Edmonton Oilers at Detroit Red Wings
Recap
written from the game dataThe Edmonton Oilers beat the Detroit Red Wings 3-2 in overtime, Darnell Nurse scoring at 1:20. The lead changed hands 2 times. It was tied 0-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Darnell Nurse's goal at 1:20 of overtime, which took the Oilers' chances from 49% to 100%. Expected goals favored the Oilers, 5.0 to 2.3; shots on goal were EDM 47, DET 18. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Oilers win a replay of these chances 85% of the time. Calvin Pickard stopped 16 of 18 (.889); Alex Lyon stopped 44 of 47 (.936), 2.0 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Darnell Nurse (1 G), 2. Alex Lyon (44 saves, .936), 3. Zach Hyman (1 G, 1 A).
Line score
goals · shots on goal beneathScoring
5 goals3rd period
0-13:34
1-19:12
2-114:00
2-216:03
Overtime
3-21:20
Penalties
1st
- 15:25
Ben Chiarot · Holdingdrawn by Mattias Janmark2 min
2nd
- 8:40
Michael Rasmussen · Roughingdrawn by Darnell Nurse2 min
- 8:40
Darnell Nurse · Roughingdrawn by Michael Rasmussen2 min
- 9:45
Evan Bouchard · Holdingdrawn by Dylan Larkin2 min
- 12:33
Brett Kulak · Slashingdrawn by Christian Fischer2 min
- 17:45
served by D. Perron · Too many men on the ice2 min
3rd
- 3:34
served by C. McDavid · Delaying game unsuccessful challenge2 min
Win probability
ours · the whole gameBiggest swing: Darnell Nurse, OT 1:20 — 49% → 100%
Shot map
unblocked attempts · size = our xGExpected goals
- 5.03 G
- All situations
- 2 G2.3
- 3.83 G
- Even strength
- 2 G1.8
- 0.80 G
- Power play
- 0 G0.5
- 0.40 G
- Shorthanded
- 0 G0.0
Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 94 unblocked attempts.
Deserve to win
on the chances createdFlurry-adjusted xG 4.71 – 2.24
How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.
Team stats
- 47
- Shots on goal
- 18
- 54%
- Faceoffs
- 46%
- 0/2
- Power play
- 0/3
- 8
- Penalty minutes
- 6
- 9
- Hits
- 8
- 24
- Blocked shots
- 19
- 4
- Giveaways
- 11
- 1
- Takeaways
- 6
Box score
every player line
Season series
EDM leads 2-0
3@
2OTthis game
4@
8Final
Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).




















