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Edmonton Oilers at Montréal Canadiens

Final/OTTV CBC, SN1·Centre Bell

Recap

written from the game data

The Edmonton Oilers beat the Montréal Canadiens 2-1 in overtime, Evan Bouchard scoring at 2:01. The Canadiens scored first; the Oilers answered. The Canadiens led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Evan Bouchard's goal at 2:01 of overtime, which took the Oilers' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Oilers, 4.5 to 2.0; shots on goal were EDM 41, MTL 24. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Oilers win a replay of these chances 86% of the time. Stuart Skinner stopped 23 of 24 (.958), 1.0 goals saved above expected; Samuel Montembeault stopped 39 of 41 (.951), 2.5 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Samuel Montembeault (39 saves, .951), 2. Mike Matheson (1 A), 3. Evan Bouchard (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MTL
    S. Montembeault39 saves, .951
  2. ★★
    MTL
    M. Matheson1 A
  3. ★★★
    EDM
    E. Bouchard1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
EDMEDM0901211911241
MTLMTL16090801124

Scoring

3 goals

1st period

  1. MTL
    wristxG 0.09win prob +8 ptsVideo
    0-1
    1:43

3rd period

  1. EDM
    W. Foegele (14), E. Kane (11)
    snapxG 0.62win prob +23 ptsVideo
    1-1
    0:38

Overtime

  1. EDM
    slapxG 0.07win prob +51 ptsVideo
    2-1
    2:01

Penalties

EDM 8 PIM·MTL 10 PIM

1st

  • 0:46EDMRyan Nugent-Hopkins · Trippingdrawn by Cole Caufield2 min
  • 9:16EDMMattias Janmark · Hookingdrawn by Mitchell Stephens2 min

2nd

  • 12:04MTLBrendan Gallagher · Hookingdrawn by Leon Draisaitl2 min

3rd

  • 0:38MTLserved by B. Gallagher · Delaying game unsuccessful challenge2 min
  • 2:01EDMConnor McDavid · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Samuel Montembeault2 min
  • 4:59MTLJake Evans · Interferencedrawn by Connor McDavid2 min
  • 9:12EDMWarren Foegele · Trippingdrawn by Joel Armia2 min
  • 18:11MTLBrendan Gallagher · Hookingdrawn by Cody Ceci2 min

OT

  • 1:27MTLMike Matheson · High stickingdrawn by Darnell Nurse2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MTL goalEDM goalFinal: MTL 0%

Biggest swing: Evan Bouchard, OT 2:01 — EDM 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
R. Harvey-Pinard · Missed · xG 0.17C. Caufield · On goal · xG 0.16J. Evans · Missed · xG 0.15C. Caufield · On goal · xG 0.12M. Matheson · On goal · xG 0.12S. Monahan · Missed · xG 0.11S. Monahan · On goal · xG 0.11C. Caufield · On goal · xG 0.09C. Caufield · Goal · xG 0.09S. Monahan · On goal · xG 0.09B. Gallagher · On goal · xG 0.08C. Caufield · On goal · xG 0.08N. Suzuki · Missed · xG 0.07M. Matheson · On goal · xG 0.07C. Caufield · On goal · xG 0.06C. Caufield · On goal · xG 0.05S. Monahan · Missed · xG 0.05M. Matheson · On goal · xG 0.04J. Evans · On goal · xG 0.04B. Gallagher · On goal · xG 0.03S. Monahan · Missed · xG 0.03N. Suzuki · On goal · xG 0.03J. Roy · Missed · xG 0.03J. Ylonen · On goal · xG 0.02B. Gallagher · On goal · xG 0.02D. Savard · Missed · xG 0.01R. Harvey-Pinard · On goal · xG 0.01N. Suzuki · On goal · xG 0.01N. Suzuki · Missed · xG 0.01D. Savard · On goal · xG 0.01M. Matheson · Missed · xG 0.01K. Guhle · On goal · xG 0.01M. Matheson · On goal · xG 0.00S. Monahan · On goal · xG 0.00
MTL1 G · 2.0 xG · 34 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

EDMvsMTL
4.52 G
All situations
1 G2.0
3.21 G
Even strength
0 G1.2
1.21 G
Power play
1 G0.7
0.20 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 94 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
EDM86%14%MTL

Flurry-adjusted xG 4.45 – 1.97

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

EDMvsMTL
41
Shots on goal
24
47%
Faceoffs
53%
1/5
Power play
1/4
8
Penalty minutes
10
12
Hits
17
10
Blocked shots
24
15
Giveaways
9
6
Takeaways
3

Box score

every player line
Edmonton Oilers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
2E. BouchardD101060.27130—27:01
97C. McDavidC011010.301023826:10
93R. Nugent-HopkinsC000081.230024025:42
18Z. HymanL000040.41000—24:17
29L. DraisaitlC112+151.040004823:54
25D. NurseD000+130.21330—22:07
14M. EkholmD000010.02000—21:37
5C. CeciD000+100.02010—20:04
91E. KaneL011+140.450006716:32
37W. FoegeleL011+130.24302—15:40
73V. DesharnaisD000010.05100—13:22
28C. BrownR000040.2200010012:18
27B. KulakD000000.00010—11:52
10D. RyanC000000.000003311:36
13M. JanmarkC000000.05202011:17
57J. HamblinL000010.010205007:52
21A. ErneL000000.0010010007:18
76P. KempD000000.00000—02:03
Edmonton Oilers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
74S. Skinner(W)24231.9581.98+0.9861:32

Season series

EDM leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).