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Winnipeg Jets at Boston Bruins

FinalTV NESN, SN·TD Garden

Recap

written from the game data

The Boston Bruins beat the Winnipeg Jets 4-1. The Bruins scored first and never trailed. The Bruins led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Charlie Coyle's goal at 18:26 of the first period, which took the Bruins' chances from 53% to 68%. Expected goals favored the Bruins, 3.5 to 1.2; shots on goal were WPG 21, BOS 21. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Bruins win a replay of these chances 70% of the time. Connor Hellebuyck stopped 17 of 20 (.850), 0.8 goals below expected; Jeremy Swayman stopped 20 of 21 (.952). Three stars: 1. Jeremy Swayman (20 saves, .952), 2. Charlie Coyle (1 G, 1 A), 3. Morgan Geekie (1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    BOS
    J. Swayman20 saves, .952
  2. ★★
    BOS
    C. Coyle1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    BOS
    M. Geekie1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
WPGWPG1604011121
BOSBOS2501026421

Scoring

5 goals

1st period

  1. BOS
    wristxG 0.35win prob +11 ptsVideo
    0-1
    2:20
  2. WPG
    D. DeMelo (14), N. Ehlers (19)
    tip-inxG 0.09win prob +12 ptsVideo
    1-1
    4:16
  3. BOS
    tip-inxG 0.06win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-2
    18:26

3rd period

  1. BOS
    J. DeBrusk(12)SHG
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.15win prob +15 ptsVideo
    1-3
    14:35
  2. BOS
    wristxG 0.81
    1-4
    19:05

Penalties

WPG 6 PIM·BOS 6 PIM

1st

  • 10:10BOSHampus Lindholm · Cross checkingdrawn by Nikolaj Ehlers2 min
  • 19:54BOSCharlie McAvoy · Slashingdrawn by Nikolaj Ehlers2 min

2nd

  • 2:28WPGNino Niederreiter · Trippingdrawn by Trent Frederic2 min
  • 12:57WPGDylan DeMelo · Boardingdrawn by Charlie Coyle2 min

3rd

  • 12:28WPGNino Niederreiter · Trippingdrawn by Jakub Lauko2 min
  • 14:06BOSHampus Lindholm · Interferencedrawn by Alex Iafallo2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
BOS goalWPG goalFinal: BOS 100%

Biggest swing: Charlie Coyle, 1st 18:26 — BOS 53% → 68%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
B. Marchand · Goal · xG 0.81B. Marchand · Missed · xG 0.54J. Lauko · Goal · xG 0.35D. Pastrnak · Missed · xG 0.19J. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.18C. McAvoy · Missed · xG 0.15J. DeBrusk · Goal · xG 0.15P. Zacha · Missed · xG 0.12J. van Riemsdyk · Missed · xG 0.09M. Geekie · On goal · xG 0.09B. Marchand · On goal · xG 0.08J. van Riemsdyk · On goal · xG 0.07C. McAvoy · On goal · xG 0.07C. Coyle · Goal · xG 0.06J. van Riemsdyk · Missed · xG 0.05D. Pastrnak · On goal · xG 0.05M. Poitras · Missed · xG 0.04C. Coyle · Missed · xG 0.04D. Pastrnak · Missed · xG 0.04C. McAvoy · On goal · xG 0.04B. Marchand · Missed · xG 0.04J. DeBrusk · On goal · xG 0.04J. Boqvist · On goal · xG 0.04D. Pastrnak · On goal · xG 0.04D. Pastrnak · Missed · xG 0.03J. DeBrusk · On goal · xG 0.03M. Poitras · Missed · xG 0.02H. Lindholm · On goal · xG 0.01P. Wotherspoon · On goal · xG 0.01D. Forbort · Missed · xG 0.01P. Wotherspoon · On goal · xG 0.01C. Coyle · Missed · xG 0.01B. Carlo · On goal · xG 0.01D. Forbort · Missed · xG 0.01P. Zacha · On goal · xG 0.00J. Swayman · On goal · xG 0.00
BOS4 G · 3.5 xG · 36 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WPGvsBOS
1.21 G
All situations
3 G3.5
1.01 G
Even strength
2 G1.5
0.20 G
Power play
0 G0.5
0.00 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 71 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WPG30%70%BOS

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.21 – 2.15

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WPGvsBOS
21
Shots on goal
21
50%
Faceoffs
50%
0/3
Power play
0/3
6
Penalty minutes
6
43
Hits
34
11
Blocked shots
17
6
Giveaways
7
10
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Winnipeg Jets skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
44J. MorrisseyD000-230.08200—28:09
2D. DeMeloD011000.01802—22:41
4N. PionkD000-110.06550—21:11
17A. LowryC000-220.227006120:45
81K. ConnorL000-210.01100—19:55
9A. IafalloL000010.0120010018:54
27N. EhlersL011-140.301205017:12
5B. DillonD000020.02210—16:54
7V. NamestnikovC101010.20200016:51
62N. NiederreiterR000-200.0031410016:11
88N. SchmidtD000-220.05000—15:59
22M. AppletonC000-110.0620010015:25
91C. PerfettiC000-120.05120013:50
54D. SambergD000-110.03100—12:42
21D. ToninatoC000-100.133005011:25
15R. KupariC000000.002003810:26
36M. BarronC000000.00100009:42
71A. Jonsson-FjallbyL000000.00000—06:49
Winnipeg Jets goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
37C. Hellebuyck(L)20173.8502.18-0.8258:59

Season series

Tied 1-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).