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Boston Bruins at Winnipeg Jets

FinalTV NESN, TSN3·Canada Life Centre

Recap

written from the game data

The Winnipeg Jets beat the Boston Bruins 5-1. The Jets scored first and never trailed. The Jets led 3-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Gabriel Vilardi's goal at 11:17 of the second period, which took the Jets' chances from 72% to 87%. Expected goals favored the Jets, 3.4 to 2.6; shots on goal were BOS 25, WPG 33. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Jets win a replay of these chances 65% of the time. Jeremy Swayman stopped 28 of 33 (.848), 1.6 goals below expected; Connor Hellebuyck stopped 24 of 25 (.960), 1.6 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Gabriel Vilardi (1 G, 1 A), 2. Mark Scheifele (2 A), 3. Connor Hellebuyck (24 saves, .960).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WPG
    G. Vilardi1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    WPG
    M. Scheifele2 A
  3. ★★★
    WPG
    C. Hellebuyck24 saves, .960

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
BOSBOS0607112125
WPGWPG110211212533

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. WPG
    wristxG 0.31win prob +15 ptsVideo
    0-1
    19:52

2nd period

  1. WPG
    wristxG 0.29win prob +16 ptsVideo
    0-2
    11:17
  2. WPG
    wristxG 0.19win prob +6 ptsVideo
    0-3
    17:41

3rd period

  1. WPG
    tip-inxG 0.15win prob +2 ptsVideo
    0-4
    1:25
  2. BOS
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.01Video
    1-4
    14:22
  3. WPG
    wristxG 0.13Video
    1-5
    19:41

Penalties

BOS 6 PIM·WPG 4 PIM

2nd

  • 3:16WPGNeal Pionk · Trippingdrawn by Brad Marchand2 min
  • 7:49BOSParker Wotherspoon · Holdingdrawn by Alex Iafallo2 min
  • 15:46BOSserved by J. van Riemsdyk · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 17:16BOSParker Wotherspoon · Ps covering puck in crease0 min

3rd

  • 8:52WPGDylan DeMelo · Holdingdrawn by David Pastrnak2 min
  • 18:35BOSDanton Heinen · Trippingdrawn by Dylan Samberg2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
WPG goalBOS goalFinal: WPG 100%

Biggest swing: Gabriel Vilardi, 2nd 11:17 — WPG 72% → 87%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Morrissey · Goal · xG 0.31G. Vilardi · Goal · xG 0.29M. Scheifele · On goal · xG 0.27A. Lowry · Missed · xG 0.26N. Niederreiter · Goal · xG 0.19G. Vilardi · On goal · xG 0.16N. Niederreiter · On goal · xG 0.15A. Lowry · Goal · xG 0.15M. Scheifele · On goal · xG 0.14N. Niederreiter · Goal · xG 0.13G. Vilardi · On goal · xG 0.12M. Scheifele · Missed · xG 0.10C. Perfetti · Missed · xG 0.09A. Iafallo · Missed · xG 0.09G. Vilardi · On goal · xG 0.07N. Pionk · On goal · xG 0.07D. Gustafsson · Missed · xG 0.07N. Ehlers · Missed · xG 0.06M. Scheifele · On goal · xG 0.06A. Iafallo · On goal · xG 0.06D. Gustafsson · On goal · xG 0.06J. Morrissey · On goal · xG 0.05A. Jonsson-Fjallby · On goal · xG 0.05G. Vilardi · Missed · xG 0.05N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.05A. Iafallo · On goal · xG 0.04V. Namestnikov · Missed · xG 0.04N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.03N. Pionk · On goal · xG 0.02M. Appleton · On goal · xG 0.02J. Morrissey · On goal · xG 0.02M. Appleton · On goal · xG 0.02N. Pionk · Missed · xG 0.02M. Barron · On goal · xG 0.01N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.01D. Gustafsson · Missed · xG 0.01D. Samberg · On goal · xG 0.01J. Morrissey · Missed · xG 0.01D. Samberg · On goal · xG 0.01N. Ehlers · On goal · xG 0.01N. Pionk · On goal · xG 0.01C. Perfetti · On goal · xG 0.01C. Perfetti · On goal · xG 0.01D. Samberg · On goal · xG 0.01B. Dillon · Missed · xG 0.01D. Samberg · Missed · xG 0.00A. Iafallo · Missed · xG 0.00
WPG5 G · 3.4 xG · 47 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

BOSvsWPG
2.61 G
All situations
5 G3.4
2.41 G
Even strength
3 G2.4
0.20 G
Power play
2 G1.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 90 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
BOS35%65%WPG

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.46 – 3.31

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

BOSvsWPG
25
Shots on goal
33
43%
Faceoffs
57%
0/2
Power play
2/3
6
Penalty minutes
4
27
Hits
25
17
Blocked shots
15
7
Giveaways
14
2
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Boston Bruins skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
73C. McAvoyD000-210.06030—23:09
27H. LindholmD000-220.09030—22:06
6M. LohreiD000+130.07000—19:35
25B. CarloD101020.03230—18:16
63B. MarchandL000-200.01300—18:09
88D. PastrnakR000-210.07000—17:44
12K. ShattenkirkD000-100.00020—17:40
13C. CoyleC000020.230104817:01
29P. WotherspoonD000010.03212—16:48
18P. ZachaC000-200.100005416:25
39M. GeekieC000020.342102916:04
74J. DeBruskL000010.10400—15:04
43D. HeinenL000020.57112—13:35
11T. FredericC000020.15100013:23
19J. BeecherC000010.114104613:23
21J. van RiemsdykL000040.52100—13:10
62O. SteenC000010.14310011:51
94J. LaukoC000000.00400011:36
Boston Bruins goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
1J. Swayman(L)33285.8483.41-1.5960:00

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).