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San Jose Sharks at Pittsburgh Penguins

FinalTV SN-PIT, NBCSCA·PPG Paints Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Pittsburgh Penguins beat the San Jose Sharks 6-3. The lead changed hands 3 times. It was tied 3-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was John Ludvig's goal at 2:38 of the third period, which took the Penguins' chances from 52% to 77%. Expected goals favored the Penguins, 3.0 to 2.4; shots on goal were SJS 32, PIT 31. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Sharks win a replay of these chances 50% of the time. Magnus Chrona stopped 25 of 30 (.833), 2.7 goals below expected; Tristan Jarry stopped 29 of 32 (.906), 0.6 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. John Ludvig (1 G, 1 A), 2. Drew O'Connor (2 A), 3. Pierre-Olivier Joseph (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    PIT
    J. Ludvig1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    PIT
    D. O'Connor2 A
  3. ★★★
    PIT
    P. Joseph2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
SJSSJS29110013332
PITPIT11021734631

Scoring

9 goals

1st period

  1. PIT
    tip-inxG 0.09win prob +13 ptsVideo
    0-1
    10:28
  2. SJS
    wristxG 0.42win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-1
    14:31
  3. SJS
    wristxG 0.02win prob +15 ptsVideo
    2-1
    19:01

2nd period

  1. PIT
    wristxG 0.36win prob +17 ptsVideo
    2-2
    4:11
  2. PIT
    backhandxG 0.04win prob +19 ptsVideo
    2-3
    11:34
  3. SJS
    wristxG 0.13win prob +22 ptsVideo
    3-3
    18:42

3rd period

  1. PIT
    wristxG 0.01win prob +25 ptsVideo
    3-4
    2:38
  2. PIT
    deflectedxG 0.06win prob +15 ptsVideo
    3-5
    4:38
  3. PIT
    B. Rust(19)EN
    K. Letang (31), S. Crosby (33)
    snapxG 0.64Video
    3-6
    18:04

Penalties

SJS 6 PIM·PIT 6 PIM

1st

  • 3:41PITBryan Rust · Slashingdrawn by Mikael Granlund2 min
  • 8:06SJSFilip Zadina · Hookingdrawn by Erik Karlsson2 min
  • 16:17SJSCalen Addison · Hookingdrawn by Evgeni Malkin2 min

2nd

  • 0:37PITMichael Bunting · Hookingdrawn by Kyle Burroughs2 min
  • 0:37SJSKyle Burroughs · High stickingdrawn by Michael Bunting2 min

3rd

  • 7:02PITEvgeni Malkin · Hookingdrawn by Calen Addison2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
PIT goalSJS goalFinal: PIT 100%

Biggest swing: John Ludvig, 3rd 2:38 — PIT 52% → 77%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. Rust · Goal · xG 0.64J. Carter · Goal · xG 0.36J. Ludvig · On goal · xG 0.23D. O'Connor · Missed · xG 0.13S. Crosby · On goal · xG 0.12S. Crosby · Missed · xG 0.10M. Bunting · Missed · xG 0.10D. O'Connor · On goal · xG 0.09B. Rust · Missed · xG 0.09N. Acciari · Goal · xG 0.09M. Bunting · Missed · xG 0.08R. Smith · On goal · xG 0.07E. Malkin · On goal · xG 0.06R. Rakell · Goal · xG 0.06M. Bunting · On goal · xG 0.06E. Malkin · Missed · xG 0.06E. Bemstrom · Missed · xG 0.05K. Letang · Missed · xG 0.05M. Bunting · On goal · xG 0.04E. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.04D. O'Connor · On goal · xG 0.04N. Acciari · Missed · xG 0.04E. Malkin · Goal · xG 0.04S. Crosby · On goal · xG 0.04J. Ludvig · On goal · xG 0.04B. Rust · On goal · xG 0.03S. Crosby · On goal · xG 0.03V. Puustinen · Missed · xG 0.03D. O'Connor · On goal · xG 0.02R. Graves · On goal · xG 0.02E. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.02K. Letang · On goal · xG 0.02K. Letang · Missed · xG 0.01J. Ludvig · On goal · xG 0.01E. Bemstrom · On goal · xG 0.01R. Smith · On goal · xG 0.01J. Ludvig · Goal · xG 0.01E. Bemstrom · On goal · xG 0.01P. Joseph · On goal · xG 0.01D. O'Connor · On goal · xG 0.01M. Bunting · On goal · xG 0.01J. Ludvig · Missed · xG 0.01K. Letang · On goal · xG 0.00M. Pettersson · On goal · xG 0.00
PIT6 G · 3.0 xG · 44 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

SJSvsPIT
2.43 G
All situations
5 G3.0
2.23 G
Even strength
5 G2.0
0.00 G
Power play
0 G0.4
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 98 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
SJS50%50%PIT

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.32 – 2.32

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

SJSvsPIT
32
Shots on goal
31
43%
Faceoffs
57%
0/2
Power play
0/2
6
Penalty minutes
6
27
Hits
23
20
Blocked shots
20
4
Giveaways
9
7
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
San Jose Sharks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
38M. FerraroD000-160.08220—27:05
3H. ThrunD011-220.05110—24:48
33C. AddisonD011020.10352—24:20
64M. GranlundC022+220.340003321:41
44M. VlasicD112040.08020—20:35
20F. ZetterlundL101+120.59120—20:08
72W. EklundL000-320.142201119:23
4K. BurroughsD000-200.02422—19:05
94A. BarabanovL000+210.1600010017:28
18F. ZadinaR000-210.17112—16:47
11L. KuninC000-210.033102016:36
7N. SturmC000-210.092106714:24
17T. BordeleauC000-120.12010013:18
10K. KostinC112+220.23400013:02
22R. CarpenterC000-210.031006709:43
62K. LabancR000-230.1310010007:33
90J. BaileyR000-300.00000—05:22
54G. SmithR000-100.00200—03:09
San Jose Sharks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30M. Chrona(L)30255.8332.34-2.6659:33

Season series

PIT leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).