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Philadelphia Flyers at Minnesota Wild

Final/OTTV BSNX, NBCSP+·Xcel Energy Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Philadelphia Flyers beat the Minnesota Wild 4-3 in overtime, Joel Farabee scoring at 3:36. The Flyers came back from two goals down. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Joel Farabee's goal at 3:36 of overtime, which took the Flyers' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Flyers, 2.3 to 2.0; shots on goal were PHI 35, MIN 29. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flyers win a replay of these chances 56% of the time. Carter Hart stopped 26 of 29 (.897), 1.0 goals below expected; Marc-Andre Fleury stopped 31 of 35 (.886), 1.7 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Joel Farabee (2 G), 2. Ryan Hartman (1 G, 1 A), 3. Travis Konecny (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    PHI
    J. Farabee2 G
  2. ★★
    MIN
    R. Hartman1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    PHI
    T. Konecny2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdOTT
PHIPHI0101122914435
MINMIN0111721100329

Scoring

7 goals

2nd period

  1. MIN
    wristxG 0.05win prob +15 ptsVideo
    0-1
    0:51
  2. PHI
    tip-inxG 0.12win prob +16 ptsVideo
    1-1
    3:37

3rd period

  1. MIN
    slapxG 0.03win prob +24 ptsVideo
    1-2
    1:48
  2. MIN
    slapxG 0.11win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-3
    4:38
  3. PHI
    snapxG 0.09win prob +13 ptsVideo
    2-3
    9:31
  4. PHI
    wristxG 0.05win prob +31 ptsVideo
    3-3
    10:56

Overtime

  1. PHI
    J. Farabee(14)PPG
    wristxG 0.17win prob +51 ptsVideo
    4-3
    3:36

Penalties

PHI 9 PIM·MIN 11 PIM

1st

  • 5:51PHIEgor Zamula · Trippingdrawn by Patrick Maroon2 min
  • 14:17MINPatrick Maroon · Fightingdrawn by Nicolas Deslauriers5 min
  • 14:17PHINicolas Deslauriers · Fightingdrawn by Patrick Maroon5 min

2nd

  • 9:12MINRyan Hartman · Hookingdrawn by Cam Atkinson2 min
  • 15:16PHIJamie Drysdale · Hookingdrawn by Adam Raska2 min
  • 16:40MINserved by M. Zuccarello · Too many men on the ice2 min

OT

  • 1:37MINMats Zuccarello · Trippingdrawn by Cam Atkinson2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MIN goalPHI goalFinal: MIN 0%

Biggest swing: Joel Farabee, OT 3:36 — PHI 49% → 100%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Zuccarello · On goal · xG 0.17R. Hartman · On goal · xG 0.17M. Rossi · Missed · xG 0.14M. Rossi · On goal · xG 0.13M. Foligno · On goal · xG 0.12M. Boldy · Goal · xG 0.11M. Rossi · On goal · xG 0.10M. Boldy · On goal · xG 0.09M. Rossi · On goal · xG 0.07M. Foligno · Missed · xG 0.07M. Boldy · Missed · xG 0.07R. Hartman · Missed · xG 0.07M. Boldy · Missed · xG 0.06Z. Bogosian · Missed · xG 0.05M. Johansson · Goal · xG 0.05R. Hartman · On goal · xG 0.05M. Zuccarello · Missed · xG 0.05A. Goligoski · On goal · xG 0.05Z. Bogosian · On goal · xG 0.04M. Boldy · Missed · xG 0.04R. Hartman · Missed · xG 0.03R. Hartman · Goal · xG 0.03Z. Bogosian · On goal · xG 0.03B. Faber · On goal · xG 0.03J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.02J. Middleton · On goal · xG 0.02M. Rossi · Missed · xG 0.02J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.02C. Dewar · On goal · xG 0.01F. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.01B. Faber · On goal · xG 0.01Z. Bogosian · On goal · xG 0.01P. Maroon · On goal · xG 0.01F. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.01M. Boldy · Missed · xG 0.01D. Mermis · On goal · xG 0.01A. Goligoski · On goal · xG 0.01J. Eriksson Ek · On goal · xG 0.00R. Hartman · On goal · xG 0.00R. Hartman · On goal · xG 0.00
MIN3 G · 2.0 xG · 40 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

PHIvsMIN
2.34 G
All situations
3 G2.0
1.73 G
Even strength
3 G1.5
0.61 G
Power play
0 G0.5

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 93 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
PHI56%44%MIN

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.28 – 1.96

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

PHIvsMIN
35
Shots on goal
29
52%
Faceoffs
48%
1/3
Power play
0/2
9
Penalty minutes
11
28
Hits
27
17
Blocked shots
13
3
Giveaways
3
3
Takeaways
13

Box score

every player line
Philadelphia Flyers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
11T. KonecnyR022+130.3131010024:30
6T. SanheimD000+120.12000—22:47
14S. CouturierC011+110.310006122:39
9J. DrysdaleD011+110.03222—22:09
89C. AtkinsonR000040.13310—20:00
74O. TippettR112+130.2030010019:21
86J. FarabeeL202030.59020—18:53
8C. YorkD000010.01210—18:29
71T. FoersterR101-130.17300—18:14
26S. WalkerD011-130.04220—17:00
21S. LaughtonC011-100.060105716:31
48M. FrostC000010.050004115:59
19G. HathawayR000-130.13420—15:17
5E. ZamulaD011000.00102—15:07
55R. RistolainenD000030.04010—14:26
24N. SeelerD000-130.04130—13:14
25R. PoehlingC000000.000102509:15
44N. DeslauriersL000010.04405—04:56
Philadelphia Flyers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
79C. Hart(W)29263.8971.97-1.0363:36

Season series

PHI leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).