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Capitals at Panthers
NHL

Washington Capitals at Florida Panthers

NHL scoreboard
Washington Capitals
2
Florida Panthers
▸3
Final/OTTV MNMT, BSFL·Amerant Bank Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Florida Panthers beat the Washington Capitals 3-2 in overtime, Gustav Forsling scoring at 3:41. The lead changed hands 2 times. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Gustav Forsling's goal at 3:41 of overtime, which took the Panthers' chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals were close — WSH 2.7, FLA 2.7; shots on goal were WSH 24, FLA 29. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Panthers win a replay of these chances 51% of the time. Charlie Lindgren stopped 26 of 29 (.897); Anthony Stolarz stopped 22 of 24 (.917), 0.7 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Gustav Forsling (1 G), 2. Tom Wilson (1 G), 3. Carter Verhaeghe (1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    FLA
    G. Forsling1 G
  2. ★★
    WSH
    T. Wilson1 G
  3. ★★★
    FLA
    C. Verhaeghe1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
WSHWSH08181503224
FLAFLA0411111113329

Scoring

5 goals

2nd period

  1. FLA
    N. Cousins(3)
    D. Kulikov (15), B. Montour (14)
    tip-inxG 0.05win prob +16 ptsVideo
    0-1
    4:03
  2. WSH
    S. Milano(6)PPG
    R. Sandin (15), M. Pacioretty (10)
    wristxG 0.13win prob +20 ptsVideo
    1-1
    18:31

3rd period

  1. WSH
    T. Wilson(13)PPG
    D. Strome (21), J. Carlson (29)
    deflectedxG 0.15win prob +29 ptsVideo
    2-1
    10:11
  2. FLA
    A. Barkov(13)PPG
    C. Verhaeghe (30), B. Montour (15)
    snapxG 0.19win prob +35 ptsVideo
    2-2
    16:30

Overtime

  1. FLA
    G. Forsling(9)
    S. Bennett (15)
    slapxG 0.28win prob +49 ptsVideo
    2-3
    3:41

Penalties

WSH 13 PIM·FLA 15 PIM

1st

  • 4:51FLAGustav Forsling · Trippingdrawn by Michael Sgarbossa2 min
  • 9:41FLAWilliam Lockwood · Hookingdrawn by Nick Jensen2 min
  • 14:42FLAEvan Rodrigues · Roughingdrawn by Connor McMichael2 min
  • 14:42WSHConnor McMichael · Roughingdrawn by Evan Rodrigues2 min

2nd

  • 10:38WSHAnthony Mantha · Hookingdrawn by Nick Cousins2 min
  • 10:38FLANick Cousins · Fightingdrawn by Anthony Mantha5 min
  • 10:38WSHAnthony Mantha · Fightingdrawn by Nick Cousins5 min
  • 16:51FLANiko Mikkola · Hookingdrawn by Tom Wilson2 min

3rd

  • 0:12WSHJohn Carlson · Slashingdrawn by Aleksander Barkov2 min
  • 9:04FLAAleksander Barkov · Holdingdrawn by Tom Wilson2 min
  • 15:42WSHNick Jensen · Hookingdrawn by Evan Rodrigues2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
FLA goalWSH goalFinal: FLA 100%

Biggest swing: Gustav Forsling, OT 3:41 — FLA 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
G. Forsling · Goal · xG 0.28N. Cousins · On goal · xG 0.27C. Verhaeghe · On goal · xG 0.26A. Barkov · Goal · xG 0.19W. Lockwood · On goal · xG 0.18S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.14S. Bennett · Missed · xG 0.13C. Verhaeghe · On goal · xG 0.11S. Reinhart · Missed · xG 0.10N. Cousins · On goal · xG 0.09S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.09S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.08C. Verhaeghe · On goal · xG 0.07A. Barkov · Missed · xG 0.07A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.06N. Mikkola · Missed · xG 0.06S. Bennett · Missed · xG 0.06N. Cousins · Goal · xG 0.05C. Verhaeghe · On goal · xG 0.05A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.05J. Gadjovich · On goal · xG 0.04R. Lomberg · On goal · xG 0.04G. Forsling · Missed · xG 0.03C. Verhaeghe · On goal · xG 0.03S. Reinhart · Missed · xG 0.03A. Ekblad · Missed · xG 0.03A. Ekblad · On goal · xG 0.02A. Barkov · Missed · xG 0.02A. Barkov · Missed · xG 0.01A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.01E. Luostarinen · On goal · xG 0.01S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.01S. Reinhart · On goal · xG 0.01N. Cousins · On goal · xG 0.01A. Ekblad · On goal · xG 0.01S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.00E. Rodrigues · On goal · xG 0.00B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.00S. Reinhart · On goal · xG 0.00
FLA3 G · 2.7 xG · 39 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WSHvsFLA
2.72 G
All situations
3 G2.7
1.90 G
Even strength
2 G2.1
0.82 G
Power play
1 G0.6
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 84 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WSH49%51%FLA

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.60 – 2.64

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WSHvsFLA
24
Shots on goal
29
42%
Faceoffs
58%
2/4
Power play
1/3
13
Penalty minutes
15
34
Hits
41
24
Blocked shots
9
8
Giveaways
14
8
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Washington Capitals skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
74J. CarlsonD011-120.11422—29:21
43T. WilsonR101040.263002523:55
17D. StromeC011-100.461005623:42
57T. van RiemsdykD000-110.01040—22:01
38R. SandinD011-140.38030—19:39
8A. OvechkinL000-140.17400—18:06
6J. EdmundsonD000010.06210—17:57
3N. JensenD000000.01342—17:39
24C. McMichaelL000-100.112123116:16
39A. ManthaR000000.03207—16:12
96N. Aube-KubelR000-110.07100—15:45
67M. PaciorettyL011040.21220—14:49
15S. MilanoL101-110.32020—14:19
47B. MalenstynL000020.23800—13:29
23M. SgarbossaC000000.000103313:27
21A. ProtasL000000.090003812:43
27A. AlexeyevD000000.00240—10:47
72P. DubeR000000.14000—04:33
Washington Capitals goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
79C. Lindgren(O)29263.8972.69-0.3163:16

Season series

FLA leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).