New York Rangers at Tampa Bay Lightning
Recap
written from the game dataThe New York Rangers beat the Tampa Bay Lightning 5-1. The Rangers scored first and never trailed. The Rangers led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Chris Kreider's goal at 18:30 of the second period, which took the Rangers' chances from 70% to 88%. Expected goals favored the Rangers, 3.2 to 2.8; shots on goal were NYR 21, TBL 35. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Lightning win a replay of these chances 58% of the time. Igor Shesterkin stopped 34 of 35 (.971), 1.8 goals saved above expected; Andrei Vasilevskiy stopped 16 of 21 (.762), 2.7 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Artemi Panarin (3 G), 2. Igor Shesterkin (34 saves, .971), 3. Vincent Trocheck (1 G, 3 A).
Three stars
- ★A. Panarin3 G

- ★★I. Shesterkin34 saves, .971

- ★★★V. Trocheck1 G, 3 A

Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
6 goals1st period
1-01:51
2-07:36
2nd period
2-117:39
3-118:30
3rd period
4-111:16
5-115:26
Penalties
1st
- 11:38
Haydn Fleury · Holdingdrawn by Will Cuylle2 min
- 11:38
Will Cuylle · Holdingdrawn by Haydn Fleury2 min
- 14:55
Mika Zibanejad · Hookingdrawn by Tanner Jeannot2 min
2nd
- 8:34
K'Andre Miller · Interferencedrawn by Nick Paul2 min
- 9:12
Brayden Point · High stickingdrawn by Mika Zibanejad2 min
- 16:51
Braden Schneider · Roughingdrawn by Nikita Kucherov2 min
3rd
- 13:47
Anthony Cirelli · Roughingdrawn by Jacob Trouba2 min
- 13:47
Jacob Trouba · Roughingdrawn by Anthony Cirelli2 min
- 15:04
Steven Stamkos · Holdingdrawn by Adam Fox2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Chris Kreider, 2nd 18:30 — 70% → 88%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 3.25 G
- All situations
- 1 G2.8
- 2.24 G
- Even strength
- 0 G1.8
- 0.11 G
- Power play
- 1 G0.9
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 84 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 2.17 – 2.62
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 21
- Shots on goal
- 35
- 46%
- Faceoffs
- 54%
- 1/2
- Power play
- 1/3
- 10
- Penalty minutes
- 8
- 27
- Hits
- 20
- 23
- Blocked shots
- 7
- 6
- Giveaways
- 8
- 7
- Takeaways
- 4
Box score
every player line
Season series
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).






