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Calgary Flames at Boston Bruins

FinalTV NESN, SN·TD Garden

Recap

written from the game data

The Calgary Flames beat the Boston Bruins 4-1. The Flames scored first and never trailed. The Flames led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Pavel Zacha's goal at 4:14 of the third period, which took the Bruins' chances from 16% to 37%. Expected goals favored the Flames, 2.0 to 1.5; shots on goal were CGY 29, BOS 22. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flames win a replay of these chances 61% of the time. Jacob Markstrom stopped 21 of 22 (.955); Jeremy Swayman stopped 25 of 29 (.862), 2.0 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Jonathan Huberdeau (1 G, 2 A), 2. Nazem Kadri (3 A), 3. Noah Hanifin (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CGY
    J. Huberdeau1 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    CGY
    N. Kadri3 A
  3. ★★★
    CGY
    N. Hanifin1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CGYCGY2120928429
BOSBOS0100517122

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. CGY
    wristxG 0.12win prob +9 ptsVideo
    1-0
    4:20
  2. CGY
    backhandxG 0.04win prob +16 ptsVideo
    2-0
    13:01

3rd period

  1. BOS
    P. Zacha(11)PPG
    slapxG 0.22win prob +21 ptsVideo
    2-1
    4:14
  2. CGY
    wristxG 0.08win prob +14 ptsVideo
    3-1
    6:23
  3. CGY
    backhandxG 0.04win prob +3 ptsVideo
    4-1
    9:44

Penalties

CGY 25 PIM·BOS 24 PIM

1st

  • 3:48BOSBrandon Carlo · Holdingdrawn by Nazem Kadri2 min
  • 16:00CGYMartin Pospisil · Cross checkingdrawn by Brad Marchand5 min
  • 16:00BOSBrad Marchand · Slashingdrawn by Jacob Markstrom2 min
  • 16:00CGYMartin Pospisil · Game misconduct10 min

3rd

  • 2:48CGYBrayden Pachal · Hookingdrawn by Pavel Zacha2 min
  • 3:40CGYMacKenzie Weegar · High sticking double minordrawn by Brad Marchand4 min
  • 5:55BOSserved by Jakub Lauko · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 9:25BOSCharlie Coyle · Slashingdrawn by Jonathan Huberdeau2 min
  • 10:07BOSCharlie McAvoy · Roughingdrawn by Rasmus Andersson2 min
  • 16:16CGYBrayden Pachal · Roughingdrawn by Jakub Lauko2 min
  • 16:16BOSJakub Lauko · Roughingdrawn by Brayden Pachal2 min
  • 16:16BOSJakub Lauko · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Brayden Pachal2 min
  • 16:16CGYBrayden Pachal · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Jakub Lauko2 min
  • 16:16BOSCharlie McAvoy · Misconduct10 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
BOS goalCGY goalFinal: BOS 0%

Biggest swing: Pavel Zacha, 3rd 4:14 — BOS 16% → 37%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
P. Zacha · Goal · xG 0.22J. DeBrusk · On goal · xG 0.14J. Lauko · On goal · xG 0.14J. Lauko · On goal · xG 0.12J. DeBrusk · On goal · xG 0.07C. McAvoy · Missed · xG 0.07C. McAvoy · On goal · xG 0.05C. McAvoy · On goal · xG 0.05B. Marchand · Missed · xG 0.05P. Zacha · On goal · xG 0.04P. Zacha · On goal · xG 0.04D. Pastrnak · Missed · xG 0.04C. McAvoy · Missed · xG 0.04J. van Riemsdyk · Missed · xG 0.04J. DeBrusk · Missed · xG 0.03C. Coyle · On goal · xG 0.03D. Pastrnak · On goal · xG 0.03J. van Riemsdyk · Missed · xG 0.03D. Pastrnak · On goal · xG 0.03P. Zacha · Missed · xG 0.03C. McAvoy · On goal · xG 0.03J. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.02J. Boqvist · On goal · xG 0.02D. Pastrnak · On goal · xG 0.02M. Grzelcyk · On goal · xG 0.02M. Grzelcyk · On goal · xG 0.01K. Shattenkirk · Missed · xG 0.01D. Heinen · On goal · xG 0.01H. Lindholm · Missed · xG 0.01M. Grzelcyk · On goal · xG 0.01T. Frederic · Missed · xG 0.01J. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.01D. Forbort · On goal · xG 0.01J. Lauko · Missed · xG 0.01T. Frederic · Missed · xG 0.00
BOS1 G · 1.5 xG · 35 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CGYvsBOS
2.04 G
All situations
1 G1.5
1.72 G
Even strength
0 G0.9
0.32 G
Power play
1 G0.5
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 78 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CGY61%39%BOS

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.01 – 1.47

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CGYvsBOS
29
Shots on goal
22
45%
Faceoffs
55%
2/4
Power play
1/4
25
Penalty minutes
24
32
Hits
31
17
Blocked shots
18
7
Giveaways
11
10
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
Calgary Flames skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
55N. HanifinD101+130.10000—25:46
4R. AnderssonD000020.06400—23:01
52M. WeegarD000010.02244—21:48
8C. TanevD000+210.00170—20:51
20B. ColemanL000010.02200—18:57
11M. BacklundC000030.234004018:56
10J. HuberdeauL123+130.3610010016:59
17Y. SharangovichC000020.121004316:39
91N. KadriC033+250.411005616:34
96A. KuzmenkoL101020.18000—15:07
58O. KylingtonD000+100.00010—14:33
88A. MangiapaneL000010.27200—14:17
47C. ZaryC101+110.04130013:57
22J. PelletierL000020.07010—13:06
21K. RooneyC000010.131005012:34
94B. PachalD000000.00706—12:03
71W. DuehrR000010.01210—09:54
76M. PospisilC000+100.003015004:32
Calgary Flames goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
25J. Markstrom(W)22211.9551.49+0.4960:00

Season series

CGY leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).