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Maple Leafs at Golden Knights
NHL

Toronto Maple Leafs at Vegas Golden Knights

NHL scoreboard
Toronto Maple Leafs
▸7
Vegas Golden Knights
3
FinalTV SCRIPPS, TVAS·T-Mobile Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Toronto Maple Leafs beat the Vegas Golden Knights 7-3. The Maple Leafs scored first and never trailed. The Maple Leafs led 6-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was David Kampf's goal at 11:10 of the first period, which took the Maple Leafs' chances from 60% to 75%. Expected goals favored the Maple Leafs, 3.4 to 1.7; shots on goal were TOR 42, VGK 26. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Maple Leafs win a replay of these chances 77% of the time. Martin Jones stopped 23 of 26 (.885), 1.3 goals below expected; Logan Thompson stopped 18 of 22 (.818), 2.0 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Mitch Marner (2 A), 2. Max Domi (2 G), 3. Jonathan Marchessault (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    TOR
    M. Marner2 A
  2. ★★
    TOR
    M. Domi2 G
  3. ★★★
    VGK
    J. Marchessault1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
TORTOR42321019742
VGKVGK0141527326

Scoring

10 goals

1st period

  1. TOR
    J. McCabe(6)
    Unassisted
    slapxG 0.05win prob +13 ptsVideo
    1-0
    10:00
  2. TOR
    D. Kampf(5)
    R. Reaves (1)
    wristxG 0.12win prob +16 ptsVideo
    2-0
    11:10
  3. TOR
    J. Tavares(17)
    N. Robertson (11), B. McMann (8)
    wristxG 0.07win prob +11 ptsVideo
    3-0
    14:20
  4. TOR
    M. Domi(6)
    W. Nylander (44), T. Bertuzzi (16)
    wristxG 0.11win prob +7 ptsVideo
    4-0
    16:11

2nd period

  1. VGK
    W. Karlsson(19)
    J. Marchessault (17), S. Theodore (16)
    wristxG 0.04win prob +6 ptsVideo
    4-1
    0:51
  2. TOR
    M. Domi(7)
    S. Benoit (3), M. Marner (47)
    wristxG 0.14win prob +4 ptsVideo
    5-1
    11:44
  3. TOR
    P. Holmberg(3)
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.10win prob +1 ptsVideo
    6-1
    15:36

3rd period

  1. VGK
    J. Marchessault(29)
    S. Theodore (17), B. Brisson (3)
    wristxG 0.05win prob +1 ptsVideo
    6-2
    0:59
  2. VGK
    M. Amadio(10)
    I. Barbashev (21), C. Stephenson (22)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +2 ptsVideo
    6-3
    1:25
  3. TOR
    A. Matthews(52)
    P. Holmberg (7), M. Marner (48)
    tip-inxG 0.12win prob +1 ptsVideo
    7-3
    10:35

Penalties

TOR 2 PIM·VGK 4 PIM

2nd

  • 7:35VGKZach Whitecloud · Holdingdrawn by William Nylander2 min
  • 17:24VGKPaul Cotter · Cross checkingdrawn by Jake McCabe2 min

3rd

  • 8:17TORPontus Holmberg · Trippingdrawn by Sheldon Rempal2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
VGK goalTOR goalFinal: VGK 0%

Biggest swing: David Kampf, 1st 11:10 — TOR 60% → 75%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. Stephenson · On goal · xG 0.11J. Marchessault · On goal · xG 0.09M. Amadio · On goal · xG 0.09B. Froese · On goal · xG 0.08M. Amadio · Goal · xG 0.08P. Cotter · On goal · xG 0.08C. Stephenson · Missed · xG 0.08C. Stephenson · On goal · xG 0.07M. Amadio · On goal · xG 0.07M. Morelli · On goal · xG 0.07N. Roy · On goal · xG 0.07C. Stephenson · Missed · xG 0.06M. Morelli · On goal · xG 0.06I. Barbashev · Missed · xG 0.06B. Brisson · Missed · xG 0.06M. Amadio · On goal · xG 0.06B. Brisson · Missed · xG 0.06J. Marchessault · Goal · xG 0.05I. Barbashev · Missed · xG 0.05S. Theodore · Missed · xG 0.05W. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.05P. Cotter · Missed · xG 0.04B. Brisson · On goal · xG 0.04W. Karlsson · Goal · xG 0.04B. Froese · On goal · xG 0.03S. Rempal · On goal · xG 0.02A. Martinez · On goal · xG 0.02A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.02S. Theodore · On goal · xG 0.01S. Theodore · On goal · xG 0.01Z. Whitecloud · Missed · xG 0.01N. Hague · On goal · xG 0.01B. Brisson · Missed · xG 0.01A. Pietrangelo · On goal · xG 0.01M. Amadio · On goal · xG 0.01S. Theodore · On goal · xG 0.00
VGK3 G · 1.7 xG · 36 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

TORvsVGK
3.47 G
All situations
3 G1.7
3.27 G
Even strength
3 G1.7
0.20 G
Power play
0 G0.0
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 90 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
TOR77%23%VGK

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.31 – 1.72

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

TORvsVGK
42
Shots on goal
26
45%
Faceoffs
55%
0/2
Power play
0/1
2
Penalty minutes
4
30
Hits
32
22
Blocked shots
21
3
Giveaways
7
9
Takeaways
11

Box score

every player line
Toronto Maple Leafs skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
78T. BrodieD000-100.02120—22:18
37T. LiljegrenD000-120.04320—21:30
22J. McCabeD101+320.08310—19:58
16M. MarnerR022+220.03000—19:11
2S. BenoitD011+320.01400—18:40
44M. RiellyD000+240.06230—18:37
34A. MatthewsC101+160.581304718:01
88W. NylanderR011020.200006016:22
59T. BertuzziL011030.27120—16:19
23M. KniesL000-120.04310—15:53
85W. LagessonD000+200.00400—15:23
91J. TavaresC101+120.361103814:38
11M. DomiC202050.590105014:32
74B. McMannC011+130.1310010013:52
89N. RobertsonL011+100.05120—13:46
64D. KampfC101+240.421103313:39
29P. HolmbergR112+310.190325012:41
75R. ReavesR011+220.26400—12:40
Toronto Maple Leafs goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31M. Jones(W)26233.8851.73-1.2760:00

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).