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Panthers at Canadiens
NHL

Florida Panthers at Montréal Canadiens

NHL scoreboard
Florida Panthers
3
Montréal Canadiens
▸5
FinalTV BSFL, TSN2·Centre Bell

Recap

written from the game data

The Montréal Canadiens beat the Florida Panthers 5-3. The Panthers scored first; the Canadiens answered. The Canadiens led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Nick Suzuki's goal at 12:24 of the second period, which took the Canadiens' chances from 55% to 72%. Expected goals favored the Canadiens, 4.4 to 3.8; shots on goal were FLA 40, MTL 38. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Canadiens win a replay of these chances 58% of the time. Anthony Stolarz stopped 33 of 38 (.868), 0.6 goals below expected; Samuel Montembeault stopped 37 of 40 (.925), 0.8 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Nick Suzuki (2 G), 2. Jake Evans (1 G), 3. Juraj Slafkovský (1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MTL
    N. Suzuki2 G
  2. ★★
    MTL
    J. Evans1 G
  3. ★★★
    MTL
    J. Slafkovský1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
FLAFLA21207121340
MTLMTL114212212538

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. FLA
    A. Lundell(10)
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.19win prob +13 ptsVideo
    1-0
    9:16
  2. MTL
    J. Armia(14)
    M. Pezzetta (9), A. Newhook (14)
    snapxG 0.10win prob +13 ptsVideo
    1-1
    10:12
  3. FLA
    A. Barkov(22)
    V. Tarasenko (29)
    backhandxG 0.16win prob +14 ptsVideo
    2-1
    13:13

2nd period

  1. MTL
    N. Suzuki(31)
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.32win prob +17 ptsVideo
    2-2
    5:58
  2. MTL
    N. Suzuki(32)PPG
    M. Matheson (42), A. Newhook (15)
    tip-inxG 0.10win prob +17 ptsVideo
    2-3
    12:24

3rd period

  1. MTL
    C. Caufield(21)
    J. Slafkovský (27), K. Guhle (16)
    wrap-aroundxG 0.22win prob +16 ptsVideo
    2-4
    0:33
  2. MTL
    J. Evans(7)SHG
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.10win prob +8 ptsVideo
    2-5
    4:34
  3. FLA
    S. Bennett(18)
    D. Kulikov (19), A. Lundell (21)
    snapxG 0.10Video
    3-5
    18:44

Penalties

FLA 40 PIM·MTL 26 PIM

1st

  • 1:13MTLDavid Savard · Trippingdrawn by Evan Rodrigues2 min
  • 17:48FLAKevin Stenlund · Hookingdrawn by Joel Armia2 min
  • 18:50FLAEetu Luostarinen · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 19:29MTLJuraj Slafkovský · Roughingdrawn by Aaron Ekblad2 min
  • 19:29FLAAaron Ekblad · Roughingdrawn by Juraj Slafkovský2 min

2nd

  • 10:48FLASam Bennett · Interferencedrawn by Cole Caufield2 min
  • 14:56MTLJesse Ylonen · Holdingdrawn by Sam Reinhart2 min

3rd

  • 4:05MTLNick Suzuki · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 5:22FLAEetu Luostarinen · Hookingdrawn by Jordan Harris2 min
  • 8:38MTLMichael Pezzetta · Kneeingdrawn by Dmitry Kulikov2 min
  • 13:58FLANick Cousins · Roughingdrawn by Jake Evans2 min
  • 13:58FLANick Cousins · Roughingdrawn by Jake Evans2 min
  • 13:58MTLJake Evans · Roughingdrawn by Nick Cousins2 min
  • 13:58FLANick Cousins · Misconduct10 min
  • 13:58FLABrandon Montour · Misconduct10 min
  • 13:58MTLBrendan Gallagher · Misconduct10 min
  • 14:34FLAEetu Luostarinen · Slashingdrawn by Mike Matheson2 min
  • 15:24MTLJuraj Slafkovský · Roughingdrawn by Niko Mikkola2 min
  • 15:24FLANiko Mikkola · Roughingdrawn by Juraj Slafkovský2 min
  • 15:47FLAOliver Ekman-Larsson · Slashingdrawn by Joel Armia2 min
  • 19:22MTLJuraj Slafkovský · Delaying game puck over glass2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
MTL goalFLA goalFinal: MTL 100%

