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Penguins at Blackhawks
NHL

Pittsburgh Penguins at Chicago Blackhawks

FinalTV SN-PIT, NBCSCH·United Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Pittsburgh Penguins beat the Chicago Blackhawks 4-1. The Penguins scored first and never trailed. The Penguins led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Sidney Crosby's goal at 5:51 of the third period, which took the Penguins' chances from 75% to 93%. Expected goals favored the Penguins, 2.9 to 1.8; shots on goal were PIT 27, CHI 28. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Penguins win a replay of these chances 62% of the time. Alex Nedeljkovic stopped 27 of 28 (.964), 0.8 goals saved above expected; Arvid Soderblom stopped 23 of 26 (.885), 0.6 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Sidney Crosby (2 G), 2. Rickard Rakell (2 A), 3. Philipp Kurashev (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    PIT
    S. Crosby2 G
  2. ★★
    PIT
    R. Rakell2 A
  3. ★★★
    CHI
    P. Kurashev1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
PITPIT2120728427
CHICHI0101909128

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. PIT
    tip-inxG 0.07win prob +11 ptsVideo
    1-0
    0:15
  2. PIT
    backhandxG 0.06win prob +16 ptsVideo
    2-0
    12:40

2nd period

  1. CHI
    snapxG 0.18win prob +17 ptsVideo
    2-1
    8:22

3rd period

  1. PIT
    wristxG 0.13win prob +17 ptsVideo
    3-1
    5:51
  2. PIT
    B. Rust(15)EN
    wristxG 0.52win prob +1 ptsVideo
    4-1
    19:10

Penalties

PIT 4 PIM·CHI 2 PIM

1st

  • 19:04CHIJaycob Megna · Trippingdrawn by Drew O'Connor2 min

2nd

  • 14:38PITColin White · Cross checkingdrawn by Nick Foligno2 min

3rd

  • 18:40PITRickard Rakell · Holdingdrawn by Connor Bedard2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CHI goalPIT goalFinal: CHI 0%

Biggest swing: Sidney Crosby, 3rd 5:51 — PIT 75% → 93%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
P. Kurashev · Goal · xG 0.18C. Blackwell · On goal · xG 0.16T. Raddysh · On goal · xG 0.12B. Katchouk · Missed · xG 0.10C. Bedard · On goal · xG 0.10T. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.09N. Foligno · On goal · xG 0.09C. Bedard · On goal · xG 0.08C. Bedard · On goal · xG 0.08P. Kurashev · On goal · xG 0.08B. Katchouk · On goal · xG 0.07C. Bedard · On goal · xG 0.07T. Raddysh · On goal · xG 0.07S. Jones · On goal · xG 0.06B. Katchouk · On goal · xG 0.06P. Kurashev · On goal · xG 0.04R. Donato · On goal · xG 0.04S. Jones · On goal · xG 0.04J. Dickinson · On goal · xG 0.03K. Korchinski · On goal · xG 0.03S. Jones · On goal · xG 0.02J. Megna · Missed · xG 0.02Z. Sanford · On goal · xG 0.02P. Kurashev · Missed · xG 0.02A. Vlasic · On goal · xG 0.02S. Jones · On goal · xG 0.02L. Crevier · On goal · xG 0.01J. Dickinson · On goal · xG 0.01A. Vlasic · On goal · xG 0.01L. Crevier · On goal · xG 0.01A. Vlasic · Missed · xG 0.01K. Korchinski · On goal · xG 0.01K. Korchinski · Missed · xG 0.01S. Jones · Missed · xG 0.00
CHI1 G · 1.8 xG · 34 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

PITvsCHI
2.93 G
All situations
1 G1.8
2.33 G
Even strength
1 G1.4
0.10 G
Power play
0 G0.4

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 72 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
PIT62%38%CHI

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.35 – 1.76

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

PITvsCHI
27
Shots on goal
28
64%
Faceoffs
36%
0/1
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
2
11
Hits
17
8
Blocked shots
12
7
Giveaways
14
6
Takeaways
10

Box score

every player line
Pittsburgh Penguins skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
65E. KarlssonD000-130.21000—24:19
28M. PetterssonD022+420.02010—22:26
27R. GravesD000-100.00120—22:05
58K. LetangD011+420.04000—21:55
71E. MalkinC000-130.181006718:22
17B. RustR101+331.02000—18:06
87S. CrosbyC202+330.321106918:02
10D. O'ConnorL011020.1900010017:51
20L. EllerC000+110.161104417:14
19R. SmithR101020.40100—16:51
67R. RakellR022+220.13102—15:58
77J. CarterC000020.191008014:19
2C. RuhwedelD000000.03120—14:05
7J. LudvigD000010.01000—13:08
48V. PuustinenR000010.01000—12:44
36C. WhiteC000000.00012011:26
18J. PuljujarviR000000.00200—10:32
44J. GrudenL000000.00100—07:18
Pittsburgh Penguins goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
39A. Nedeljkovic(W)28271.9641.76+0.7659:59

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).