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Utah Mammoth at Washington Capitals

FinalTV NHLN, MNMT·Capital One Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Utah Mammoth beat the Washington Capitals 5-2. The Coyotes scored first and never trailed. The Coyotes led 4-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Michael Kesselring's goal at 6:45 of the second period, which took the Coyotes' chances from 64% to 82%. Expected goals favored the Coyotes, 4.4 to 2.9; shots on goal were ARI 28, WSH 26. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Coyotes win a replay of these chances 53% of the time. Karel Vejmelka stopped 24 of 26 (.923), 0.9 goals saved above expected; Charlie Lindgren stopped 23 of 27 (.852), 1.0 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Dylan Guenther (1 G, 2 A), 2. Karel Vejmelka (24 saves, .923), 3. Anthony Mantha (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    ARI
    D. Guenther1 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    ARI
    K. Vejmelka24 saves, .923
  3. ★★★
    WSH
    A. Mantha1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
ARIARI11031315528
WSHWSH0711019226

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. ARI
    snapxG 0.27win prob +13 ptsVideo
    1-0
    7:33

2nd period

  1. ARI
    J. Zucker(9)PPG
    snapxG 0.18win prob +16 ptsVideo
    2-0
    4:06
  2. WSH
    S. Milano(8)PPG
    tip-inxG 0.15win prob +16 ptsVideo
    2-1
    6:02
  3. ARI
    wristxG 0.02win prob +17 ptsVideo
    3-1
    6:45
  4. ARI
    wristxG 0.09win prob +6 ptsVideo
    4-1
    18:01

3rd period

  1. WSH
    A. Mantha(20)PPG
    slapxG 0.07win prob +6 ptsVideo
    4-2
    0:10
  2. ARI
    wristxG 0.94Video
    5-2
    19:39

Penalties

ARI 14 PIM·WSH 22 PIM

1st

  • 10:43WSHJohn Carlson · Hookingdrawn by Logan Cooley2 min
  • 15:35ARINick Bjugstad · Trippingdrawn by Aliaksei Protas2 min

2nd

  • 2:24WSHRasmus Sandin · Trippingdrawn by Liam O'Brien2 min
  • 4:32ARIKarel Vejmelka · Trippingdrawn by Dylan Strome2 min
  • 8:15WSHSonny Milano · Holding the stickdrawn by Michael Kesselring2 min
  • 10:16ARIserved by M. Carcone · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 14:33WSHJohn Carlson · Abuse of officials2 min
  • 14:58ARIDylan Guenther · Trippingdrawn by Tom Wilson2 min
  • 17:40WSHTom Wilson · Abuse of officials2 min
  • 17:40WSHTom Wilson · Misconduct10 min
  • 19:50ARIMichael Kesselring · Holdingdrawn by Nicolas Aube-Kubel2 min

3rd

  • 11:21ARIMichael Kesselring · Holdingdrawn by Max Pacioretty2 min
  • 11:50WSHTom Wilson · Slashingdrawn by Barrett Hayton2 min
  • 16:56ARIBarrett Hayton · Holdingdrawn by Alex Ovechkin2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
WSH goalARI goalFinal: WSH 0%

Biggest swing: Michael Kesselring, 2nd 6:45 — ARI 64% → 82%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. McMichael · On goal · xG 0.46T. Wilson · On goal · xG 0.20A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.16T. Wilson · Missed · xG 0.15S. Milano · Goal · xG 0.15B. Malenstyn · Missed · xG 0.14A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.12A. Mantha · On goal · xG 0.11T. Wilson · Missed · xG 0.10D. Strome · On goal · xG 0.08N. Jensen · Missed · xG 0.08T. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.08D. Strome · Missed · xG 0.07A. Mantha · Goal · xG 0.07J. Carlson · On goal · xG 0.07A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.07A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.07D. Strome · Missed · xG 0.06D. Strome · Missed · xG 0.05A. Ovechkin · Missed · xG 0.05T. Wilson · On goal · xG 0.05T. Wilson · On goal · xG 0.05T. Wilson · On goal · xG 0.04A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.04A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.03A. Mantha · On goal · xG 0.03A. Mantha · Missed · xG 0.03A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.03S. Milano · On goal · xG 0.03R. Sandin · Missed · xG 0.03A. Ovechkin · Missed · xG 0.02S. Milano · Missed · xG 0.02M. Pacioretty · On goal · xG 0.02C. McMichael · On goal · xG 0.02N. Jensen · Missed · xG 0.02T. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.02A. Ovechkin · On goal · xG 0.02R. Sandin · Missed · xG 0.01J. Carlson · On goal · xG 0.01T. Wilson · Missed · xG 0.01J. Edmundson · Missed · xG 0.01J. Edmundson · On goal · xG 0.00
WSH2 G · 2.9 xG · 42 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

ARIvsWSH
4.44 G
All situations
2 G2.9
1.82 G
Even strength
0 G1.4
1.02 G
Power play
2 G1.3
0.20 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 85 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
ARI53%47%WSH

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.99 – 2.83

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

ARIvsWSH
28
Shots on goal
26
54%
Faceoffs
46%
2/6
Power play
2/7
14
Penalty minutes
22
18
Hits
23
11
Blocked shots
24
11
Giveaways
10
10
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Utah Mammoth skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
50S. DurziD011+250.18020—22:47
24M. DumbaD000000.00100—21:52
90J. MoserD000010.14000—20:54
11D. GuentherR123+150.50312—18:08
51T. StecherD000+100.00310—17:50
67L. CrouseL011+120.11210—17:43
63M. MaccelliL011030.24000—16:55
17N. BjugstadC000010.032225716:33
8N. SchmaltzC112+121.660005016:11
92L. CooleyC101+110.280106715:34
4J. VälimäkiD011+100.04110—15:18
16J. ZuckerL112+140.5010010014:57
5M. KesselringD101+210.02004—14:39
15A. KerfootC000010.501103314:20
29B. HaytonC000+120.230126313:54
53M. CarconeL000+100.00100—11:17
22J. McBainC000+100.001005710:22
38L. O'BrienC011+100.00200009:03
Utah Mammoth goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
70K. Vejmelka(W)26242.9232.86+0.8660:00

Season series

ARI leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).