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Islanders at Blackhawks
NHL

New York Islanders at Chicago Blackhawks

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New York Islanders
3
Chicago Blackhawks
▸4
Final/OTTV NBCSCH, MSGSN·United Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Chicago Blackhawks beat the New York Islanders 4-3 in overtime, Seth Jones scoring at 0:22. The lead changed hands 2 times. The Blackhawks led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Seth Jones's goal at 0:22 of overtime, which took the Blackhawks' chances from 51% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Islanders, 3.1 to 2.0; shots on goal were NYI 30, CHI 24. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Islanders win a replay of these chances 70% of the time. Ilya Sorokin stopped 20 of 24 (.833), 2.0 goals below expected; Petr Mrazek stopped 27 of 30 (.900). Three stars: 1. Seth Jones (1 G, 1 A), 2. Jason Dickinson (1 G, 2 A), 3. Joey Anderson (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CHI
    S. Jones1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    CHI
    J. Dickinson1 G, 2 A
  3. ★★★
    CHI
    J. Anderson1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
NYINYI1801021200330
CHICHI012281311424

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. NYI
    B. Nelson(20)
    H. Fasching (5), K. Palmieri (14)
    snapxG 0.16win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-0
    6:09

2nd period

  1. CHI
    B. Katchouk(5)
    Z. Sanford (5), R. Johnson (1)
    wristxG 0.03win prob +23 ptsVideo
    1-1
    18:07
  2. CHI
    J. Anderson(1)
    C. Blackwell (3), J. Dickinson (8)
    snapxG 0.18win prob +23 ptsVideo
    1-2
    19:14

3rd period

  1. CHI
    J. Dickinson(15)
    J. Anderson (6), S. Jones (12)
    snapxG 0.21win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-3
    5:10
  2. NYI
    B. Horvat(18)
    M. Barzal (34), N. Dobson (38)
    wristxG 0.12win prob +14 ptsVideo
    2-3
    6:38
  3. NYI
    K. Palmieri(11)
    N. Dobson (39), A. Romanov (7)
    wrap-aroundxG 0.04win prob +34 ptsVideo
    3-3
    12:50

Overtime

  1. CHI
    S. Jones(1)
    B. Katchouk (4), J. Dickinson (9)
    wristxG 0.04win prob +49 ptsVideo
    3-4
    0:22

Penalties

NYI 6 PIM·CHI 6 PIM

1st

  • 6:23NYIJulien Gauthier · Hookingdrawn by MacKenzie Entwistle2 min
  • 7:33CHIZachary Sanford · Slashingdrawn by Simon Holmstrom2 min
  • 12:56CHIColin Blackwell · Roughingdrawn by Mathew Barzal2 min
  • 12:56CHIColin Blackwell · Roughingdrawn by Mathew Barzal2 min
  • 12:56NYIMathew Barzal · Roughingdrawn by Colin Blackwell2 min

3rd

  • 0:51NYIserved by J. Gauthier · Too many men on the ice2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CHI goalNYI goalFinal: CHI 100%

Biggest swing: Seth Jones, OT 0:22 — CHI 51% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Entwistle · Missed · xG 0.26J. Dickinson · Goal · xG 0.22J. Anderson · Goal · xG 0.18B. Katchouk · Missed · xG 0.16C. Guttman · On goal · xG 0.14Z. Sanford · On goal · xG 0.12J. Tinordi · On goal · xG 0.11R. Pitlick · On goal · xG 0.10C. Blackwell · Missed · xG 0.10C. Guttman · On goal · xG 0.09Z. Sanford · Missed · xG 0.05B. Katchouk · Missed · xG 0.04C. Guttman · On goal · xG 0.04S. Jones · Goal · xG 0.04B. Katchouk · Goal · xG 0.03R. Johnson · Missed · xG 0.03Z. Sanford · Missed · xG 0.03R. Pitlick · On goal · xG 0.03C. Blackwell · On goal · xG 0.03M. Entwistle · On goal · xG 0.02B. Katchouk · On goal · xG 0.02R. Pitlick · Missed · xG 0.02A. Vlasic · Missed · xG 0.02C. Blackwell · On goal · xG 0.02S. Jones · On goal · xG 0.01R. Johnson · On goal · xG 0.01C. Blackwell · On goal · xG 0.01K. Korchinski · On goal · xG 0.01C. Blackwell · On goal · xG 0.01J. Anderson · Missed · xG 0.01P. Kurashev · On goal · xG 0.01J. Tinordi · On goal · xG 0.00J. Tinordi · On goal · xG 0.00C. Blackwell · On goal · xG 0.00
CHI4 G · 2.0 xG · 34 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NYIvsCHI
3.13 G
All situations
4 G2.0
2.93 G
Even strength
4 G1.8
0.20 G
Power play
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 81 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NYI70%30%CHI

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.05 – 1.94

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NYIvsCHI
30
Shots on goal
24
54%
Faceoffs
46%
0/2
Power play
0/2
6
Penalty minutes
6
31
Hits
24
18
Blocked shots
24
5
Giveaways
5
4
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
New York Islanders skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8N. DobsonD022000.02240—26:19
14B. HorvatC101-250.521006321:41
3A. PelechD000-120.01110—21:18
28A. RomanovD011-130.11110—21:00
21K. PalmieriC112+150.4520010018:54
25S. AhoD000000.03010—18:21
13M. BarzalC011-130.39012018:01
29B. NelsonC101+150.820005417:42
27A. LeeL000-100.00530—16:39
24S. MayfieldD000010.07120—16:13
20H. FaschingR011+100.00010—15:32
44J. PageauC000-100.174105014:50
4S. BolducD000+110.01000—14:25
10S. HolmstromR000030.260103313:04
15C. ClutterbuckR000010.08510—11:37
17M. MartinL000000.00300—10:49
16J. GauthierR000010.14502—10:30
32K. MacLeanC000000.011104010:21
New York Islanders goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
30I. Sorokin(O)24204.8331.95-2.0560:22

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).