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Washington Capitals at Utah Mammoth

FinalTV MNMT, SCRIPPS·Mullett Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Utah Mammoth beat the Washington Capitals 6-0. The Coyotes scored first and never trailed. The Coyotes led 6-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Michael Carcone's goal at 10:02 of the first period, which took the Coyotes' chances from 67% to 81%. Expected goals were close — WSH 2.6, ARI 2.4; shots on goal were WSH 26, ARI 27. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Capitals win a replay of these chances 54% of the time. Charlie Lindgren stopped 19 of 22 (.864), 1.0 goals below expected; Connor Ingram stopped 26 of 26 (1.000), 2.6 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Connor Ingram (26 saves, 1.000), 2. Nick Schmaltz (2 G), 3. Clayton Keller (3 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    ARI
    C. Ingram26 saves, 1.000
  2. ★★
    ARI
    N. Schmaltz2 G
  3. ★★★
    ARI
    C. Keller3 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
WSHWSH090809026
ARIARI5101908627

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. ARI
    L. Cooley(3)PPG
    tip-inxG 0.16win prob +9 ptsVideo
    0-1
    8:46
  2. ARI
    wristxG 0.04win prob +14 ptsVideo
    0-2
    10:02
  3. ARI
    slapxG 0.10win prob +9 ptsVideo
    0-3
    14:15
  4. ARI
    wristxG 0.03win prob +5 ptsVideo
    0-4
    17:13
  5. ARI
    backhandxG 0.12win prob +2 ptsVideo
    0-5
    18:39

2nd period

  1. ARI
    A. Kerfoot (13), J. Moser (10)
    wristxG 0.16Video
    0-6
    16:54

Penalties

WSH 10 PIM·ARI 10 PIM

1st

  • 4:40ARITroy Stecher · Interferencedrawn by Anthony Mantha2 min
  • 8:03WSHNicolas Aube-Kubel · Trippingdrawn by Clayton Keller2 min
  • 12:20WSHTom Wilson · Interferencedrawn by Joshua Brown2 min

2nd

  • 6:04ARILiam O'Brien · Hookingdrawn by Nicolas Aube-Kubel2 min
  • 12:27ARIJoshua Brown · Holdingdrawn by Nic Dowd2 min
  • 15:30ARIClayton Keller · Trippingdrawn by Nic Dowd2 min
  • 18:04WSHNic Dowd · Holdingdrawn by Juuso Välimäki2 min

3rd

  • 8:52WSHNicolas Aube-Kubel · Hookingdrawn by Juuso Välimäki2 min
  • 8:52ARIMichael Kesselring · Roughingdrawn by Nicolas Aube-Kubel2 min
  • 8:52WSHNicolas Aube-Kubel · Roughingdrawn by Michael Kesselring2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
ARI goalWSH goalFinal: ARI 100%

Biggest swing: Michael Carcone, 1st 10:02 — ARI 67% → 81%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Maccelli · Missed · xG 0.18N. Bjugstad · Goal · xG 0.16L. Cooley · Goal · xG 0.16L. Cooley · On goal · xG 0.15L. Crouse · On goal · xG 0.14N. Schmaltz · Missed · xG 0.12J. Zucker · Goal · xG 0.12L. Crouse · On goal · xG 0.11N. Bjugstad · On goal · xG 0.10N. Schmaltz · Goal · xG 0.10J. Zucker · On goal · xG 0.08J. Zucker · Missed · xG 0.07L. Cooley · On goal · xG 0.07N. Schmaltz · On goal · xG 0.07J. Zucker · On goal · xG 0.07J. Zucker · On goal · xG 0.06C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.06N. Bjugstad · Missed · xG 0.05J. Brown · On goal · xG 0.05M. Maccelli · On goal · xG 0.05L. Cooley · On goal · xG 0.05M. Dumba · On goal · xG 0.05J. Zucker · On goal · xG 0.05A. Kerfoot · Missed · xG 0.04M. Carcone · Goal · xG 0.03M. Dumba · On goal · xG 0.03N. Schmaltz · Goal · xG 0.03N. Schmaltz · Missed · xG 0.03T. Stecher · Missed · xG 0.02M. Kelemen · Missed · xG 0.02C. Keller · On goal · xG 0.02M. Kesselring · On goal · xG 0.01J. Zucker · On goal · xG 0.01J. Välimäki · Missed · xG 0.01T. Stecher · On goal · xG 0.01J. Moser · On goal · xG 0.00
ARI6 G · 2.4 xG · 36 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WSHvsARI
2.60 G
All situations
6 G2.4
1.80 G
Even strength
3 G1.2
0.70 G
Power play
2 G1.0
0.10 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 74 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WSH54%46%ARI

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.57 – 2.35

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WSHvsARI
26
Shots on goal
27
45%
Faceoffs
55%
0/4
Power play
2/4
10
Penalty minutes
10
21
Hits
17
12
Blocked shots
21
4
Giveaways
6
4
Takeaways
10

Box score

every player line
Washington Capitals skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
74J. CarlsonD000-240.22010—22:49
57T. van RiemsdykD000-120.07010—20:39
38R. SandinD000-210.07120—19:54
8A. OvechkinL000-130.33000—19:31
42M. FehérváryD000-120.05210—18:23
43T. WilsonR000040.30302—18:21
17D. StromeC000-110.070003816:53
24C. McMichaelL000-200.130004716:41
3N. JensenD000010.01110—15:57
45M. PhillipsR000000.00200—15:32
6J. EdmundsonD000-100.12010—14:55
29H. LapierreC000-210.161105014:53
39A. ManthaR000-220.33000—14:47
26N. DowdC000000.083026214:14
47B. MalenstynL000-100.00610—13:31
96N. Aube-KubelR000-130.2910610012:45
15S. MilanoL000-110.34120—12:04
21A. ProtasL000-210.06010—11:59
Washington Capitals goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
79C. Lindgren22193.8641.98-1.0245:45
35D. Kuemper(L)523.4000.39-2.6113:49

Season series

ARI leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).