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Anaheim Ducks at San Jose Sharks

FinalTV NBCSCA, BSSD·SAP Center at San Jose

Recap

written from the game data

The Anaheim Ducks beat the San Jose Sharks 6-4. The lead changed hands 2 times. The Ducks led 5-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Frank Vatrano's goal at 17:35 of the second period, which took the Ducks' chances from 52% to 70%. Expected goals were close — ANA 3.0, SJS 3.1; shots on goal were ANA 30, SJS 28. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Sharks win a replay of these chances 58% of the time. John Gibson stopped 24 of 28 (.857), 0.9 goals below expected; Kaapo Kahkonen stopped 24 of 29 (.828), 2.5 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Adam Henrique (1 G, 2 A), 2. Anthony Duclair (2 G, 1 A), 3. Mikael Granlund (3 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    ANA
    A. Henrique1 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    SJS
    A. Duclair2 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    SJS
    M. Granlund3 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
ANAANA27310113630
SJSSJS1112918428

Scoring

10 goals

1st period

  1. SJS
    slapxG 0.09win prob +11 ptsVideo
    0-1
    2:47
  2. ANA
    backhandxG 0.15win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-1
    3:07
  3. ANA
    B. Leason(8)SHG
    wristxG 0.08win prob +12 ptsVideo
    2-1
    4:37

2nd period

  1. ANA
    wristxG 0.10win prob +17 ptsVideo
    3-1
    5:18
  2. SJS
    slapxG 0.06win prob +14 ptsVideo
    3-2
    10:26
  3. SJS
    W. Eklund(9)PPG
    wristxG 0.29win prob +16 ptsVideo
    3-3
    15:40
  4. ANA
    F. Vatrano(27)PPG
    slapxG 0.06win prob +17 ptsVideo
    4-3
    17:35
  5. ANA
    tip-inxG 0.09win prob +14 ptsVideo
    5-3
    18:41

3rd period

  1. SJS
    A. Duclair(13)PPG
    wristxG 0.37win prob +15 ptsVideo
    5-4
    9:30
  2. ANA
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.40win prob +3 ptsVideo
    6-4
    19:36

Penalties

ANA 14 PIM·SJS 12 PIM

1st

  • 4:24ANAAlex Killorn · Trippingdrawn by Filip Zadina2 min
  • 8:45SJSWilliam Eklund · Holdingdrawn by Max Jones2 min

2nd

  • 6:19ANAAdam Henrique · Holdingdrawn by William Eklund2 min
  • 9:20ANAFrank Vatrano · Interferencedrawn by Nico Sturm2 min
  • 14:40ANAMason McTavish · Holdingdrawn by Mikael Granlund2 min
  • 16:50SJSKyle Burroughs · Holdingdrawn by Mason McTavish2 min
  • 17:50SJSFabian Zetterlund · High stickingdrawn by Max Jones2 min

3rd

  • 2:21ANARyan Strome · Trippingdrawn by Jan Rutta2 min
  • 4:51SJSJustin Bailey · Cross checkingdrawn by Pavel Mintyukov2 min
  • 8:05ANAUrho Vaakanainen · Roughingdrawn by William Eklund2 min
  • 8:05SJSWilliam Eklund · Roughingdrawn by Urho Vaakanainen2 min
  • 8:24ANAJackson LaCombe · Trippingdrawn by Mikael Granlund2 min
  • 11:05SJSKyle Burroughs · Roughingdrawn by Frank Vatrano2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
SJS goalANA goalFinal: SJS 0%

Biggest swing: Frank Vatrano, 2nd 17:35 — ANA 52% → 70%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Duclair · Goal · xG 0.37A. Duclair · Missed · xG 0.32W. Eklund · Goal · xG 0.29A. Duclair · On goal · xG 0.18A. Duclair · Missed · xG 0.17N. Sturm · Missed · xG 0.15F. Zetterlund · On goal · xG 0.14M. Granlund · On goal · xG 0.13M. Hoffman · On goal · xG 0.12M. Hoffman · Missed · xG 0.10M. Granlund · On goal · xG 0.09A. Duclair · Goal · xG 0.09M. Hoffman · On goal · xG 0.09L. Kunin · On goal · xG 0.08M. Hoffman · Goal · xG 0.06W. Eklund · Missed · xG 0.06A. Duclair · On goal · xG 0.05F. Zetterlund · Missed · xG 0.05F. Zadina · On goal · xG 0.05H. Thrun · On goal · xG 0.05W. Eklund · Missed · xG 0.05F. Zadina · Missed · xG 0.04A. Duclair · On goal · xG 0.04M. Granlund · Missed · xG 0.03W. Eklund · On goal · xG 0.03L. Kunin · Missed · xG 0.03R. Carpenter · On goal · xG 0.03H. Thrun · On goal · xG 0.02J. Rutta · On goal · xG 0.02F. Zadina · On goal · xG 0.02J. Bailey · On goal · xG 0.02F. Zadina · On goal · xG 0.02R. Carpenter · Missed · xG 0.02J. Bailey · Missed · xG 0.01N. Okhotiuk · On goal · xG 0.01T. Emberson · On goal · xG 0.01F. Zadina · On goal · xG 0.01M. Granlund · Missed · xG 0.01J. Rutta · Missed · xG 0.01F. Zadina · On goal · xG 0.00J. Bailey · On goal · xG 0.00F. Zetterlund · On goal · xG 0.00
SJS4 G · 3.1 xG · 42 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

ANAvsSJS
3.05 G
All situations
4 G3.1
1.92 G
Even strength
1 G1.7
0.52 G
Power play
3 G1.4
0.11 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 87 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
ANA42%58%SJS

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.50 – 2.97

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

ANAvsSJS
30
Shots on goal
28
46%
Faceoffs
54%
2/5
Power play
3/6
14
Penalty minutes
12
8
Hits
8
15
Blocked shots
17
5
Giveaways
8
10
Takeaways
10

Box score

every player line
Anaheim Ducks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
7R. GudasD011+240.09120—28:14
34P. MintyukovD011+120.06020—26:23
5U. VaakanainenD000020.02012—22:49
77F. VatranoR101-130.20112—20:15
60J. LaCombeD022+100.19212—20:10
17A. KillornL112+240.55202—19:41
23M. McTavishC000-110.010025218:46
20B. LeasonR101040.27020—17:15
14A. HenriqueC123+210.250125916:40
28G. LindstromD011+200.00010—14:53
91L. CarlssonC101+210.150203014:13
33J. SilfverbergR000+110.23000—12:48
21I. LundestromC101+110.47000012:30
39S. CarrickC000+210.100006212:28
49M. JonesL000040.32100—12:24
16R. StromeC022010.050121712:03
44R. JohnstonL000000.01100—06:55
4C. FowlerD000000.00010—00:21
Anaheim Ducks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
36J. Gibson(W)28244.8573.09-0.9160:00

Season series

ANA leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).