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New York Rangers at St. Louis Blues

FinalTV BSMW, MSG 2·Enterprise Center

Recap

written from the game data

The St. Louis Blues beat the New York Rangers 5-2. The Rangers scored first; the Blues answered. The Blues led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jordan Kyrou's goal at 4:02 of the first period, which took the Blues' chances from 42% to 54%. Expected goals favored the Rangers, 4.6 to 3.0; shots on goal were NYR 43, STL 20. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Rangers win a replay of these chances 86% of the time. Igor Shesterkin stopped 15 of 19 (.789), 2.0 goals below expected; Jordan Binnington stopped 41 of 43 (.953), 2.6 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Jordan Kyrou (3 G), 2. Jordan Binnington (41 saves, .953), 3. Pavel Buchnevich (1 G, 2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    STL
    J. Kyrou3 G
  2. ★★
    STL
    J. Binnington41 saves, .953
  3. ★★★
    STL
    P. Buchnevich1 G, 2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
NYRNYR114014115243
STLSTL281725520

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. NYR
    wristxG 0.36win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-0
    1:51
  2. STL
    snapxG 0.08win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-1
    4:02
  3. STL
    J. Kyrou(11)PPG
    tip-inxG 0.26win prob +10 ptsVideo
    1-2
    7:30

2nd period

  1. STL
    B. Saad(10)PPG
    B. Schenn (9), T. Krug (18)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-3
    9:26

3rd period

  1. STL
    wristxG 0.17win prob +4 ptsVideo
    1-4
    7:01
  2. NYR
    snapxG 0.10win prob +2 ptsVideo
    2-4
    10:58
  3. STL
    wristxG 0.51Video
    2-5
    19:42

Penalties

NYR 8 PIM·STL 6 PIM

1st

  • 6:30NYRNick Bonino · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

2nd

  • 4:10NYRJonny Brodzinski · Holdingdrawn by Nathan Walker2 min
  • 6:32NYRBarclay Goodrow · Interferencedrawn by Torey Krug2 min
  • 9:13NYRVincent Trocheck · Hookingdrawn by Kasperi Kapanen2 min
  • 12:52STLTorey Krug · Slashingdrawn by Chris Kreider2 min

3rd

  • 3:55STLBrayden Schenn · High stickingdrawn by K'Andre Miller2 min
  • 9:40STLRobert Thomas · Slashingdrawn by Will Cuylle2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
STL goalNYR goalFinal: STL 100%

Biggest swing: Jordan Kyrou, 1st 4:02 — STL 42% → 54%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
P. Buchnevich · Missed · xG 0.54P. Buchnevich · Goal · xG 0.51J. Kyrou · Goal · xG 0.26J. Kyrou · On goal · xG 0.20J. Kyrou · Goal · xG 0.17J. Kyrou · On goal · xG 0.17P. Buchnevich · On goal · xG 0.15P. Buchnevich · Missed · xG 0.15T. Krug · On goal · xG 0.11B. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.10K. Kapanen · On goal · xG 0.09B. Saad · Goal · xG 0.09J. Kyrou · Goal · xG 0.08B. Schenn · Missed · xG 0.07J. Kyrou · On goal · xG 0.06R. Thomas · On goal · xG 0.05M. Kessel · Missed · xG 0.04J. Kyrou · On goal · xG 0.04J. Kyrou · On goal · xG 0.03R. Thomas · On goal · xG 0.03S. Blais · Missed · xG 0.03M. Kessel · On goal · xG 0.03T. Krug · Missed · xG 0.02C. Parayko · On goal · xG 0.01M. Kessel · On goal · xG 0.00N. Leddy · On goal · xG 0.00
STL5 G · 3.0 xG · 26 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

NYRvsSTL
4.62 G
All situations
4 G3.0
2.31 G
Even strength
2 G1.4
2.21 G
Power play
2 G0.6
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 90 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
NYR86%14%STL

Flurry-adjusted xG 4.50 – 1.97

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

NYRvsSTL
43
Shots on goal
20
54%
Faceoffs
46%
1/3
Power play
2/4
8
Penalty minutes
6
20
Hits
17
12
Blocked shots
23
4
Giveaways
5
9
Takeaways
16

Box score

every player line
New York Rangers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
23A. FoxD101-130.48110—25:29
20C. KreiderL011051.30100—24:11
16V. TrocheckC101-230.582025823:16
13A. LafrenièreL000-370.69000—22:39
10A. PanarinL011-260.64000—22:35
79K. MillerD000010.05320—20:24
26J. VeseyL000050.32200—18:12
8J. TroubaD000-120.04210—17:55
55R. LindgrenD011000.00110—16:29
21B. GoodrowC011+140.091023615:34
22J. BrodzinskiC000000.041026715:26
56E. GustafssonD000020.03010—15:18
17B. WheelerR000-100.120105014:25
50W. CuylleL000+140.24510—13:41
4B. SchneiderD000000.00010—11:40
12N. BoninoC000-100.000225008:02
15J. LeschyshynC000-100.00010006:28
6Z. JonesD000-110.01100—05:34
New York Rangers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31I. Shesterkin(L)19154.7891.99-2.0157:29

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).