Biggest swing: Nick Suzuki, 2nd 12:24 — MTL 55% → 72%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
N. Suzuki · Goal · xG 0.32J. Slafkovský · On goal · xG 0.25A. Newhook · On goal · xG 0.24C. Caufield · Missed · xG 0.22C. Caufield · Goal · xG 0.22A. Newhook · On goal · xG 0.22C. Caufield · Missed · xG 0.19N. Suzuki · Missed · xG 0.16B. Gallagher · On goal · xG 0.16N. Suzuki · On goal · xG 0.15N. Suzuki · On goal · xG 0.14C. Caufield · Missed · xG 0.14J. Slafkovský · On goal · xG 0.14N. Suzuki · On goal · xG 0.13C. Caufield · Missed · xG 0.13M. Matheson · Missed · xG 0.12J. Evans · Goal · xG 0.10J. Armia · Goal · xG 0.10J. Slafkovský · On goal · xG 0.10N. Suzuki · Goal · xG 0.10A. Newhook · On goal · xG 0.09J. Anderson · Missed · xG 0.09K. Guhle · Missed · xG 0.08J. Armia · On goal · xG 0.08J. Slafkovský · On goal · xG 0.07J. Anderson · On goal · xG 0.05K. Guhle · On goal · xG 0.05M. Matheson · Missed · xG 0.05J. Armia · On goal · xG 0.04K. Guhle · On goal · xG 0.04J. Armia · On goal · xG 0.04J. Slafkovský · On goal · xG 0.04J. Anderson · Missed · xG 0.04K. Guhle · On goal · xG 0.04M. Pezzetta · On goal · xG 0.03A. Xhekaj · On goal · xG 0.03C. Caufield · On goal · xG 0.02J. Anderson · On goal · xG 0.02J. Anderson · Missed · xG 0.02M. Matheson · On goal · xG 0.02N. Suzuki · Missed · xG 0.01A. Xhekaj · On goal · xG 0.01J. Harris · On goal · xG 0.01N. Suzuki · On goal · xG 0.01B. Gallagher · Missed · xG 0.01M. Matheson · On goal · xG 0.01A. Xhekaj · On goal · xG 0.01M. Matheson · On goal · xG 0.01J. Struble · Missed · xG 0.01B. Gallagher · Missed · xG 0.01J. Evans · On goal · xG 0.01J. Anderson · On goal · xG 0.00A. Xhekaj · On goal · xG 0.00
MTL5 G · 4.4 xG · 53 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

FLAvsMTL
3.83 G
All situations
5 G4.4
2.23 G
Even strength
3 G2.2
1.10 G
Power play
1 G2.0
0.60 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 110 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
FLA42%58%MTL

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.77 – 4.33

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

FLAvsMTL
40
Shots on goal
38
64%
Faceoffs
36%
0/5
Power play
1/7
40
Penalty minutes
26
17
Hits
20
16
Blocked shots
18
7
Giveaways
6
3
Takeaways
1

Box score

every player line
Florida Panthers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
42G. ForslingD000+160.20300—24:36
62B. MontourD000-310.041010—23:49
77N. MikkolaD000-210.02042—20:56
16A. BarkovC101-240.680007420:44
13S. ReinhartC000-240.781208019:28
91O. Ekman-LarssonD000+220.13012—18:12
10V. TarasenkoR011-130.14210—17:46
7D. KulikovD011010.09100—17:04
27E. LuostarinenC000050.4701610017:01
15A. LundellC112010.260003315:51
82K. StenlundC000-100.180327014:08
17E. RodriguesC000+120.08010013:52
9S. BennettC101+120.182026213:09
21N. CousinsC000+120.23201410011:03
94R. LombergL000-100.03220—11:01
8K. OkposoR000+110.0220010010:49
18S. LorentzC000-130.271005009:39
5A. EkbladD000+110.03012—07:16
Florida Panthers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
41A. Stolarz(L)38335.8684.39-0.6160:00

Season series

FLA leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).