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Lightning at Rangers
NHL

Tampa Bay Lightning at New York Rangers

NHL scoreboard
Tampa Bay Lightning
1
New York Rangers
▸3
FinalTV TNT, MAX·Madison Square Garden

Recap

written from the game data

The New York Rangers beat the Tampa Bay Lightning 3-1. The Rangers scored first and never trailed. The Rangers led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jonny Brodzinski's goal at 17:46 of the second period, which took the Rangers' chances from 74% to 90%. Expected goals favored the Rangers, 3.0 to 1.8; shots on goal were TBL 18, NYR 24. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Rangers win a replay of these chances 61% of the time. Andrei Vasilevskiy stopped 21 of 23 (.913); Jonathan Quick stopped 17 of 18 (.944), 0.8 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Jimmy Vesey (2 G), 2. Jonny Brodzinski (1 G), 3. Jonathan Quick (17 saves, .944).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NYR
    J. Vesey2 G
  2. ★★
    NYR
    J. Brodzinski1 G
  3. ★★★
    NYR
    J. Quick17 saves, .944

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
TBLTBL050419118
NYRNYR0521019324

Scoring

4 goals

2nd period

  1. NYR
    J. Vesey(10)
    B. Goodrow (5), T. Pitlick (3)
    backhandxG 0.01win prob +16 ptsVideo
    0-1
    1:15
  2. NYR
    J. Brodzinski(3)
    C. Kreider (23), B. Wheeler (12)
    slapxG 0.05win prob +16 ptsVideo
    0-2
    17:46

3rd period

  1. TBL
    B. Hagel(17)
    E. Cernak (6), N. Kucherov (54)
    wristxG 0.29win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-2
    5:29
  2. NYR
    J. Vesey(11)EN
    B. Goodrow (6), V. Trocheck (32)
    snapxG 0.59win prob +5 ptsVideo
    1-3
    18:59

Penalties

TBL 4 PIM·NYR 2 PIM

2nd

  • 2:05TBLMichael Eyssimont · Holdingdrawn by Artemi Panarin2 min
  • 18:43TBLBrayden Point · Holdingdrawn by Adam Fox2 min

3rd

  • 15:22NYRMika Zibanejad · Holdingdrawn by Nikita Kucherov2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NYR goalTBL goalFinal: NYR 100%

Biggest swing: Jonny Brodzinski, 2nd 17:46 — NYR 74% → 90%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Vesey · Goal · xG 0.59A. Lafrenière · Missed · xG 0.21M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.17A. Panarin · On goal · xG 0.17A. Lafrenière · On goal · xG 0.15C. Kreider · Missed · xG 0.15A. Lafrenière · On goal · xG 0.13J. Brodzinski · Missed · xG 0.12K. Kakko · On goal · xG 0.11A. Panarin · On goal · xG 0.11C. Kreider · On goal · xG 0.10A. Panarin · Missed · xG 0.10V. Trocheck · Missed · xG 0.09C. Kreider · On goal · xG 0.08A. Lafrenière · Missed · xG 0.07A. Fox · Missed · xG 0.06J. Brodzinski · Goal · xG 0.05B. Wheeler · Missed · xG 0.04J. Brodzinski · Missed · xG 0.04W. Cuylle · Missed · xG 0.04J. Brodzinski · On goal · xG 0.03A. Fox · Missed · xG 0.03A. Lafrenière · Missed · xG 0.03E. Gustafsson · Missed · xG 0.03E. Gustafsson · On goal · xG 0.03M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.03T. Pitlick · On goal · xG 0.02K. Kakko · On goal · xG 0.02K. Kakko · On goal · xG 0.02B. Wheeler · On goal · xG 0.02J. Trouba · On goal · xG 0.02J. Vesey · Goal · xG 0.01B. Wheeler · On goal · xG 0.01J. Trouba · On goal · xG 0.01A. Lafrenière · Missed · xG 0.01B. Schneider · Missed · xG 0.01A. Lafrenière · On goal · xG 0.01C. Kreider · Missed · xG 0.01A. Fox · Missed · xG 0.01J. Brodzinski · On goal · xG 0.01J. Trouba · On goal · xG 0.01
NYR3 G · 3.0 xG · 41 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

TBLvsNYR
1.81 G
All situations
2 G3.0
1.51 G
Even strength
2 G1.9
0.40 G
Power play
0 G0.5

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 79 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
TBL39%61%NYR

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.82 – 2.36

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

TBLvsNYR
18
Shots on goal
24
50%
Faceoffs
50%
0/1
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
2
18
Hits
21
9
Blocked shots
22
4
Giveaways
10
2
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Tampa Bay Lightning skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
77V. HedmanD000-110.06000—27:09
43D. RaddyshD000010.04000—23:25
86N. KucherovR011-130.21110—23:21
81E. CernakD011-100.00510—22:40
21B. PointC000-120.13102021:13
38B. HagelL101030.36220—18:45
20N. PaulL000-110.041104318:38
78E. LillebergD000000.00200—17:55
71A. CirelliC000-100.140005016:43
48N. PerbixD000000.02120—16:01
91S. StamkosC000-120.0800010015:47
23M. EyssimontC000-110.13002012:27
64T. MotteC000-110.091008011:48
12A. Barré-BouletC000000.22100011:07
73C. ShearyL000-120.20010—10:31
98M. SergachevD000-100.03110—10:22
11L. GlendeningC000000.000002909:57
41M. ChaffeeR000010.08200—09:36
Tampa Bay Lightning goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
88A. Vasilevskiy(L)23212.9132.36+0.3658:35

Season series

NYR leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).