wristxG 0.59Video
    1-4
    18:29

Penalties

NJD 9 PIM·ARI 9 PIM

1st

  • 3:39NJDErik Haula · Trippingdrawn by Travis Dermott2 min
  • 10:02ARIMichael Kesselring · Trippingdrawn by Jack Hughes2 min
  • 13:15NJDTomas Nosek · Trippingdrawn by Clayton Keller2 min

2nd

  • 18:18ARITravis Dermott · Interferencedrawn by Timo Meier2 min

3rd

  • 3:14NJDKurtis MacDermid · Fightingdrawn by Joshua Brown5 min
  • 3:14ARIJoshua Brown · Fightingdrawn by Kurtis MacDermid5 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
ARI goalNJD goalFinal: ARI 100%

Biggest swing: J.J. Moser, 1st 9:37 — ARI 54% → 66%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. Keller · Goal · xG 0.59N. Schmaltz · Missed · xG 0.44J. Moser · On goal · xG 0.28L. Cooley · Goal · xG 0.21J. McBain · On goal · xG 0.21D. Guenther · Missed · xG 0.17M. Carcone · Missed · xG 0.17M. Maccelli · On goal · xG 0.16D. Guenther · Goal · xG 0.16L. O'Brien · On goal · xG 0.15L. Crouse · On goal · xG 0.13L. O'Brien · On goal · xG 0.13M. Carcone · On goal · xG 0.11L. Crouse · On goal · xG 0.11L. O'Brien · On goal · xG 0.09J. McBain · On goal · xG 0.07M. Carcone · On goal · xG 0.06J. Moser · Goal · xG 0.06N. Schmaltz · Missed · xG 0.06S. Durzi · On goal · xG 0.04C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.04J. McBain · Missed · xG 0.04S. Durzi · On goal · xG 0.04M. Kesselring · On goal · xG 0.03M. Maccelli · Missed · xG 0.02M. Kesselring · On goal · xG 0.02M. Kesselring · On goal · xG 0.02M. Carcone · On goal · xG 0.02M. Kesselring · On goal · xG 0.02J. Leonard · On goal · xG 0.01L. Cooley · On goal · xG 0.01J. McBain · On goal · xG 0.01D. Guenther · On goal · xG 0.01M. Carcone · On goal · xG 0.01J. Brown · On goal · xG 0.01D. Guenther · On goal · xG 0.01J. Moser · Missed · xG 0.01M. Kesselring · On goal · xG 0.00N. Bjugstad · On goal · xG 0.00S. Durzi · Missed · xG 0.00
ARI4 G · 3.7 xG · 40 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NJDvsARI
2.91 G
All situations
3 G3.7
2.51 G
Even strength
2 G1.7
0.30 G
Power play
1 G0.5
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.3

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 93 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NJD55%45%ARI

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.83 – 2.51

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NJDvsARI
38
Shots on goal
32
57%
Faceoffs
43%
0/2
Power play
1/2
9
Penalty minutes
9
25
Hits
12
15
Blocked shots
22
6
Giveaways
8
2
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
New Jersey Devils skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
43L. HughesD000020.18010—26:22
17S. NemecD000020.15230—25:28
86J. HughesC011-110.20000021:30
13N. HischierC000-130.201004520:20
63J. BrattL000-280.430005019:49
28T. MeierR000-150.24300—19:39
2B. SmithD000-100.17130—18:10
91D. MercerC000010.16100017:48
56E. HaulaL000-230.174027716:44
57N. DeSimoneD101-130.15120—16:11
88K. BahlD000-120.06110—16:05
18O. PalatL000010.05100—14:48
10A. HoltzR000-120.44200—14:20
82S. HatakkaD000-100.01100—13:49
42C. LazarC011+140.253105013:04
92T. NosekL000000.001227810:15
11C. TierneyC000010.0201010009:16
23K. MacDermidL000000.00315—05:19
New Jersey Devils goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
50N. Daws161601.0001.35+1.3538:22
31K. Kahkonen(L)15123.8001.18-1.8219:54

Season series

ARI leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).