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Avalanche at Blackhawks
NHL

Colorado Avalanche at Chicago Blackhawks

NHL scoreboard
Colorado Avalanche
2
Chicago Blackhawks
▸3
FinalTV ALT, NBCSCH·United Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Chicago Blackhawks beat the Colorado Avalanche 3-2. The lead changed hands 2 times. It was tied 2-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Tyler Johnson's goal at 8:19 of the third period, which took the Blackhawks' chances from 59% to 82%. Expected goals favored the Avalanche, 3.7 to 2.4; shots on goal were COL 37, CHI 22. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Avalanche win a replay of these chances 70% of the time. Alexandar Georgiev stopped 19 of 22 (.864), 0.6 goals below expected; Petr Mrazek stopped 35 of 37 (.946), 1.7 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Ryan Donato (1 G, 1 A), 2. Petr Mrazek (35 saves, .946), 3. Connor Bedard (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CHI
    R. Donato1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    CHI
    P. Mrazek35 saves, .946
  3. ★★★
    CHI
    C. Bedard2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
COLCOL212013012237
CHICHI2801113322

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. CHI
    R. Donato(5)
    N. Zaitsev (3), C. Bedard (15)
    snapxG 0.37win prob +12 ptsVideo
    0-1
    7:29
  2. COL
    V. Nichushkin(14)PPG
    J. Drouin (9), N. MacKinnon (34)
    snapxG 0.20win prob +9 ptsVideo
    1-1
    9:22
  3. COL
    V. Nichushkin(15)PPG
    M. Rantanen (25), S. Malinski (4)
    backhandxG 0.38win prob +12 ptsVideo
    2-1
    11:25
  4. CHI
    L. Reichel(3)
    C. Bedard (16), R. Donato (7)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +14 ptsVideo
    2-2
    12:56

3rd period

  1. CHI
    T. Johnson(7)PPG
    N. Foligno (9), N. Zaitsev (4)
    tip-inxG 0.15win prob +23 ptsVideo
    2-3
    8:19

Penalties

COL 32 PIM·CHI 16 PIM

1st

  • 9:07CHINick Foligno · Trippingdrawn by Nathan MacKinnon2 min
  • 9:42CHIConnor Bedard · Holding the stickdrawn by Joel Kiviranta2 min

2nd

  • 5:19COLMiles Wood · Interferencedrawn by Ryan Donato2 min
  • 10:01CHIConnor Murphy · Interferencedrawn by Nathan MacKinnon2 min
  • 16:59COLKurtis MacDermid · Hookingdrawn by Colin Blackwell2 min

3rd

  • 3:45COLValeri Nichushkin · Holdingdrawn by Connor Murphy2 min
  • 7:58COLMiles Wood · Holding the stickdrawn by Lukas Reichel2 min
  • 8:19COLMiles Wood · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Colin Blackwell2 min
  • 8:19COLMiles Wood · Misconduct10 min
  • 19:26COLRyan Johansen · Roughingdrawn by Colin Blackwell2 min
  • 19:26CHIIsaak Phillips · Misconduct10 min
  • 19:26COLRyan Johansen · Misconduct10 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CHI goalCOL goalFinal: CHI 100%

Biggest swing: Tyler Johnson, 3rd 8:19 — CHI 59% → 82%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
R. Donato · Goal · xG 0.37J. Dickinson · On goal · xG 0.26C. Bedard · On goal · xG 0.23C. Guttman · Missed · xG 0.15T. Johnson · Goal · xG 0.15C. Blackwell · On goal · xG 0.15C. Blackwell · On goal · xG 0.13L. Reichel · Goal · xG 0.10C. Bedard · On goal · xG 0.08N. Zaitsev · Missed · xG 0.08C. Bedard · Missed · xG 0.07I. Phillips · Missed · xG 0.07A. Beauvillier · Missed · xG 0.07T. Raddysh · Missed · xG 0.06C. Bedard · On goal · xG 0.05L. Reichel · On goal · xG 0.05C. Bedard · On goal · xG 0.04L. Reichel · On goal · xG 0.04L. Crevier · On goal · xG 0.04C. Guttman · On goal · xG 0.04J. Dickinson · Missed · xG 0.04C. Bedard · On goal · xG 0.02C. Bedard · On goal · xG 0.02R. Donato · Missed · xG 0.02C. Murphy · On goal · xG 0.02N. Zaitsev · Missed · xG 0.01F. Roos · On goal · xG 0.01T. Johnson · Missed · xG 0.01I. Phillips · Missed · xG 0.01I. Phillips · On goal · xG 0.01R. Donato · On goal · xG 0.01N. Zaitsev · On goal · xG 0.01C. Blackwell · Missed · xG 0.01C. Blackwell · On goal · xG 0.00L. Crevier · Missed · xG 0.00
CHI3 G · 2.4 xG · 35 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

COLvsCHI
3.72 G
All situations
3 G2.4
1.90 G
Even strength
2 G1.9
1.72 G
Power play
1 G0.5
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 87 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
COL70%30%CHI

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.57 – 2.37

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

COLvsCHI
37
Shots on goal
22
52%
Faceoffs
48%
2/3
Power play
1/6
32
Penalty minutes
16
19
Hits
26
6
Blocked shots
14
6
Giveaways
9
6
Takeaways
15

Box score

every player line
Colorado Avalanche skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
7D. ToewsD000-130.02100—29:50
13V. NichushkinR202051.33402—25:47
96M. RantanenR011070.751105724:24
4B. ByramD000-100.00020—23:29
29N. MacKinnonC011030.120005322:26
42J. MansonD000020.03000—21:21
25L. O'ConnorR000030.55010—17:41
27J. DrouinL011-220.152006716:22
3J. JohnsonD000-110.01000—15:59
12R. JohansenC000000.0020126714:33
70S. MalinskiD011-120.13000—14:06
28M. WoodL000-220.211016—12:11
20R. ColtonC000-220.052104010:36
82C. JonesD000010.05400—10:27
59B. MeyersC000010.05000010:11
94J. KivirantaL000010.11100—10:10
22F. OlofssonL000010.050105008:52
56K. MacDermidL000010.05102—04:25
Colorado Avalanche goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
40A. Georgiev(L)22193.8642.40-0.6058:15

Season series

COL leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).