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Golden Knights at Devils
NHL

Vegas Golden Knights at New Jersey Devils

NHL scoreboard
Vegas Golden Knights
5
New Jersey Devils
▸6
Final/OTTV NHLN, MSGSN·Prudential Center

Recap

written from the game data

The New Jersey Devils beat the Vegas Golden Knights 6-5 in overtime, Tyler Toffoli scoring at 2:35. The Devils came back from two goals down. The Golden Knights led 5-4 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Tyler Toffoli's goal at 2:35 of overtime, which took the Devils' chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals were close — VGK 3.1, NJD 3.2; shots on goal were VGK 32, NJD 38. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Devils win a replay of these chances 51% of the time. Logan Thompson stopped 32 of 38 (.842), 2.8 goals below expected; Vitek Vanecek stopped 27 of 32 (.844), 1.9 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Tyler Toffoli (3 G), 2. Curtis Lazar (2 G), 3. Jonathan Marchessault (2 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NJD
    T. Toffoli3 G
  2. ★★
    NJD
    C. Lazar2 G
  3. ★★★
    VGK
    J. Marchessault2 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
VGKVGK1144110601532
NJDNJD2152811213638

Scoring

11 goals

1st period

  1. VGK
    P. Dorofeyev(7)
    C. Stephenson (18), M. Stone (33)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-0
    6:12
  2. NJD
    N. Hischier(13)
    T. Meier (9), J. Bratt (31)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-1
    15:21
  3. NJD
    C. Lazar(5)
    E. Haula (13), N. Bastian (6)
    snapxG 0.22win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-2
    19:38

2nd period

  1. NJD
    T. Toffoli(18)
    S. Nemec (9), K. Bahl (7)
    snapxG 0.06win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-3
    1:37
  2. VGK
    J. Marchessault(21)
    N. Roy (12), K. Korczak (8)
    tip-inxG 0.24win prob +15 ptsVideo
    2-3
    7:39
  3. VGK
    J. Marchessault(22)
    I. Barbashev (13), N. Roy (13)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +18 ptsVideo
    3-3
    10:00
  4. VGK
    C. Stephenson(8)
    M. Stone (34), A. Martinez (5)
    tip-inxG 0.15win prob +16 ptsVideo
    4-3
    10:48
  5. VGK
    N. Roy(8)
    J. Marchessault (14)
    wristxG 0.18win prob +18 ptsVideo
    5-3
    19:08
  6. NJD
    T. Toffoli(19)
    D. Mercer (10)
    wristxG 0.13win prob +17 ptsVideo
    5-4
    19:44

3rd period

  1. NJD
    C. Lazar(6)
    S. Nemec (10), N. Bastian (7)
    snapxG 0.16win prob +31 ptsVideo
    5-5
    9:14

Overtime

  1. NJD
    T. Toffoli(20)
    L. Hughes (17)
    wristxG 0.12win prob +49 ptsVideo
    5-6
    2:35

Penalties

VGK 6 PIM·NJD 2 PIM

1st

  • 12:12VGKZach Whitecloud · Trippingdrawn by Cal Foote2 min

2nd

  • 10:14NJDKevin Bahl · Roughingdrawn by Brett Howden2 min
  • 10:14VGKBrett Howden · Chargingdrawn by Simon Nemec2 min

3rd

  • 3:57VGKPavel Dorofeyev · Trippingdrawn by Erik Haula2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NJD goalVGK goalFinal: NJD 100%

Biggest swing: Tyler Toffoli, OT 2:35 — NJD 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. Lazar · Goal · xG 0.22T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.20T. Meier · Missed · xG 0.19J. Bratt · On goal · xG 0.17C. Lazar · Goal · xG 0.16J. Bratt · On goal · xG 0.14T. Toffoli · Goal · xG 0.13T. Toffoli · Goal · xG 0.12D. Mercer · On goal · xG 0.11E. Haula · On goal · xG 0.10J. Bratt · On goal · xG 0.10T. Meier · Missed · xG 0.10A. Holtz · Missed · xG 0.09D. Mercer · On goal · xG 0.09N. Hischier · Goal · xG 0.08M. McLeod · On goal · xG 0.08J. Bratt · Missed · xG 0.08C. Tierney · On goal · xG 0.07T. Toffoli · Goal · xG 0.06J. Bratt · Missed · xG 0.06J. Bratt · Missed · xG 0.06J. Bratt · On goal · xG 0.06N. Bastian · On goal · xG 0.06T. Toffoli · Missed · xG 0.06J. Bratt · On goal · xG 0.05T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.05J. Bratt · On goal · xG 0.05S. Nemec · On goal · xG 0.04K. Bahl · Missed · xG 0.04T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.04N. Hischier · On goal · xG 0.04T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.03S. Hatakka · Missed · xG 0.03A. Holtz · On goal · xG 0.02T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.02T. Toffoli · On goal · xG 0.02J. Bratt · Missed · xG 0.02T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.02T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.02J. Bratt · On goal · xG 0.02J. Bratt · On goal · xG 0.01J. Bratt · Missed · xG 0.01T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.01K. Bahl · Missed · xG 0.01J. Bratt · On goal · xG 0.01S. Hatakka · Missed · xG 0.01J. Marino · On goal · xG 0.01M. Willman · On goal · xG 0.01T. Meier · Missed · xG 0.01S. Hatakka · Missed · xG 0.01J. Bratt · On goal · xG 0.01K. Bahl · On goal · xG 0.00A. Holtz · On goal · xG 0.00
NJD6 G · 3.2 xG · 53 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

VGKvsNJD
3.15 G
All situations
6 G3.2
3.05 G
Even strength
6 G2.7
0.00 G
Power play
0 G0.5
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 95 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
VGK49%51%NJD

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.07 – 3.15

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

VGKvsNJD
32
Shots on goal
38
54%
Faceoffs
46%
0/0
Power play
0/2
6
Penalty minutes
2
16
Hits
16
17
Blocked shots
11
4
Giveaways
8
5
Takeaways
4

Box score

every player line
Vegas Golden Knights skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
7A. PietrangeloD000+110.00040—24:03
23A. MartinezD011+210.02030—23:03
3B. McNabbD000+100.01120—20:14
14N. HagueD000-200.02030—19:45
61M. StoneR022+130.45000—18:53
20C. StephensonC112+150.640104018:52
49I. BarbashevL011+110.1030010018:37
2Z. WhitecloudD000-310.03302—18:11
10N. RoyC123+230.520009117:59
81J. MarchessaultR213+160.60400—17:50
6K. KorczakD011020.02120—17:40
46J. RondbjergR000010.00000—13:54
21B. HowdenC000-520.180024513:41
51B. FroeseC000010.080106013:13
16P. DorofeyevR101+120.14012—12:30
43P. CotterL000-300.00300—11:43
55K. KolesarR000020.131005011:21
19B. BrissonC000-210.16000010:16
Vegas Golden Knights goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
36L. Thompson(O)38326.8423.19-2.8162:35

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).