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St. Louis Blues at New York Rangers

FinalTV BSMW, MSG·Madison Square Garden

Recap

written from the game data

The New York Rangers beat the St. Louis Blues 4-0. The Rangers scored first and never trailed. The Rangers led 2-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Jimmy Vesey's goal at 19:37 of the first period, which took the Rangers' chances from 68% to 83%. Expected goals favored the Rangers, 4.0 to 1.6; shots on goal were STL 26, NYR 39. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Rangers win a replay of these chances 85% of the time. Jordan Binnington stopped 35 of 39 (.897); Igor Shesterkin stopped 26 of 26 (1.000), 1.6 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Igor Shesterkin (26 saves, 1.000), 2. Artemi Panarin (2 A), 3. Jimmy Vesey (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NYR
    I. Shesterkin26 saves, 1.000
  2. ★★
    NYR
    A. Panarin2 A
  3. ★★★
    NYR
    J. Vesey1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
STLSTL0140606026
NYRNYR211012216439

Scoring

4 goals

1st period

  1. NYR
    A. Panarin (51), A. Fox (40)
    deflectedxG 0.07win prob +9 ptsVideo
    0-1
    5:51
  2. NYR
    wristxG 0.07win prob +15 ptsVideo
    0-2
    19:37

3rd period

  1. NYR
    C. Kreider(32)PPG
    A. Panarin (52), A. Fox (41)
    backhandxG 0.15win prob +4 ptsVideo
    0-3
    6:23
  2. NYR
    K. Kakko(8)PPG
    wristxG 0.44Video
    0-4
    11:23

Penalties

STL 12 PIM·NYR 4 PIM

1st

  • 2:00STLZachary Bolduc · Slashingdrawn by Erik Gustafsson2 min
  • 4:36STLKevin Hayes · Slashingdrawn by Matt Rempe2 min

2nd

  • 12:51NYRErik Gustafsson · High stickingdrawn by Brayden Schenn2 min
  • 13:59STLJustin Faulk · Hookingdrawn by Alexander Wennberg2 min

3rd

  • 5:01STLJustin Faulk · Holdingdrawn by Alexis Lafrenière2 min
  • 8:53NYRZac Jones · Trippingdrawn by Jake Neighbours2 min
  • 9:49STLPavel Buchnevich · Trippingdrawn by Chris Kreider2 min
  • 17:13STLColton Parayko · Holdingdrawn by Kaapo Kakko2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NYR goalSTL goalFinal: NYR 100%

Biggest swing: Jimmy Vesey, 1st 19:37 — NYR 68% → 83%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
K. Kakko · Goal · xG 0.44C. Kreider · On goal · xG 0.22A. Panarin · Missed · xG 0.18J. Roslovic · On goal · xG 0.16C. Kreider · Goal · xG 0.15K. Kakko · On goal · xG 0.13M. Rempe · Missed · xG 0.12C. Kreider · On goal · xG 0.11A. Panarin · On goal · xG 0.10A. Fox · On goal · xG 0.10C. Kreider · On goal · xG 0.09V. Trocheck · Missed · xG 0.09M. Zibanejad · Missed · xG 0.09C. Kreider · On goal · xG 0.08M. Zibanejad · Missed · xG 0.08V. Trocheck · On goal · xG 0.08V. Trocheck · Missed · xG 0.08M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.08K. Miller · On goal · xG 0.07V. Trocheck · On goal · xG 0.07A. Panarin · On goal · xG 0.07V. Trocheck · Goal · xG 0.07A. Fox · Missed · xG 0.07J. Vesey · Goal · xG 0.07M. Rempe · Missed · xG 0.07C. Kreider · Missed · xG 0.07M. Rempe · On goal · xG 0.06M. Rempe · On goal · xG 0.06V. Trocheck · Missed · xG 0.06B. Schneider · On goal · xG 0.05A. Fox · Missed · xG 0.05W. Cuylle · On goal · xG 0.05W. Cuylle · On goal · xG 0.05K. Kakko · On goal · xG 0.05A. Panarin · Missed · xG 0.05A. Panarin · Missed · xG 0.05R. Lindgren · Missed · xG 0.04J. Roslovic · Missed · xG 0.04M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.04V. Trocheck · Missed · xG 0.03B. Schneider · On goal · xG 0.03B. Schneider · On goal · xG 0.03A. Panarin · On goal · xG 0.03J. Roslovic · Missed · xG 0.03A. Fox · Missed · xG 0.03K. Miller · Missed · xG 0.02B. Schneider · On goal · xG 0.02C. Kreider · On goal · xG 0.02K. Kakko · On goal · xG 0.02A. Fox · Missed · xG 0.02W. Cuylle · On goal · xG 0.02B. Schneider · On goal · xG 0.01K. Miller · On goal · xG 0.01A. Lafrenière · On goal · xG 0.01R. Lindgren · Missed · xG 0.01W. Cuylle · On goal · xG 0.01J. Roslovic · On goal · xG 0.01K. Kakko · Missed · xG 0.01B. Goodrow · On goal · xG 0.01A. Fox · On goal · xG 0.01R. Lindgren · Missed · xG 0.01W. Cuylle · On goal · xG 0.00
NYR4 G · 4.0 xG · 62 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

STLvsNYR
1.60 G
All situations
4 G4.0
1.30 G
Even strength
1 G2.2
0.20 G
Power play
3 G1.7
0.20 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 97 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
STL15%85%NYR

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.63 – 3.91

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

STLvsNYR
26
Shots on goal
39
48%
Faceoffs
52%
0/2
Power play
3/6
12
Penalty minutes
4
32
Hits
17
16
Blocked shots
11
3
Giveaways
5
2
Takeaways
11

Box score

every player line
St. Louis Blues skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
47T. KrugD000030.02320—23:44
55C. ParaykoD000-130.27022—23:05
4N. LeddyD000010.01020—22:43
72J. FaulkD000-110.09444—21:56
18R. ThomasC000020.120006819:25
89P. BuchnevichL000040.42302—17:45
10B. SchennC000000.034003116:39
63J. NeighboursL000000.0040010016:37
25J. KyrouR000010.02010—15:27
42K. KapanenR000010.17000—14:32
20B. SaadL000030.29000—14:12
48S. PerunovichD000000.00300—13:53
6M. ScandellaD000020.03220—13:14
70O. SundqvistC000-100.000102012:44
13A. ToropchenkoR000-140.14210—11:55
76Z. BolducR000-110.02102—11:26
12K. HayesR000000.000023311:07
79S. BlaisL000000.00610—09:25
St. Louis Blues goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
50J. Binnington(L)39354.8974.01+0.0160:00

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).