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Canadiens at Panthers
NHL

Montréal Canadiens at Florida Panthers

NHL scoreboard
Montréal Canadiens
1
Florida Panthers
▸4
FinalTV BSFL, SNE·Amerant Bank Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Florida Panthers beat the Montréal Canadiens 4-1. The Panthers scored first and never trailed. It was tied 1-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Eetu Luostarinen's goal at 7:34 of the third period, which took the Panthers' chances from 58% to 81%. Expected goals favored the Panthers, 2.8 to 1.6; shots on goal were MTL 19, FLA 26. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Panthers win a replay of these chances 63% of the time. Jake Allen stopped 22 of 25 (.880), 0.8 goals below expected; Anthony Stolarz stopped 18 of 19 (.947), 0.6 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Eetu Luostarinen (2 G), 2. Sam Bennett (1 G, 1 A), 3. Anthony Stolarz (18 saves, .947).

Three stars

  1. ★
    FLA
    E. Luostarinen2 G
  2. ★★
    FLA
    S. Bennett1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    FLA
    A. Stolarz18 saves, .947

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
MTLMTL0513011119
FLAFLA04111311426

Scoring

5 goals

2nd period

  1. FLA
    E. Luostarinen(6)PPG
    E. Rodrigues (17), S. Bennett (6)
    tip-inxG 0.12win prob +16 ptsVideo
    0-1
    4:05
  2. MTL
    C. Caufield(9)PPG
    N. Suzuki (21), M. Matheson (20)
    backhandxG 0.07win prob +16 ptsVideo
    1-1
    7:01

3rd period

  1. FLA
    E. Luostarinen(7)PPG
    A. Ekblad (5), O. Ekman-Larsson (10)
    backhandxG 0.11win prob +23 ptsVideo
    1-2
    7:34
  2. FLA
    S. Bennett(6)
    O. Ekman-Larsson (11), C. Verhaeghe (14)
    tip-inxG 0.06win prob +9 ptsVideo
    1-3
    15:26
  3. FLA
    C. Verhaeghe(18)EN
    M. Tkachuk (22), A. Ekblad (6)
    wristxG 0.55Video
    1-4
    17:13

Penalties

MTL 11 PIM·FLA 9 PIM

1st

  • 2:53MTLMichael Pezzetta · Fightingdrawn by William Lockwood5 min
  • 2:53FLAWilliam Lockwood · Fightingdrawn by Michael Pezzetta5 min
  • 7:31FLACarter Verhaeghe · High stickingdrawn by Josh Anderson2 min

2nd

  • 2:22MTLNick Suzuki · Holdingdrawn by Dmitry Kulikov2 min
  • 5:31FLAEvan Rodrigues · Holdingdrawn by Mike Matheson2 min
  • 7:52MTLserved by M. Pezzetta · Too many men on the ice2 min

3rd

  • 6:42MTLJoel Armia · Roughing removing opponents helmetdrawn by Oliver Ekman-Larsson2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
FLA goalMTL goalFinal: FLA 100%

Biggest swing: Eetu Luostarinen, 3rd 7:34 — FLA 58% → 81%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. Verhaeghe · Goal · xG 0.55S. Reinhart · On goal · xG 0.35E. Luostarinen · On goal · xG 0.18N. Cousins · On goal · xG 0.17A. Barkov · On goal · xG 0.13E. Luostarinen · Goal · xG 0.11E. Luostarinen · Goal · xG 0.11D. Kulikov · Missed · xG 0.08C. Verhaeghe · On goal · xG 0.08R. Lomberg · On goal · xG 0.08N. Cousins · On goal · xG 0.07O. Ekman-Larsson · On goal · xG 0.07E. Rodrigues · Missed · xG 0.07W. Lockwood · Missed · xG 0.06S. Bennett · Goal · xG 0.06S. Reinhart · On goal · xG 0.06A. Barkov · Missed · xG 0.05K. Stenlund · Missed · xG 0.05W. Lockwood · On goal · xG 0.04B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.04S. Bennett · Missed · xG 0.04S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.04A. Ekblad · Missed · xG 0.03M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.03C. Verhaeghe · Missed · xG 0.03R. Lomberg · On goal · xG 0.02N. Cousins · On goal · xG 0.02G. Forsling · Missed · xG 0.02K. Stenlund · On goal · xG 0.02S. Bennett · Missed · xG 0.02O. Ekman-Larsson · Missed · xG 0.02S. Reinhart · On goal · xG 0.02N. Mikkola · On goal · xG 0.02S. Bennett · Missed · xG 0.01B. Montour · On goal · xG 0.01R. Lomberg · On goal · xG 0.01N. Mikkola · On goal · xG 0.01O. Ekman-Larsson · Missed · xG 0.00R. Lomberg · On goal · xG 0.00B. Montour · Missed · xG 0.00
FLA4 G · 2.8 xG · 40 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MTLvsFLA
1.61 G
All situations
3 G2.8
1.10 G
Even strength
1 G1.8
0.51 G
Power play
2 G0.5

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 74 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MTL37%63%FLA

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.60 – 2.21

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MTLvsFLA
19
Shots on goal
26
59%
Faceoffs
41%
1/2
Power play
2/3
11
Penalty minutes
9
19
Hits
19
17
Blocked shots
13
6
Giveaways
10
9
Takeaways
20

Box score

every player line
Montréal Canadiens skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8M. MathesonD011-120.04030—22:36
58D. SavardD000020.11030—19:42
22C. CaufieldR101-130.20000—19:29
54J. HarrisD000-100.02010—19:16
14N. SuzukiC011-110.661026419:15
47J. StrubleD000-100.00110—19:13
17J. AndersonR000-120.17110—18:31
71J. EvansC000000.001204518:22
91S. MonahanC000-120.040106718:22
52J. BarronD000000.01100—17:55
20J. SlafkovskýL000-100.00210—17:50
21K. GuhleD000010.04430—17:17
28C. DvorakC000-100.022005015:59
11B. GallagherR000-130.04000—14:39
40J. ArmiaR000010.16102—14:01
13M. StephensC000000.000107508:37
56J. YlonenR000-110.03100—08:19
55M. PezzettaL000010.09405—07:07
Montréal Canadiens goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
34J. Allen(L)25223.8802.24-0.7658:56

Season series

FLA leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).