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Blackhawks at Avalanche
NHL

Chicago Blackhawks at Colorado Avalanche

FinalTV ALT, NBCSCH·Ball Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Colorado Avalanche beat the Chicago Blackhawks 5-0. The Avalanche scored first and never trailed. The Avalanche led 4-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jonathan Drouin's goal at 17:22 of the first period, which took the Avalanche's chances from 68% to 83%. Expected goals favored the Avalanche, 3.0 to 2.5; shots on goal were CHI 37, COL 37. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Avalanche win a replay of these chances 58% of the time. Petr Mrazek stopped 32 of 37 (.865), 2.0 goals below expected; Justus Annunen stopped 37 of 37 (1.000), 2.5 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Justus Annunen (37 saves, 1.000), 2. Nathan MacKinnon (2 G, 2 A), 3. Cale Makar (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    COL
    J. Annunen37 saves, 1.000
  2. ★★
    COL
    N. MacKinnon2 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    COL
    C. Makar1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CHICHI01508014037
COLCOL212214111537

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. COL
    D. Toews (25), C. Makar (52)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +13 ptsVideo
    0-1
    12:31
  2. COL
    R. Colton (19), S. Girard (13)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +15 ptsVideo
    0-2
    17:22

2nd period

  1. COL
    wristxG 0.08win prob +8 ptsVideo
    0-3
    12:38
  2. COL
    deflectedxG 0.16win prob +2 ptsVideo
    0-4
    17:38

3rd period

  1. COL
    wristxG 0.15Video
    0-5
    15:35

Penalties

CHI 4 PIM·COL 8 PIM

1st

  • 7:46COLAndrew Cogliano · Trippingdrawn by Seth Jones2 min
  • 18:40CHIKevin Korchinski · Holdingdrawn by Nathan MacKinnon2 min

2nd

  • 14:05COLAndrew Cogliano · Trippingdrawn by Jarred Tinordi2 min
  • 18:40COLCale Makar · Interferencedrawn by MacKenzie Entwistle2 min

3rd

  • 9:48COLBowen Byram · Slashingdrawn by Jason Dickinson2 min
  • 14:25CHIRyan Donato · Slashingdrawn by Samuel Girard2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
COL goalCHI goalFinal: COL 100%

Biggest swing: Jonathan Drouin, 1st 17:22 — COL 68% → 83%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
N. MacKinnon · Missed · xG 0.21A. Lehkonen · On goal · xG 0.18Z. Parise · On goal · xG 0.17Z. Parise · Goal · xG 0.16M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.16N. MacKinnon · Goal · xG 0.15J. Kiviranta · On goal · xG 0.13A. Lehkonen · Missed · xG 0.13C. Wagner · On goal · xG 0.11M. Wood · On goal · xG 0.10J. Drouin · Missed · xG 0.10C. Makar · Goal · xG 0.08M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.08N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.08A. Lehkonen · On goal · xG 0.08N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.08N. MacKinnon · Goal · xG 0.07J. Drouin · Goal · xG 0.07R. Colton · On goal · xG 0.07Z. Parise · Missed · xG 0.07R. Colton · On goal · xG 0.06D. Toews · Missed · xG 0.06A. Lehkonen · On goal · xG 0.05A. Lehkonen · Missed · xG 0.05C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.04A. Cogliano · On goal · xG 0.04Z. Parise · On goal · xG 0.04R. Colton · On goal · xG 0.04N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.03M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.03Z. Parise · On goal · xG 0.03N. MacKinnon · On goal · xG 0.03J. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.03C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.03C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.02D. Toews · Missed · xG 0.02B. Byram · Missed · xG 0.02C. Wagner · On goal · xG 0.02M. Rantanen · On goal · xG 0.01J. Drouin · On goal · xG 0.01C. Jones · On goal · xG 0.01J. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.01C. Makar · On goal · xG 0.00R. Colton · Missed · xG 0.00J. Drouin · On goal · xG 0.00J. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.00
COL5 G · 3.0 xG · 46 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CHIvsCOL
2.50 G
All situations
5 G3.0
1.50 G
Even strength
4 G2.1
1.00 G
Power play
1 G0.8
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 93 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CHI42%58%COL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.42 – 2.90

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CHIvsCOL
37
Shots on goal
37
48%
Faceoffs
52%
0/4
Power play
1/2
4
Penalty minutes
8
21
Hits
20
11
Blocked shots
16
2
Giveaways
5
4
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Chicago Blackhawks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
4S. JonesD000-130.08100—25:40
98C. BedardC000-320.230004522:31
72A. VlasicD000-120.18000—21:09
23P. KurashevC000-110.040201119:53
55K. KorchinskiD000-230.04012—19:03
17N. FolignoL000-260.603107817:25
90T. JohnsonC000-200.000105617:11
24J. MegnaD000-200.00230—17:03
16J. DickinsonC000-120.122005715:59
8R. DonatoC000040.42102015:35
43C. BlackwellC000-130.081205015:03
25J. TinordiD000-100.01400—15:03
11T. RaddyshR000020.21000—14:58
46L. CrevierD000-130.03310—14:49
91A. BeauvillierR000-130.241005013:05
15J. AndersonR000-110.14000—12:50
58M. EntwistleR000010.022004010:19
14B. KatchoukL000010.03100—09:25
Chicago Blackhawks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
34P. Mrazek(L)37325.8652.97-2.0359:49

Season series

COL leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).