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New York Rangers at San Jose Sharks

Final/OTTV NBCSCA, MSG·SAP Center at San Jose

Recap

written from the game data

The San Jose Sharks beat the New York Rangers 3-2 in overtime, Tomas Hertl scoring at 1:29. The Sharks came back from two goals down. The Rangers led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Tomas Hertl's goal at 1:29 of overtime, which took the Sharks' chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals were close — NYR 2.2, SJS 2.2; shots on goal were NYR 31, SJS 22. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Sharks win a replay of these chances 51% of the time. Igor Shesterkin stopped 19 of 22 (.864), 0.8 goals below expected; Mackenzie Blackwood stopped 29 of 31 (.935). Three stars: 1. Tomas Hertl (1 G), 2. Ryan Carpenter (1 G), 3. Henry Thrun.

Three stars

  1. ★
    SJS
    T. Hertl1 G
  2. ★★
    SJS
    R. Carpenter1 G
  3. ★★★
    SJS
    H. Thrun

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
NYRNYR1711201002231
SJSSJS09062611322

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. NYR
    wristxG 0.17win prob +13 ptsVideo
    1-0
    7:55

2nd period

  1. NYR
    A. Fox (27), K. Miller (11)
    wristxG 0.02win prob +17 ptsVideo
    2-0
    1:38

3rd period

  1. SJS
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.02win prob +17 ptsVideo
    2-1
    2:19
  2. SJS
    tip-inxG 0.05win prob +27 ptsVideo
    2-2
    4:27

Overtime

  1. SJS
    wristxG 0.07win prob +49 ptsVideo
    2-3
    1:29

Penalties

NYR 6 PIM·SJS 6 PIM

1st

  • 18:37NYRVincent Trocheck · Kneeingdrawn by Kyle Burroughs2 min

2nd

  • 3:36NYRJacob Trouba · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 6:36SJSNikita Okhotiuk · Hookingdrawn by Kaapo Kakko2 min
  • 11:38NYRArtemi Panarin · Trippingdrawn by Tomas Hertl2 min
  • 13:57SJSJan Rutta · Holdingdrawn by Vincent Trocheck2 min

3rd

  • 14:06SJSCalen Addison · Cross checkingdrawn by Jimmy Vesey2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
SJS goalNYR goalFinal: SJS 100%

Biggest swing: Tomas Hertl, OT 1:29 — SJS 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
K. Burroughs · Missed · xG 0.40A. Duclair · Missed · xG 0.23L. Kunin · Missed · xG 0.21L. Kunin · On goal · xG 0.11L. Couture · Missed · xG 0.11T. Hertl · On goal · xG 0.08L. Couture · On goal · xG 0.08A. Barabanov · On goal · xG 0.08J. Bailey · On goal · xG 0.07T. Hertl · Goal · xG 0.06F. Zetterlund · On goal · xG 0.06F. Zetterlund · Missed · xG 0.06L. Couture · Missed · xG 0.06F. Zetterlund · Missed · xG 0.05R. Carpenter · Goal · xG 0.05A. Barabanov · Missed · xG 0.05L. Couture · Missed · xG 0.05T. Hertl · On goal · xG 0.04R. Carpenter · Missed · xG 0.04T. Hertl · Missed · xG 0.04M. Vlasic · Missed · xG 0.03A. Barabanov · On goal · xG 0.03K. Burroughs · On goal · xG 0.02T. Hertl · Missed · xG 0.02N. Sturm · Goal · xG 0.02F. Zetterlund · Missed · xG 0.02F. Zadina · On goal · xG 0.02N. Okhotiuk · On goal · xG 0.02M. Hoffman · On goal · xG 0.02F. Zetterlund · On goal · xG 0.02N. Okhotiuk · Missed · xG 0.01K. Burroughs · On goal · xG 0.01J. Bailey · Missed · xG 0.01C. Addison · On goal · xG 0.01J. Bailey · On goal · xG 0.01J. Bailey · Missed · xG 0.01J. Rutta · On goal · xG 0.01M. Vlasic · On goal · xG 0.00A. Duclair · On goal · xG 0.00
SJS3 G · 2.2 xG · 39 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NYRvsSJS
2.22 G
All situations
3 G2.2
1.82 G
Even strength
3 G1.9
0.30 G
Power play
0 G0.4
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 84 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NYR49%51%SJS

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.21 – 2.23

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NYRvsSJS
31
Shots on goal
22
60%
Faceoffs
40%
0/3
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
6
20
Hits
12
15
Blocked shots
16
8
Giveaways
6
12
Takeaways
5

Box score

every player line
New York Rangers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
23A. FoxD112+230.26020—23:51
55R. LindgrenD000+120.07110—22:43
16V. TrocheckC011+120.182125922:15
79K. MillerD011-130.15410—21:04
93M. ZibanejadC000-120.331105920:23
10A. PanarinL101+240.25002—20:02
8J. TroubaD000-110.07112—20:02
20C. KreiderL000020.0840010019:24
13A. LafrenièreL011+110.35000—17:38
56E. GustafssonD000-130.06120—14:24
4B. SchneiderD000-100.00230—13:37
24K. KakkoR000000.00000—13:36
12N. BoninoC000-220.060105713:01
17B. WheelerR000000.00000—11:49
22J. BrodzinskiC000020.211107111:43
21B. GoodrowC000-110.020105011:34
26J. VeseyL000-220.06000—11:29
50W. CuylleL000010.06300—09:52
New York Rangers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31I. Shesterkin(O)22193.8642.24-0.7661:29

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).