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New York Rangers at Tampa Bay Lightning

FinalTV BSSUN, MSG 2·Amalie Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The New York Rangers beat the Tampa Bay Lightning 5-1. The Rangers scored first and never trailed. The Rangers led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Chris Kreider's goal at 18:30 of the second period, which took the Rangers' chances from 70% to 88%. Expected goals favored the Rangers, 3.2 to 2.8; shots on goal were NYR 21, TBL 35. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Lightning win a replay of these chances 58% of the time. Igor Shesterkin stopped 34 of 35 (.971), 1.8 goals saved above expected; Andrei Vasilevskiy stopped 16 of 21 (.762), 2.7 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Artemi Panarin (3 G), 2. Igor Shesterkin (34 saves, .971), 3. Vincent Trocheck (1 G, 3 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NYR
    A. Panarin3 G
  2. ★★
    NYR
    I. Shesterkin34 saves, .971
  3. ★★★
    NYR
    V. Trocheck1 G, 3 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NYRNYR291527521
TBLTBL01411308135

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. NYR
    snapxG 0.19win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-0
    1:51
  2. NYR
    wristxG 0.69win prob +15 ptsVideo
    2-0
    7:36

2nd period

  1. TBL
    snapxG 0.15win prob +13 ptsVideo
    2-1
    17:39
  2. NYR
    wristxG 0.08win prob +18 ptsVideo
    3-1
    18:30

3rd period

  1. NYR
    wristxG 0.07win prob +3 ptsVideo
    4-1
    11:16
  2. NYR
    A. Panarin(23)PPG
    A. Fox (21), M. Zibanejad (23)
    wristxG 0.10Video
    5-1
    15:26

Penalties

NYR 10 PIM·TBL 8 PIM

1st

  • 11:38TBLHaydn Fleury · Holdingdrawn by Will Cuylle2 min
  • 11:38NYRWill Cuylle · Holdingdrawn by Haydn Fleury2 min
  • 14:55NYRMika Zibanejad · Hookingdrawn by Tanner Jeannot2 min

2nd

  • 8:34NYRK'Andre Miller · Interferencedrawn by Nick Paul2 min
  • 9:12TBLBrayden Point · High stickingdrawn by Mika Zibanejad2 min
  • 16:51NYRBraden Schneider · Roughingdrawn by Nikita Kucherov2 min

3rd

  • 13:47TBLAnthony Cirelli · Roughingdrawn by Jacob Trouba2 min
  • 13:47NYRJacob Trouba · Roughingdrawn by Anthony Cirelli2 min
  • 15:04TBLSteven Stamkos · Holdingdrawn by Adam Fox2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
TBL goalNYR goalFinal: TBL 0%

Biggest swing: Chris Kreider, 2nd 18:30 — NYR 70% → 88%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
N. Paul · On goal · xG 0.22B. Hagel · On goal · xG 0.21N. Paul · On goal · xG 0.20A. Cirelli · On goal · xG 0.19B. Point · On goal · xG 0.15N. Kucherov · Goal · xG 0.15V. Hedman · On goal · xG 0.14S. Stamkos · On goal · xG 0.12N. Kucherov · On goal · xG 0.10E. Cernak · On goal · xG 0.10A. Cirelli · On goal · xG 0.09T. Jeannot · Missed · xG 0.09N. Kucherov · On goal · xG 0.08S. Stamkos · On goal · xG 0.07N. Kucherov · Missed · xG 0.06V. Hedman · Missed · xG 0.05B. Point · On goal · xG 0.05C. Sheary · On goal · xG 0.05D. Raddysh · Missed · xG 0.04B. Hagel · Missed · xG 0.04L. Glendening · Missed · xG 0.04T. Motte · Missed · xG 0.04S. Stamkos · Missed · xG 0.04B. Point · Missed · xG 0.03D. Raddysh · On goal · xG 0.03V. Hedman · Missed · xG 0.03N. Kucherov · Missed · xG 0.03V. Hedman · Missed · xG 0.03V. Hedman · On goal · xG 0.03L. Glendening · Missed · xG 0.02T. Motte · On goal · xG 0.02M. Eyssimont · On goal · xG 0.02A. Cirelli · On goal · xG 0.02M. Eyssimont · On goal · xG 0.02E. Cernak · On goal · xG 0.02N. Paul · On goal · xG 0.01V. Hedman · On goal · xG 0.01E. Cernak · On goal · xG 0.01D. Raddysh · On goal · xG 0.01V. Hedman · On goal · xG 0.01L. Glendening · Missed · xG 0.01C. de Haan · On goal · xG 0.01N. Kucherov · Missed · xG 0.01E. Cernak · Missed · xG 0.01C. de Haan · On goal · xG 0.01T. Motte · On goal · xG 0.01N. Paul · Missed · xG 0.01C. de Haan · On goal · xG 0.01D. Raddysh · On goal · xG 0.01T. Motte · On goal · xG 0.01S. Stamkos · Missed · xG 0.01E. Cernak · On goal · xG 0.01D. Raddysh · On goal · xG 0.00
TBL1 G · 2.8 xG · 53 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NYRvsTBL
3.25 G
All situations
1 G2.8
2.24 G
Even strength
0 G1.8
0.11 G
Power play
1 G0.9

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 84 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NYR42%58%TBL

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.17 – 2.62

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NYRvsTBL
21
Shots on goal
35
46%
Faceoffs
54%
1/2
Power play
1/3
10
Penalty minutes
8
27
Hits
20
23
Blocked shots
7
6
Giveaways
8
7
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
New York Rangers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8J. TroubaD011+220.03852—23:19
23A. FoxD011+100.00130—22:28
55R. LindgrenD000+100.02130—20:50
79K. MillerD000+200.00402—20:34
16V. TrocheckC134+420.923004418:19
93M. ZibanejadC011020.001026717:38
20C. KreiderL101+120.10020—17:11
4B. SchneiderD000+110.01102—16:59
13A. LafrenièreL022+310.090005016:27
21B. GoodrowC000021.012405616:25
56E. GustafssonD000+100.00040—16:05
10A. PanarinL303+340.42100—15:55
26J. VeseyL000000.25010—14:06
17B. WheelerR011+110.03110—12:54
12N. BoninoC000010.060002912:28
71T. PitlickC000010.02200010:54
50W. CuylleL000010.27102—09:44
22J. BrodzinskiC000010.031002008:56
New York Rangers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31I. Shesterkin(W)35341.9712.76+1.7660:00

Season series

NYR leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).