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Capitals at Predators
NHL

Washington Capitals at Nashville Predators

NHL scoreboard
Washington Capitals
1
Nashville Predators
▸3
FinalTV NHLN, MNMT·Bridgestone Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Nashville Predators beat the Washington Capitals 3-1. The Predators scored first and never trailed. The Predators led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Philip Tomasino's goal at 13:26 of the second period, which took the Predators' chances from 53% to 73%. Expected goals favored the Capitals, 3.6 to 1.7; shots on goal were WSH 22, NSH 23. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Capitals win a replay of these chances 80% of the time. Charlie Lindgren stopped 20 of 23 (.870), 1.3 goals below expected; Juuse Saros stopped 21 of 22 (.955), 2.6 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Juuse Saros (21 saves, .955), 2. Philip Tomasino (1 G), 3. Yakov Trenin (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NSH
    J. Saros21 saves, .955
  2. ★★
    NSH
    P. Tomasino1 G
  3. ★★★
    NSH
    Y. Trenin1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
WSHWSH0411305122
NSHNSH181619323

Scoring

4 goals

1st period

  1. NSH
    C. Sissons(10)PPG
    R. Josi (20), F. Forsberg (20)
    tip-inxG 0.10win prob +10 ptsVideo
    0-1
    5:03

2nd period

  1. WSH
    T. Oshie(2)PPG
    D. Strome (5), A. Ovechkin (12)
    wristxG 0.84win prob +16 ptsVideo
    1-1
    5:16
  2. NSH
    P. Tomasino(2)
    C. Smith (9)
    backhandxG 0.17win prob +20 ptsVideo
    1-2
    13:26

3rd period

  1. NSH
    Y. Trenin(7)
    A. Carrier (9), M. McCarron (3)
    deflectedxG 0.15win prob +14 ptsVideo
    1-3
    3:41

Penalties

WSH 6 PIM·NSH 8 PIM

1st

  • 4:15WSHTrevor van Riemsdyk · Delaying game2 min

2nd

  • 3:23NSHCole Smith · Trippingdrawn by Nick Jensen2 min
  • 4:07NSHRyan McDonagh · High stickingdrawn by T.J. Oshie2 min

3rd

  • 1:36WSHAlex Ovechkin · Slashingdrawn by Filip Forsberg2 min
  • 8:45NSHAlexandre Carrier · Slashingdrawn by T.J. Oshie2 min
  • 17:23NSHCody Glass · Trippingdrawn by Evgeny Kuznetsov2 min
  • 19:47WSHDylan Strome · Hookingdrawn by Cody Glass2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NSH goalWSH goalFinal: NSH 100%

Biggest swing: Philip Tomasino, 2nd 13:26 — NSH 53% → 73%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
P. Tomasino · Goal · xG 0.17L. Evangelista · On goal · xG 0.17Y. Trenin · Goal · xG 0.15T. Novak · On goal · xG 0.13C. Sissons · Goal · xG 0.10R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.09M. McCarron · On goal · xG 0.07M. McCarron · On goal · xG 0.07T. Novak · Missed · xG 0.07A. Carrier · Missed · xG 0.06R. O'Reilly · Missed · xG 0.05C. Smith · On goal · xG 0.05A. Carrier · On goal · xG 0.05F. Forsberg · Missed · xG 0.04R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.04A. Carrier · On goal · xG 0.04C. Smith · On goal · xG 0.04L. Evangelista · On goal · xG 0.03L. Evangelista · Missed · xG 0.03R. McDonagh · On goal · xG 0.03L. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.03F. Forsberg · On goal · xG 0.03R. Josi · Missed · xG 0.03L. Evangelista · On goal · xG 0.02L. Evangelista · On goal · xG 0.02C. Smith · On goal · xG 0.02Y. Trenin · Missed · xG 0.01R. Josi · On goal · xG 0.01A. Carrier · Missed · xG 0.01L. Schenn · On goal · xG 0.01M. McCarron · On goal · xG 0.01
NSH3 G · 1.7 xG · 31 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WSHvsNSH
3.61 G
All situations
3 G1.7
1.70 G
Even strength
2 G1.3
1.91 G
Power play
1 G0.4

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 71 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WSH80%20%NSH

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.38 – 1.68

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WSHvsNSH
22
Shots on goal
23
61%
Faceoffs
39%
1/4
Power play
1/3
6
Penalty minutes
8
20
Hits
29
11
Blocked shots
18
14
Giveaways
25
9
Takeaways
10

Box score

every player line
Washington Capitals skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
74J. CarlsonD000010.20130—25:39
8A. OvechkinL011-160.88212—23:07
38R. SandinD000010.05020—22:23
17D. StromeC011-120.360026020:32
43T. WilsonR000040.41320—20:13
57T. van RiemsdykD000010.00012—20:03
77T. OshieR101-231.19400—18:51
92E. KuznetsovC000-110.130008218:00
42M. FehérváryD000020.11710—16:49
24C. McMichaelL000-100.230005715:24
3N. JensenD000-200.00100—15:02
39A. ManthaR000000.00000—14:53
91J. SnivelyC000000.00000012:48
6J. EdmundsonD000-200.00010—12:28
21A. ProtasL000010.02000—12:11
26N. DowdC000000.000004011:57
47B. MalenstynL000000.0010010010:18
96N. Aube-KubelR000000.00100—08:42
Washington Capitals goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
79C. Lindgren(L)23203.8701.69-1.3157:39

Season series

NSH leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).